Wikipedia

Preventive war

Apreventive waris an armed conflict "initiated in the belief that military conflict, while not imminent, is inevitable, and that to delay would involve greater risk."[1]The party which is being attacked has a latent threat capability or it has shown that it intends to attack in the future, based on its past actions and posturing. A preventive war aims to forestall a shift in the balance of power[2][3]by strategically attacking before the balance of power has had a chance to shift in the favor of the targeted party. Preventive war is distinct frompreemptive strike,which is the first strike when an attack is imminent.[2]Preventive uses of force "seek to stop another state... from developing a military capability before it becomes threatening or to hobble or destroy it thereafter, whereas [p]reemptive uses of force come against a backdrop of tactical intelligence or warning indicating imminent military action by an adversary."[4]

Criticism

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The majority view is that a preventive war undertaken without the approval of theUnited Nationsis illegal under the modern framework ofinternational law.[5][6][7]The consensus is that preventive war "goes beyond what is acceptable in international law"[8]and lacks legal basis.[9]The UNHigh-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Changestopped short of rejecting the concept outright but suggested that there is no right to preventive war. If there are good grounds for initiating preventive war, the matter should be put to theUN Security Council,which can authorize such action,[10]given that one of the Council's main functions under Chapter VII of theUN Charter( "Action with Respect to Threats to the Peace, Breaches of the Peace, and Acts of Aggression" ) is to enforce the obligation of member states under Article 4, Paragraph 2 to "refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state...[11]The Charter's drafters assumed that the Council might need to employ preventive force to forestall aggression such as initiated by Nazi Germany in the 1930s.[12]

Examples

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TheAxis powersinWorld War IIroutinely invaded neutral countries on grounds of prevention and began theinvasion of Polandin 1939 by claiming the Poles had attacked a border outpost first. In 1940,Germany invaded Denmark and Norwayand argued that Britain might have used them as launching points for an attack or prevented supply ofstrategic materialsto Germany. In the summer of 1941,Germany invaded the Soviet Union,inaugurating the bloody and brutal land war by claiming that aJudeo-Bolshevikconspiracy threatened the Reich. In late 1941, theAnglo-Soviet invasion of Iranwas carried out to secure a supply corridor of petrol to the Soviet Union. Iranian ShahRezā Shāhappealed to US PresidentFranklin Rooseveltfor help but was rebuffed on the grounds that "movements of conquest by Germany will continue and will extend beyond Europe to Asia, Africa, and even to the Americas, unless they are stopped by military force."[13]

Pearl Harbor

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Main articles:Attack on Pearl HarborandEvents leading to the attack on Pearl Harbor

Perhaps the most famous example of preventive war is theattack on Pearl Harborby theEmpire of Japanon December 7, 1941.[14]Many in the US and Japan believed war to be inevitable. Coupled to the crippling US economic embargo that was rapidly degrading the Japanese military capability, that led the Japanese leadership to believe it was better to have the war as soon as possible.[14]

The sneak attack was partly motivated by a desire to destroy theUS Pacific Fleetto allow Japan to advance with reduced opposition from the US when it secured Japanese oil supplies by fighting against theBritish Empireand theDutch Empirefor control over the rich East Indian (Dutch East Indies,Malay Peninsula) oil-fields.[15]In 1940, American policies and tension towardJapanese military actionsandJapanese expansionismin the Far East increased. For example, in May 1940, the base of the US Pacific Fleet that was stationed on theWest Coastwas forwarded to an "advanced" position at Pearl Harbor inHonolulu,Hawaii.

The move was opposed by someUS Navyofficials, including their commander, AdmiralJames Otto Richardson,who was relieved by Roosevelt.[citation needed]Even so, theFar East Fleetwas not significantly reinforced. Another ineffective plan to reinforce the Pacific was a rather late relocation of fighter planes to bases located on thePacific islandslikeWake Island,Guam,and thePhilippines.For a long time, Japanese leaders, especially leaders of theImperial Japanese Navy,had known that the large US military strength and production capacity posed a long-term threat toJapan's imperialist desires,especially if hostilities broke out in the Pacific.[citation needed]War games on both sides had long reflected those expectations.

Iraq War (2003–2011)

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Main articles:Criticism of the Iraq WarandRationale for the Iraq War

The2003 invasion of Iraqwas framed primarily as apreemptive warby theGeorge W. Bush administration,[16]although President Bush also argued it was supported by Security Council Resolutions: "Under Resolutions 678 and 687--both still in effect--the United States and our allies are authorized to use force in ridding Iraq of weapons of mass destruction."[17]At the time, the US public and its allies were led to believe thatBa'athist Iraqmight have restarted its nuclear weapons program or been "cheating" on its obligations to dispose of its large stockpile ofchemical weaponsdating from theIran–Iraq War.Supporters of the war have argued it to be justified, as Iraq both harboredIslamic terroristgroups sharing a common hatred of the United States and was suspected to be developingweapons of mass destruction(WMD). Iraq's history of noncompliance of international security matters and its history of both developing and using such weapons were factors in the public perception ofIraq's having weapons of mass destruction.

In support of an attack on Iraq, US PresidentGeorge W. Bushstated in an address to theUN General Assemblyon September 12, 2002 that the Iraqi "regime is a grave and gathering danger."[18]However, despite extensive searches during the several years of occupation, the suspected weapons of mass destruction or weapons program infrastructure alleged by the Bush administration were not found to be functional or even known to most Iraqi leaders.[19]Coalition forces instead found dispersed and sometimes-buried and partially dismantled stockpiles of abandoned and functionally expired chemical weapons. Some of the caches had been dangerously stored and were leaking, and many were then disposed of hastily and in secret, leading to secondary exposure from improper handling. Allegations of mismanagement and information suppression followed.[20][21]

Case for preventive nuclear war

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See also:First strike (nuclear strategy)

Since 1945, World War III between the US and the USSR was perceived by many as inevitable and imminent. Many high officials in the US military sector and some renowned luminaries in non-military fields advocated preventive war. According to their rationale, total war is inevitable, and it was senseless to permit the Russians to develop a nuclear parity with the United States. Hence the sooner the preventive war come the better, because thefirst strikeis almost surely decisive and less devastating.[22][23] Dean Acheson[24] andJames Burnham[25]adhered to the version that the war is not inevitable but is already going on, although the American people still do not realize it.

The US military sector widely and wholeheartedly shared the idea of preventive war.[26][27]Most prominent proponents included Defense SecretaryLouis A. Johnson,JCSChairman AdmiralArthur W. Radford,Navy SecretaryFrancis P. Matthews,AdmiralRalph A. Ofstie,Air Force Secretary W. Stuart Symington, Air Force ChiefsCurtis LeMayandNathan F. Twining,Air Force GeneralsGeorge KenneyandOrvil A. Anderson,GeneralLeslie Groves(the wartime commander of theManhattan Project) and CIA DirectorWalter Bedell Smith.[28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36]NSC-100 and several studies bySACand JCS during the Korean War advocated preventive war too.[37]

In Congress, preventive warriors counted Deputy Secretary of DefensePaul Nitze,[38]expert on the Soviet UnionCharles E. Bohlenof the State Department, SenatorsJohn L. McClellan,Paul H. Douglas,Eugene D. Millikin,Brien McMahon(Chairman of the Atomic Energy Committee),William Knowlandand CongressmanHenry M. Jackson.The diplomatic circle included distinguished diplomats likeGeorge Kennan,William C. Bullitt(US Ambassador to Moscow), andJohn Paton Davies(from the same embassy).[39][40][41][42][43]

John von Neumannof the Manhattan Project and later a consultant for theRAND Corporationexpressed: "With the Russians it is not a question of whether but of when… If you say why not bomb them tomorrow, I say why not today?"[44][45]Other renowned scientists and thinkers, such asLeo Szilard,William L. Laurence,[46]James Burnham,[47]andBertrand Russell.[48] joined the preventive effort. The preventive war in the late 1940s was argued by “some very dedicated Americans.”[49][50]“Realists” repeatedly proposed the preventive war.[51]"The argument—prevent before it is too late—was quite common in the early atomic age and by no way limited to “the lunatic fringe.”[52]A famous atomic scientist expressed a concern: In 1946, public discussion of international problems, in the United States at least, "has moved dangerously towards a consideration of so-called preventive war. One sees this tendency perhaps most markedly in the trend of news in Americans newspapers."[53]

Bernard Brodie noted that at least prior to 1950, preventive war was a “live issue… among a very small but earnest minority of American citizens.”[54]The dating of Brodie is too short, as the preventive war doctrine has had increasing support since the Korean War started.[55]The late summer 1950 saw “a flurry of articles” in the public press dealing with preventive war. One of them inTime magazine(September 18, 1950) called for a buildup, followed by a “showdown” with the Russians by 1953.[56]“1950 may have marked the high tide of ‘preventive war’ agitation…”[57]According toGallup pollof July 1950, right after the outbreak of the War, 14% of the polled opined for the immediate declaration of war on the USSR, the percentage which only slightly declined by the end of the War.[58][59]“So preventive war thinking was surprisingly widespread in the early nuclear age, the period from mid-1945 through late 1954.”[60]

The preventive warriors remained minority in America’s postwar political arena, and Washington’s elder statesmen soundly rejected their arguments.[61][62]However, during several of the East-West confrontations that marked the first decade of the Cold War, well-placed officials in both the Truman and Eisenhower administrations urged their Presidents to launch preventive strikes on the Soviet Union.[63]Entry in Truman’s secret personal journal on January 27, 1952 tells:

It seems to me that the proper approach now would be an ultimatum with a ten-days expiration limit informing Moscow that we intend to blockade the China coast… and that we intend to destroy every military base in Manchuria… by means now at our control and if there is any further interference we shall eliminate any ports or cities necessary to accomplish our peaceful purposes. This means all-out war. It means Moscow, St. Petersburg, Mukden, Vladivostok, Beijing… and every manufacturing plant in China and the Soviet Union will be eliminated. This is the final chance for the Soviet Government to decide whether it desires to survive or not.[64]

In 1953, Eisenhower wrote in a summary memorandum to his Secretary of State,John Foster Dulles:In present circumstances, "we would be forced to consider whether or not out duty to future generations did not require us to initiate war at the most propitious moment we could designate.”[65]In May 1954, the JCS’s Advance Study Group proposed to Eisenhower to consider “deliberately precipitating war with the USSR in the near future,” before Soviet thermonuclear capability became a real menace.[66]The same year, Eisenhower asked in a meeting of National Security Council: “Should the United States now get ready to fight the Soviet Union?” and pointed out that “he had brought up this question more than once at prior Council meetings and he had never done so facetiously.”[67][68]By the fall 1954, Eisenhower made his mind up and approved aBasic National Security Policypaper which stated unequivocally that “the United States and its allies must reject the concept of preventive war, or acts intended to provoke war.”[69][70][71]

Winston Churchill was more resolved on the preventive war. He argued repeatedly in the late 1940s that matters needed to be brought to a head with the Soviets before it was too late, while the United States still enjoyed a nuclear monopoly.[72][73][74][75]Charles de Gaulle in 1954 regretted that now it was too late.[76]The same regret of opportunity missed expressed later Curtis LeMay[77] andHenry Kissinger.[78]

See also

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References

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  1. ^Department of Defense Dictionary of Military and Associated Termsp.413 (2001, as amended 2002).
  2. ^abTaming American Power, Stephen M. Walt, pp 224
  3. ^Levy, Jack S. (2011)."Preventive War: Concept and Propositions".International Interactions.37(1): 87–96.doi:10.1080/03050629.2011.546716.ISSN0305-0629.S2CID154345645.
  4. ^William Safire, "Rope-a-Dope: A Lexicon of Intervention,"N.Y. Times,Oct. 13, 2002, p.30, 31.
  5. ^Beinart, Peter (2017-04-21)."How America Shed the Taboo Against Preventive War".The Atlantic.Retrieved2019-03-13.
  6. ^Warren, Aiden; Bode, Ingvild (2014), Warren, Aiden; Bode, Ingvild (eds.), "Self-Defense in International Law: Preemptive/Preventive Requisites",Governing the Use-of-Force in International Relations: The Post 9/11 US Challenge on International Law,New Security Challenges Series, Palgrave Macmillan UK, pp. 23–45,doi:10.1057/9781137411440_3,ISBN9781137411440
  7. ^Suzanne Uniacke (2007),"The False Promise of Preventive War",in Henry Shue; David Rodin (eds.),Preemption: military action and moral justification,Oxford UP, p. 88,ISBN9780199233137
  8. ^Shaw, Malcolm(2008).International Law (6th edn).Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. p. 1140.ISBN978-0-521-72814-0.
  9. ^Brownlie, Ian(2008).Principles of Public International Law.New York: Oxford University Press. p. 734.ISBN978-0-19-921176-0.
  10. ^https://www.unog.ch/80256EDD006B8954/(httpAssets)/C9B1B6D819968E83C1256F5E00597208/$file/Report+of+the+High-level+Panel+on+Threats+Challenges+and+Change.pdfArchived2021-01-23 at theWayback Machinep.54
  11. ^"United Nations Charter (Full text)".
  12. ^"One of the fundamental purposes of the Charter is to provide forces which will be immediately available to the Security Council to take action to prevent a breach of the peace." Senate Executive Report No. 8, "to Accompany Executive F," 79th Cong. (1945).
  13. ^Sunrise at Abadan,Stewart Richard pp 94–108
  14. ^abJ. Barnes, R. Stoll, "PREEMPTIVE AND PREVENTIVE WAR: A PRELIMINARY TAXONOMY", p.15, THE JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RICE UNIVERSITY,URLArchived2010-11-23 at theWayback Machine
  15. ^Keith Crane,Imported oil and US national security,p. 26, Rand Environment, Energy, and Economic Development (Program), International Security and Defense Policy Center
  16. ^David E. Sanger, "Bush's Doctrine for War,"N.Y. Times,March 18, 2003 at A1
  17. ^"Bush's Speech on Iraq: 'Saddam Hussein and His Sons Must Leave,'"N.Y. Times,March 18, 2003 at A 10.
  18. ^President's Remarks at the United Nations General Assembly, September 12, 2002
  19. ^"CIA's final report: No WMD found in Iraq".NBC News.25 April 2005.Retrieved2009-05-24.
  20. ^Ford, Dana (October 15, 2014)."Report: United States kept secret its chemical weapons finds in Iraq".CNN. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc.Retrieved18 September2019.
  21. ^Chivers, CJ (14 October 2014)."The Secret Casualties of Iraq's Abandoned Chemical Weapons".New York Times.Retrieved18 September2019.
  22. ^Brodie, Bernard (1959).Strategy in the Missile Age,(New Jersey: Princeton University Press), p 229.
  23. ^Kaku, Michio & Axelrod, Daniel (1987).To Win a Nuclear War: The Pentagon Secret War Plans,(Boston: South End Press), p 314.
  24. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 12-13.
  25. ^Burnham, James (1947).Struggle for the World,(New York: The John Day Company), p 248,https://ia800504.us.archive.org/25/items/struggleforworld00burn/struggleforworld00burn.pdf
  26. ^Baldwin, Hanson W. (October 1, 1950). “Hans Baldwin on preventive war,”Bulletin of Atomic Scientists,6/10, October 1: p 318,https://books.google.com/books?id=_Q0AAAAAMBAJ
  27. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 10-11.
  28. ^Baldwin, Hanson W. (October 1, 1950). “Hans Baldwin on preventive war,”Bulletin of Atomic Scientists,6/10, October 1: p 318,https://books.google.com/books?id=_Q0AAAAAMBAJ
  29. ^LeMay, Curtis & Kantor, MacKinlay (1965).Mission with LeMay: My Story,(New York: Doubleday & Company), p 481-482, 485.
  30. ^Twining, Nathan (1966).Neither Liberty nor Safety: A Hard Look at US Military Policy and Strategy,(New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston), p 19.
  31. ^Ball, Desmond (1982/83). “US strategic forces: How would they be used?”International Security,vol 7 (3): p 42.
  32. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 5, 19-20, 41.
  33. ^Dingman, Roger (1988/89). “Atomic diplomacy during the Korean War,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 69.
  34. ^Gentile, Gian P. (Spring 2000). “Planning for preventive war, 1945 – 1950,”Joint Forces Quarterly,vol 24: p 70.
  35. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 131-132, 136,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  36. ^Meilinger, Phillip S. (2012).Bomber: The Formation and Early History of Strategic Air Command,(Alabama: Air University Press), p 290.
  37. ^Rosenberg, David Alan (1983). “The origins of Overkill: Nuclear weapons and American strategy, 1945-1960,”International Security,vol 7 (4): p 33-34.
  38. ^Later, Nitze distanced himself from a “small group” of believers in preventive war. Nitze, Paul H. (1976). “Assuring strategic stability in an era of Détente,”Foreign Affairs,vol 54 (2): p 212.
  39. ^FRUS(1949), vol I: p 284.
  40. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 8-9, 20, 47.
  41. ^Trachtenberg, Marc. (2007). “Preventive war and US foreign policy,”Security Studies,vol 16 (1): p 4-5.
  42. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 127, 131-132,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  43. ^Albertson, Trevor D., (2015). “Ready for the worst: Preemption, prevention and American nuclear policy,”Air Power History,vol 62 (1): p 32.
  44. ^Blair, Clay (February 25, 1957). “Passing of a great mind: John von Neumann, a brilliant, jovial Mathematician, was a prodigious servant of science and his country,”Life:p 96,https://books.google.com/books?id=rEEEAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA89
  45. ^Chen, Janet & Lu, Su-I & Vekhter, Dan (1999). "Von Neumann and the development of game theory," (Stanford University),https://cs.stanford.edu/people/eroberts/courses/soco/projects/1998-99/game-theory/neumann.html
  46. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 7-8.
  47. ^Burnham, James (1947).Struggle for the World,(New York: The John Day Company), p 248,https://ia800504.us.archive.org/25/items/struggleforworld00burn/struggleforworld00burn.pdf
  48. ^Perkins, Ray (Winter 1994/95). "Bertrand Russell and preventive war,"Journal of the Bertrand Russell Archives,vol 14: p 135-153.
  49. ^Twining, Nathan (1966).Neither Liberty nor Safety: A Hard Look at US Military Policy and Strategy,(New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston), p 49.
  50. ^Meilinger, Phillip S. (2012).Bomber: The Formation and Early History of Strategic Air Command,(Alabama: Air University Press), p 314.
  51. ^Oppenheimer, Ernest (December 1, 1947). “The challenge of our time,”Bulletin of Atomic Scientists,vol 3 (12): p 370,https://books.google.com/books?id=pA0AAAAAMBAJ
  52. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 7-8.
  53. ^Urey, Harold C. (November 1, 1946a). “Atomic energy and world peace,”Bulletin of Atomic Scientists,vol 2 (9-10): p 2,https://books.google.com/books?id=WgwAAAAAMBAJ
  54. ^Brodie, Bernard (1959).Strategy in the Missile Age,(New Jersey: Princeton University Press), p 227-228.
  55. ^FRUS(1950), vol III: p 197-204.
  56. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 21.
  57. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 24.
  58. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 5.
  59. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 149-150,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  60. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (2007). “Preventive war and US foreign policy,” Security Studies, vol 16 (1): p 5.
  61. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 11.
  62. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 121, 127-128,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  63. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 121, 127-128,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  64. ^Kaku, Michio & Axelrod, Daniel (1987).To Win a Nuclear War: The Pentagon Secret War Plans,(Boston: South End Press), p 73.
  65. ^Eisenhower, Dwight, (September 8, 1953). "Memorandum by the President to the Secretary of State,"Office of the Historian,https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1952-54v02p1/d89
  66. ^Rosenberg, David Alan (1983). “The origins of Overkill: Nuclear weapons and American strategy, 1945-1960,”International Security,vol 7 (4): p 33-34.
  67. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 39.
  68. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 137-138,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  69. ^Rosenberg, David Alan (1983). “The origins of Overkill: Nuclear weapons and American strategy, 1945-1960,”International Security,vol 7 (4): p 33-34.
  70. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 127-128, 137,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  71. ^Trachtenberg, Marc. (2007). “Preventive war and US foreign policy,”Security Studies,vol 16 (1): p 6.
  72. ^Kissinger, Henry A. (1961).The Necessity for Choice: Prospects of American Foreign Policy,(New York: Harper & Row Publishers), p 178-179.
  73. ^Trachtenberg, Marc (1988/89). “A ‘wasting asset’: American strategy and the shifting nuclear balance,”International Security,vol 13 (3): p 9-10.
  74. ^Trachtenberg, Marc. (2007). “Preventive war and US foreign policy,”Security Studies,vol 16 (1): p 5.
  75. ^Mueller, Karl P. & Castillo, Jasen J. & Morgan, Forrest E. & Pegahi, Negeen & Rosen, Brian (2006). “Striking first: Preemptive and preventive attack in US national security policy,”Project Air Force,(RAND Corporation), p 121,http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG403.pdf
  76. ^Trachtenberg, Marc. (2007). “Preventive war and US foreign policy,”Security Studies,vol 16 (1): p 5.
  77. ^LeMay, Curtis & Kantor, MacKinlay (1965).Mission with LeMay: My Story,(New York: Doubleday & Company), p 485.
  78. ^Kissinger, Henry A. (1979).The White House Years,(Boston & Toronto: Little, Brown and Company), p 62.
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