Silver as an investment

(Redirected fromGold silver ratio)

Silvermay be used as aninvestmentlike otherprecious metals.It has been regarded as a form ofmoneyandstore of valuefor more than 4,000 years, although it lost its role aslegal tenderindeveloped countrieswhen the use of thesilver standardcame to an end in 1935. Some countries mintbullionand collector coins, however, such as theAmerican Silver Eaglewith nominalface values.[1]In 2009, the main demand for silver was for: industrial applications (40%),jewellery,bullion coinsandexchange-traded products.[2][3]In 2011, the global silver reserves amounted to 530,000 tonnes.[4]

Various examples of American coins used as silver investments, including pre-1964 circulating silver coins andAmerican Silver Eaglebullion coins

Millions ofCanadian Silver Maple Leafcoins and American Silver Eagle coins are purchased as investments each year. While thesebullion coinsare legal tender, they are rarely used at shops.[5]However, "junk silver" coins, which were originally minted for circulation, can still be found in circulation, albeit rarely, and are common targets in the practice ofcoin roll hunting.

Price

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The price of silver from 1792 to 2005. The spike in 1980 reflects the events ofSilver Thursday.
Price of silver 1968-2022

The price of silver is driven byspeculationandsupply and demand,like most commodities. The price of silver is notoriouslyvolatilecompared to that of gold because of the smaller market, lowermarket liquidityand demand fluctuations between industrial andstore of valueuses. At times, this can cause wide-ranging valuations in the market, creating volatility.[6]

Silver often tracks thegoldprice due to store of value demands, although the ratio can vary. Thecrustalratio of silver to gold is 17.5:1.[7]The gold/silver price ratio is often analyzed by traders, investors, and buyers.[8]

The gold/silver ratio is the oldest continuously tracked exchange rate in history.[9]In Roman times, the price ratio was set at 12 (or 12.5) to 1.[10]In 1792, the gold/silver price ratio was fixed by law in theUnited Statesat 15:1,[11]which meant that onetroy ounceof gold was worth 15 troy ounces of silver; a ratio of 15.5:1 was enacted in France in 1803.[12]The average gold/silver price ratio during the 20thcentury, however, was 47:1.[13]

The price of silver has risen fairly steeply since September 2005, being initially around $7 pertroy ounce,but reaching $14 per troy ounce for the first time by late April 2006, and the average price of the month was $12.61 per troy ounce. As of March 2008, it hovered around $20 pertroy ounce.[14]However, the price of silver plummeted 58% in October 2008, along with other metals and commodities, due to the effects of thecredit crunch.[15]By April 2011, silver had rebounded to reach a 31-year high at $49.21 per ounce on April 29, 2011 due to concerns about monetary inflation and the solvency of governments in the developed world, particularly in theEurozone.[16]

Influences

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The price of silver is influenced by a variety of factors.

  • The silver market is considerably smaller than the gold market, with the London gold bullion market turns over 18 times more monetary value than silver.[17]This allows a large trader or investor to influence the silver price either positively or negatively.
  • Due to the properties of silver, it has a major role in the manufacturing ofphotovoltaics,RoHScompliant solder, clothing andmedical uses.Other new applications for silver includeRFIDtags, wood preservatives, water purification and food hygiene.[18]Data from 2010 reveals that a majority of silver is being used for industry (487.4 million ounces), jewelry (167 million ounces), and investments (101.3 million ounces).[19]
  • Silver, like all precious metals, may be used as ahedgeagainstinflation,deflationordevaluation.[20]
  • Public sentiment regarding silver as a hedge against inflation may be influenced by marketing campaigns from silver producers and affiliates.

History

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The highest recorded silver prices were:

1980 2011
LondonLBMA(Close) $49.45 (January 18) $48.7 (April 28)
London LBMA (Intraday) $50.5 (January 18)
New YorkCOMEX(Close) $48.7 (January 17) $48.55 (April 29)
New York COMEX (Intraday) $50.36 (January 18) $49.82 (April 25)
ChicagoCBOT(Close)
Chicago CBOT (Intraday) $52.8 (January 18)

1979–1980

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In part due to the actions of the Hunt brothers (Nelson Bunker Hunt,William Herbert Hunt,andLamar Hunt), the price for silver Good Delivery bars jumped from about $6 per troy ounce to a record high of $49.45 per troy ounce on January 18, 1980,[21]representing an increase of 724%. The highest price of physical silver is hard to determine, but based on the price of common silver coins, it peaked at about $40/oz.[22]

On January 7, 1980, in response to the Hunts' accumulation, theCommodity Exchange(COMEX) suddenly adopted "Silver Rule 7", placing heavy restrictions on the purchase of the commodity on margin, causing massive liquidations and enormous downward pressure on the price. The Hunt brothers had borrowed heavily to finance their purchases, and as the price began to fall again, dropping over 50% in just four days, due to the sudden forced liquidation of margin positions, they became unable to meet their obligations, causing further panic in the precious metal markets.

The Hunts were never found guilty of any criminal wrongdoing, although they lost a civil suit in connection to the event. The event also cause the Hunts' fortune to dwindle, culminating in them filing for bankruptcy. In 1989, they agreed to a civil settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, paying out fines, and agreeing to a ban from trading commodities.

2010–2011

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There was such immense risk to the world economy that investors drove the prices up by buying defensive commodities (e.g. silver or gold). When the short-term risks were believed to have subsided, many investors reallocated their assets back into yielding (dividend or interest) investments such as stocks or bonds.

The 2011United States debt ceilingcrisis was a major factor in the rise of silver prices. The 2010 U.S. midterm elections highlighted policy differences betweenPresident Obamavs. theTea Party movement.The price of silver concurrently rose from $17 to $30 as the elections approached. In late 2010 and 2011, silver found a "new normal" between $25 and $30.

In 2011, Republicans in Congress demanded deficit reduction be part of legislation raising the nation's debt-ceiling. The resulting contention was resolved on 2 August 2011 by theBudget Control Act of 2011.

During the first few months of 2011, Moody's and S&P both downgraded the outlook on US finances; this was a major shock to the financial world and resulted in silver's climb to $50.

  • On April 18, 2011, U.S.-based rating agency S&P issued a "negative" outlook on the U.S.'s "AAA" (highest quality) sovereign-debt rating for the first time since the rating agency began in 1860, indicating there was a one-in-three chance of an outright reduction in the rating over the next two years.
  • On April 25, 2011, silver traded $49.8 per ounce in the New York spot market.

On August 5, 2011, S&P issued the first everdowngrade in the federal government's credit rating,citing their April warnings, the difficulty of bridging the parties and that the resulting agreement fell well short of the hoped-for comprehensive 'grand bargain'.[23]The credit downgrade and debt ceiling debacle contributed to theDow Jones Industrial Averagefalling nearly 2,000 points in late July and August. Following the downgrade itself, the DJIA had one of its worst days in history and fell 635 points, on August 8.[24]

Then, as it became likely that U.S. Secretary of TreasuryTimothy Geithnerwould order the treasury to use extraordinary measures to delay the crisis, silver settled back at $35. As the debacle continued during the summer, silver moved in the range of $33 to $43.

As it became clear that the "financial apocalypse" would be delayed by late summer, many investors dumped silver and commodities and moved back into U.S. equities. The price of silver quickly went back to $30 and declined below 2010 levels in the next few years.

Whether classifying silver's movement as a 'bubble' (seen when comparing silver with gold) has been debatable, withPeter Schiffdenying that a bubble ever existed and asserting that the factors that led to the increase in the silver price have not yet been resolved.

Investment vehicles

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Bars

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1,000 ozt (31.1 kg) silver bar

A traditional way of investing in silver is by buying actualbullionbars. In some countries, likeSwitzerlandandLiechtenstein,bullion bars can be bought or soldover the counterat majorbanks.

The flat, rectangular shape of silver bars makes them ideal for storage in a homesafe,asafe deposit boxat a bank, or placed in allocated (also known asnon-fungible) or unallocated (fungibleorpooled) storage with a bank or dealer.

Silver bars can either be cast or poured, or minted; both categories often involve the production of bars with intricate decorative designs that are attractive to collectors, often referred to as "art bars".

Various sizes of silver bars are 1, 10, 100 and 1,000 troy ounces, 100 gram (3.215 troy ounces) and one kilogram (32.15 troy ounces), as well as other sizes. There are various silver refiners with their own unique stamp or "hallmark" that is used to provide information about the bar and ensure quality.[25]

Coins and rounds

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American Silver Eaglebullion proof coin

The term "coin" typically refers to a metallic piece minted by a sovereign government and holds the status oflegal tenderwithin its country of origin. Coins are distinguished by their official recognition and carry a minimumface value,which represents the denomination assigned to them.[26]This means that they can be used as a medium of exchange for goods and services.

Silver coins may bemintedas either fine silver or junk silver. Fine silver coins minted by governments include the one-ounce, 99.99%Canadian Silver Maple Leafand the 99.93%American Silver Eagle.Government-minted silver coins being legal tender, often enjoy special taxation treatments.

The term junk silver signifies silver coins without a numismatic premium. In theUnited States,this is taken to mean pre-1964 90% silver dimes, quarters and half-dollars; $1 face value of those circulated coins contains 0.715 troy ounce (22.2 grams) of fine silver.[27]All 1965-1970 and some 1976Kennedy half dollarsare minted with a 40% silver composition. "War nickel"is the name given to certain 1942-1945 nickels minted with a 35% silver composition.

Other countries, such as Australia, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland and the United Kingdom also minted junk silver coins in the past. All these countries (except Mexico and Switzerland) initially mintedsterling silvercoins for circulation, before the coins' silver content was reduced: Australia to 50% in 1946, Canada to 80% in 1920 and the United Kingdom to 50% near 1920. Mexico's case was rather unique, in that while 1 peso coins had its silver content reduced to 50% in 1947, those with higher denominations (e.g. 5 pesos, 10 pesos) continued to be minted with 72-90% silver composition until the last silver coins were minted in 1979.

Unlike coins, rounds are privately minted bullion that look similar to coins, but do not have a face value and are not legal tender.

Exchange-traded products

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Silver exchange-traded productsrepresent a quick and easy way for an investor to gain exposure to the silver price, without the inconvenience of storing physical bars. Silver ETPs include:

  • iShares Silver Trust launched byiSharesis the largest silver ETF on the market with over 340 million troy ounces of silver in storage.[28]
  • ETFS Physical Silver and ETFS Silver Trust launched byETF Securities.
  • Sprott Physical Silver Trust is a closed-end fund created by Sprott Asset Management. The initial public offering was completed on November 3, 2010.[29]

Accounts

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MostSwiss banksoffer silver accounts where silver can be instantly bought or sold just like any foreign currency.[citation needed]Unlike holding physical silver, the customer has a claim against the bank for a certain quantity of metal.Digital gold currencyproviders and internet bullion exchanges, such as OneGold, BullionVault or GoldMoney, offer silver as an alternative to gold. Some of these companies allow investors to redeem their investment through the delivery of physical silver.[30]

Derivatives, CFDs and spread betting

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In the U.S., silver futures are primarily traded onCOMEX(Commodity Exchange), which is a subsidiary of theNew York Mercantile Exchange.In November 2006, theNational Commodity and Derivatives Exchange(NCDEX) inIndiaintroduced 5 kg silver futures.

Mining companies

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These do not represent silver at all, but rather aresharesinsilver mining companies.Companies rarely mine silver alone, as normally silver is found within, or alongside, ore containing other metals, such astin,lead,zincorcopper.Therefore, shares are also abase metalinvestment, rather than solely a silver investment. As with allminingshares, there are many other factors to take into account when evaluating the share price, other than simply thecommodityprice. Instead of personally selecting individual companies, some investors prefer spreading their risk by investing in precious metal miningmutual funds.

Taxation

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In many tax regimes, silver does not hold the special position that is often afforded togold.For example, in theEuropean Unionthe trading of recognized gold coins and bullion products isVATexempt, but no such allowance is given to silver. This makes investment in silver coins or bullion less attractive for the private investor, due to the extra premium on purchases represented by the irrecoverable VAT (charged at 20% in the United Kingdom and 19% for bars and 7% for bullion products with face value, e.g. The US Silver Eagle and theCanadian Maple Leaf,in Germany). Norwegian companies can legally deliver free of VAT to the rest of Europe within certain annual limits or can arrange for local pickup.[citation needed]

Other taxes such ascapital gains taxmay apply for individuals depending on country of residence (tax status) and whether theassetis sold at increased nominal value. For example, in the United States, silver is taxed only when sold for a profit, at a special collectibles capital gain tax rate (the normal income tax rate, subject to a maximum of 28% for silver held over 1 year[31]).[clarification needed]In 2011, theUtah Legal Tender Actrecognized U.S.-minted silver and gold coins as legal tender withinUtah,so that they may be used to pay any debt in Utah without being subject to Utah's capital gains tax (although such a tax would still apply for federal tax purposes, as such a state law cannot override federal law).[32]

See also

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References

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  1. ^"American Silver Eagle".The United States Mint. Archived fromthe originalon 2 December 2013.Retrieved24 November2013.
  2. ^"Supply & Demand".The Silver Institute. Archived fromthe originalon 4 December 2011.Retrieved29 September2010.
  3. ^"2000pres".The Silver Institute. Archived fromthe originalon 29 November 2011.Retrieved29 September2010.
  4. ^Silberreserven und PreiseRetrieved 28. December 2012.ArchivedDecember 2, 2013, at theWayback Machine
  5. ^"Legal Tender Guidelines | The Royal Mint".www.royalmint.com.Retrieved16 February2020.
  6. ^"The Case for Silver | Gold News".Goldnews.bullionvault.com. 25 March 2010. Archived fromthe originalon 12 May 2013.Retrieved29 September2010.
  7. ^Stanley W. Ivosevic (1984).Gold and Silver Handbook on Geology, Exploration, Development, Economics of Large Tonnage, Low Grade Deposits.University of California. p. 160.ISBN0961135239.
  8. ^"Is Silver Nailed to Gold? | Gold News".Goldnews.bullionvault.com. 20 September 2010. Archived fromthe originalon 2 December 2013.Retrieved29 September2010.
  9. ^"A Historical Guide to the Gold-Silver Ratio".Investopedia.Retrieved24 March2023.
  10. ^Morteani, Giulio; Jeremy Peter Northover (1994).Prehistoric Gold in Europe: Mines, Metallurgy and Manufacture.New York: Springer-Verlag. p. 37.ISBN978-0-7923-3255-8.
  11. ^"The Coinage Act of April 2, 1792".www.constitution.org.Archived fromthe originalon 29 October 2013.Retrieved26 June2023.
  12. ^"The ratio gold and silver from 1800 1900".Dani2989.com. Archived fromthe originalon 6 September 2013.Retrieved29 September2010.
  13. ^"Study of the report enters the ratio production and price since 1900 of the gold and the silver".Dani2989.com. Archived fromthe originalon 6 September 2013.Retrieved29 September2010.
  14. ^"24-hour Spot Chart - Silver".Kitco.com. Archived fromthe originalon 17 November 2006.Retrieved29 September2010.
  15. ^"Mineweb.com - The world's premier mining and mining investment website Where are the silver bulls? - SILVER NEWS".Mineweb. Archived fromthe originalon 23 April 2014.Retrieved29 September2010.
  16. ^"Wall Street Journal - PRECIOUS METALS: Economic, Political Worry Fuel Gold, Silver Rally".Wall Street Journal. 8 April 2011. Archived fromthe originalon 21 June 2011.Retrieved10 April2011.
  17. ^BullionVault.com The Case for Silver - 25th March 2010ArchivedMay 12, 2013, at theWayback Machine
  18. ^"Alchemist Issue 57"(PDF).
  19. ^Silver Essentials | The Silver InstituteArchivedApril 3, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  20. ^"History of Silver as an Investment".Cornerstone Asset Metals. Archived fromthe originalon 16 March 2014.Retrieved7 October2011.
  21. ^"About the Record High in Silver".
  22. ^"U.S. Silver Coins: When They Ended and What They're Worth".26 November 2013.
  23. ^"United States of America Long-Term Rating Lowered To 'AA+' Due To Political Risks, Rising Debt Burden; Outlook Negative".
  24. ^Sweet & 8 August 2011.
  25. ^"Refiners Archive".
  26. ^"What Are the Differences Between Coins and Rounds? | Silver Bullion".www.silverbullion.com.sg.13 February 2019.Retrieved18 May2023.
  27. ^"1964 D Washington Quarter".
  28. ^"iShares Silver Trust".Archived fromthe originalon 9 February 2014.
  29. ^"Sprott Completes Initial Public Offering of Sprott Physical Silver Trust".Archived fromthe originalon 15 March 2012.
  30. ^Silver, Buy or Sell?ArchivedApril 23, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  31. ^"Information on 28% Capital Gains Tax Rate for Silver and Gold".
  32. ^Utah Law Makes Coins Worth Their Weight in Gold (or Silver)Archived2012-04-26 at theWayback Machine,The New York Times,May 29, 2011.
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