Energyissustainableif it "meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability offuture generationsto meet their own needs. "[1][2]Definitions ofsustainable energyusually look at its effects on the environment, the economy, and society. These impacts range fromgreenhouse gas emissionsandair pollutiontoenergy povertyandtoxic waste.Renewable energysources such aswind,hydro,solar,andgeothermal energycan cause environmental damage but are generally far more sustainable than fossil fuel sources.
The role of non-renewable energy sources in sustainable energy is controversial.Nuclear powerdoesnot produce carbon pollutionor air pollution, but has drawbacks that includeradioactive waste,the risk ofnuclear proliferation,and therisk of accidents.Switching from coal to natural gas has environmental benefits, including a lowerclimate impact,but may lead to a delay in switching to more sustainable options.Carbon capture and storagecan be built into power plants to remove theircarbon dioxide(CO2) emissions, but this technology is expensive and has rarely been implemented.
Fossil fuelsprovide 85% of the world's energy consumption, and the energy system is responsible for 76% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Around 790 million people indeveloping countrieslackaccess to electricity,and 2.6 billion rely on polluting fuels such as wood or charcoal to cook.Cooking with biomassplus fossil fuel pollution causes an estimated 7 million deaths each year.Limiting global warming to 2 °C (3.6 °F)will requiretransforming energy production,distribution, storage, and consumption.Universal access to clean electricitycan have major benefits to the climate, human health, and the economies of developing countries.
Climate change mitigationpathways have been proposed to limit global warming to 2 °C (3.6 °F). These include phasing out coal-fired power plants,conserving energy,producing more electricity from clean sources such aswindandsolar,and switchingfrom fossil fuels to electricityfor transport and heating buildings. Power output fromsome renewable energy sources variesdepending on when the wind blows and the sun shines. Switching to renewable energy can therefore requireelectrical gridupgrades, such as the addition ofenergy storage.Some processes that are difficult to electrify can usehydrogen fuelproduced from low-emission energy sources. In theInternational Energy Agency's proposal for achieving net zero emissions by 2050, about 35% of the reduction in emissions depends on technologies that are still in development as of 2023.
Wind and solar market share grew to 8.5% of worldwide electricity in 2019, and costs continue to fall. TheIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) estimates that 2.5% of worldgross domestic product(GDP) would need to be invested in the energy system each year between 2016 and 2035 to limit global warming to 1.5 °C (2.7 °F). Governments can fund the research, development, and demonstration of new clean energy technologies. They can also build infrastructure for electrification and sustainable transport. Finally, governments can encourage clean energy deployment with policies such ascarbon pricing,renewable portfolio standards,and phase-outs offossil fuel subsidies.These policies may also increaseenergy security.
Definitions and background
editEnergy is the golden thread that connects economic growth, increased social equity, and an environment that allows the world to thrive. Development is not possible without energy, and sustainable development is not possible without sustainable energy. "
Definitions
editThe United NationsBrundtland Commissiondescribed the concept ofsustainable development,for which energy is a key component, in its 1987 reportOur Common Future.It defined sustainable development as meeting "the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs".[1]This description of sustainable development has since been referenced in many definitions and explanations of sustainable energy.[1][4][5][6]
There is no universally accepted interpretation of how the concept ofsustainabilityapplies to energy on a global scale.[7]Working definitions of sustainable energy encompass multiple dimensions of sustainability such as environmental, economic, and social dimensions.[6]Historically, the concept of sustainable energy development has focused on emissions and onenergy security.Since the early 1990s, the concept has broadened to encompass wider social and economic issues.[8]
The environmental dimension of sustainability includesgreenhouse gas emissions,impacts onbiodiversityand ecosystems, hazardous waste and toxic emissions,[7]water consumption,[9]and depletion of non-renewable resources.[6]Energy sources with low environmental impact are sometimes calledgreen energyorclean energy.The economic dimension of sustainability covers economic development, efficient use of energy, and energy security to ensure that each country has constant access to sufficient energy.[7][10][11]Social issues include access to affordable and reliable energy for all people,workers' rights,and land rights.[6][7]
Environmental impacts
editThe current energy system contributes to many environmental problems, includingclimate change,air pollution,biodiversity loss,the release of toxins into the environment, and water scarcity. As of 2019, 85% of the world's energy needs are met by burning fossil fuels.[13]Energy production and consumption are responsible for 76% of annual human-caused greenhouse gas emissions as of 2018.[14][15]The 2015 internationalParis Agreementon climate change aims to limit global warming to well below 2 °C (3.6 °F) and preferably to 1.5 °C (2.7 °F); achieving this goal will require that emissions be reduced as soon as possible and reachnet-zeroby mid-century.[16]
The burning of fossil fuels andbiomassis a major source of air pollution,[17][18]which causes an estimated 7 million deaths each year, with the greatest attributable disease burden seen in low and middle-income countries.[19]Fossil-fuel burning in power plants, vehicles, and factories is the main source of emissions that combine with oxygen in the atmosphere to causeacid rain.[20]Air pollution is the second-leading cause of death from non-infectious disease.[21]An estimated 99% of the world's population lives with levels of air pollution that exceed theWorld Health Organizationrecommended limits.[22]
Cooking with polluting fuelssuch as wood, animal dung, coal, orkeroseneis responsible for nearly all indoor air pollution, which causes an estimated 1.6 to 3.8 million deaths annually,[23][21]and also contributes significantly to outdoor air pollution.[24]Health effects are concentrated among women, who are likely to be responsible for cooking, and young children.[24]
Environmental impacts extend beyond the by-products of combustion.Oil spillsat sea harm marine life and may cause fires which release toxic emissions.[25]Around 10% of global water use goes to energy production, mainly for cooling in thermal energy plants. In dry regions, this contributes towater scarcity.Bioenergy production, coal mining and processing, and oil extraction also require large amounts of water.[26]Excessive harvesting of wood and other combustible material for burning can cause serious local environmental damage, includingdesertification.[27]
Sustainable development goals
editMeeting existing and future energy demands in a sustainable way is a critical challenge for the global goal of limiting climate change while maintaining economic growth and enabling living standards to rise.[28]Reliable and affordable energy, particularly electricity, is essential for health care, education, and economic development.[29]As of 2020, 790 million people in developing countries do not have access to electricity, and around 2.6 billion rely on burning polluting fuels for cooking.[30][31]
Improving energy access in theleast-developed countriesand making energy cleaner are key to achieving most of the United Nations 2030Sustainable Development Goals,[32]which cover issues ranging fromclimate actiontogender equality.[33]Sustainable Development Goal 7calls for "access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all", including universalaccess to electricityand toclean cooking facilitiesby 2030.[34]
Energy conservation
editEnergy efficiency—using less energy to deliver the same goods or services, or delivering comparable services with less goods—is a cornerstone of many sustainable energy strategies.[36][37]TheInternational Energy Agency(IEA) has estimated that increasing energy efficiency could achieve 40% of greenhouse gas emission reductions needed to fulfil the Paris Agreement's goals.[38]
Energy can be conserved by increasing the technical efficiency of appliances, vehicles, industrial processes, and buildings.[39]Another approach is to use fewer materials whose production requires a lot of energy, for example through better building design and recycling. Behavioural changes such as usingvideoconferencingrather than business flights, or making urban trips by cycling, walking or public transport rather than by car, are another way to conserve energy.[40]Government policies to improve efficiency can includebuilding codes,performance standards,carbon pricing,and the development of energy-efficient infrastructure to encouragechanges in transport modes.[40][41]
Theenergy intensityof the global economy (the amount of energy consumed per unit ofgross domestic product(GDP)) is a rough indicator of the energy efficiency of economic production.[42]In 2010, global energy intensity was 5.6 megajoules (1.6kWh) per US dollar of GDP.[42]United Nations goals call for energy intensity to decrease by 2.6% each year between 2010 and 2030.[43]In recent years this target has not been met. For instance, between 2017 and 2018, energy intensity decreased by only 1.1%.[43]
Efficiency improvements often lead to arebound effectin which consumers use the money they save to buy more energy-intensive goods and services.[44]For example, recent technical efficiency improvements in transport and buildings have been largely offset by trends inconsumer behaviour,such asselecting larger vehiclesand homes.[45]
Sustainable energy sources
editRenewable energy sources
editRenewable energy sources are essential to sustainable energy, as they generally strengthen energy security and emit far fewer greenhouse gases than fossil fuels.[49]Renewable energy projects sometimes raise significant sustainability concerns, such as risks to biodiversity when areas of high ecological value are converted to bioenergy production or wind or solar farms.[50][51]
Hydropoweris the largest source of renewable electricity while solar and wind energy are growing rapidly.Photovoltaic solarandonshore windare the cheapest forms of new power generation capacity in most countries.[52][53]For more than half of the 770 million people who currently lack access to electricity,decentralised renewable energysuch as solar-powered mini-grids is likely the cheapest method of providing it by 2030.[54]United Nations targets for 2030 include substantially increasing the proportion of renewable energy in the world's energy supply.[34]
According to the International Energy Agency, renewable energy sources like wind and solar power are now a commonplace source of electricity, making up 70% of all new investments made in the world's power generation.[55][56][57][58]The Agency expects renewables to become the primary energy source for electricity generation globally in the next three years, overtaking coal.[59]
Solar
editThe Sun is Earth's primary source of energy, a clean and abundantly available resource in many regions.[60]In 2019, solar power provided around 3% of global electricity,[61]mostly throughsolar panelsbased onphotovoltaic cells(PV). Solar PV is expected to be the electricity source with the largest installed capacity worldwide by 2027.[59]The panels are mounted on top of buildings or installed in utility-scalesolar parks.Costs of solar photovoltaic cells have dropped rapidly, driving strong growth in worldwide capacity.[62]Thecost of electricityfrom new solar farms is competitive with, or in many places, cheaper than electricity from existing coal plants.[63]Various projections of future energy use identify solar PV as one of the main sources of energy generation in a sustainable mix.[64][65]
Most components of solar panels can be easily recycled, but this is not always done in the absence of regulation.[66]Panels typically containheavy metals,so they pose environmental risks if put inlandfills.[67]It takes fewer than two years for a solar panel to produce as much energy as was used for its production. Less energy is needed if materials are recycled rather than mined.[68]
Inconcentrated solar power,solar rays are concentrated by a field of mirrors, heating a fluid. Electricity is produced from the resulting steam with aheat engine.Concentrated solar power can supportdispatchable power generation,as some of the heat is typically stored to enable electricity to be generated when needed.[69][70]In addition to electricity production, solar energy is used more directly;solar thermal heatingsystems are used for hot water production, heating buildings, drying, and desalination.[71]
Wind power
editWind has been an important driver of development over millennia, providing mechanical energy for industrial processes, water pumps, and sailing ships.[72]Modern wind turbines are used to generate electricity and provided approximately 6% of global electricity in 2019.[61]Electricity from onshorewind farmsis often cheaper than existing coal plants and competitive with natural gas and nuclear.[63]Wind turbines can also be placed offshore, where winds are steadier and stronger than on land but construction and maintenance costs are higher.[73]
Onshore wind farms, often built in wild or rural areas, have a visual impact on the landscape.[74]While collisions with wind turbines kill bothbatsand to a lesser extent birds, these impacts are lower than from other infrastructure such as windows andtransmission lines.[75][76]The noise and flickering light created by the turbines can cause annoyance and constrain construction near densely populated areas. Wind power, in contrast to nuclear and fossil fuel plants, does not consume water.[77]Little energy is needed for wind turbine construction compared to the energy produced by the wind power plant itself.[78]Turbine blades are not fully recyclable, and research into methods of manufacturing easier-to-recycle blades is ongoing.[79]
Hydropower
editHydroelectric plantsconvert the energy of moving water into electricity. In 2020, hydropower supplied 17% of the world's electricity, down from a high of nearly 20% in the mid-to-late 20th century.[80][81]
In conventional hydropower, a reservoir is created behind a dam. Conventional hydropower plants provide a highly flexible,dispatchableelectricity supply. They can be combined with wind and solar power to meet peaks in demand and to compensate when wind and sun are less available.[82]
Compared to reservoir-based facilities,run-of-the-river hydroelectricitygenerally has less environmental impact. However, its ability to generate power depends on river flow, which can vary with daily and seasonal weather. Reservoirs provide water quantity controls that are used for flood control and flexible electricity output while also providing security during drought for drinking water supply and irrigation.[83]
Hydropower ranks among the energy sources with the lowest levels of greenhouse gas emissions per unit of energy produced, but levels of emissions vary enormously between projects.[84]The highest emissions tend to occur with large dams in tropical regions.[85]These emissions are produced when the biological matter that becomes submerged in the reservoir's flooding decomposes and releases carbon dioxide and methane.Deforestationand climate change can reduce energy generation from hydroelectric dams.[82]Depending on location, large dams can displace residents and cause significant local environmental damage; potentialdam failurecould place the surrounding population at risk.[82]
Geothermal
editGeothermal energyis produced by tapping into deep underground heat[86]and harnessing it to generate electricity or to heat water and buildings. The use of geothermal energy is concentrated in regions where heat extraction is economical: a combination is needed of high temperatures, heat flow, andpermeability(the ability of the rock to allow fluids to pass through).[87]Power is produced from the steam created in underground reservoirs.[88]Geothermal energy provided less than 1% ofglobal energy consumptionin 2020.[89]
Geothermal energy is a renewable resource because thermal energy is constantly replenished from neighbouring hotter regions and theradioactive decayofnaturally occurring isotopes.[90]On average, the greenhouse gas emissions of geothermal-based electricity are less than 5% that of coal-based electricity.[84]Geothermal energy carries a risk of inducing earthquakes, needs effective protection to avoid water pollution, and releases toxic emissions which can be captured.[91]
Bioenergy
editBiomass is renewable organic material that comes from plants and animals.[92]It can either be burned to produce heat and electricity or be converted intobiofuelssuch asbiodieseland ethanol, which can be used to power vehicles.[93][94]
The climate impact of bioenergy varies considerably depending on where biomass feedstocks come from and how they are grown.[95]For example, burning wood for energy releases carbon dioxide; those emissions can be significantly offset if the trees that were harvested are replaced by new trees in a well-managed forest, as the new trees will absorb carbon dioxide from the air as they grow.[96]However, the establishment and cultivation of bioenergy crops candisplace natural ecosystems,degrade soils,and consume water resources and synthetic fertilisers.[97][98]
Approximately one-third of all wood used for traditional heating and cooking in tropical areas is harvested unsustainably.[99]Bioenergy feedstocks typically require significant amounts of energy to harvest, dry, and transport; the energy usage for these processes may emit greenhouse gases. In some cases, the impacts ofland-use change,cultivation, and processing can result in higher overall carbon emissions for bioenergy compared to using fossil fuels.[98][100]
Use of farmland for growing biomass can result inless land being available for growing food.In the United States, around 10% of motor gasoline has been replaced bycorn-based ethanol,which requires a significant proportion of the harvest.[101][102]In Malaysia and Indonesia, clearing forests to producepalm oilfor biodiesel has led toserious social and environmental effects,as these forests are criticalcarbon sinksandhabitatsfor diverse species.[103][104]Sincephotosynthesiscaptures only a small fraction of the energy in sunlight, producing a given amount of bioenergy requires a large amount of land compared to other renewable energy sources.[105]
Second-generation biofuelswhich are produced from non-food plants or waste reduce competition with food production, but may have other negative effects including trade-offs with conservation areas and local air pollution.[95]Relatively sustainable sources of biomass includealgae,waste, and crops grown on soil unsuitable for food production.[95]
Carbon capture and storagetechnology can be used to capture emissions from bioenergy power plants. This process is known asbioenergy with carbon capture and storage(BECCS) and can result in netcarbon dioxide removalfrom the atmosphere. However, BECCS can also result in net positive emissions depending on how the biomass material is grown, harvested, and transported. Deployment of BECCS at scales described in some climate change mitigation pathways would require converting large amounts of cropland.[106]
Marine energy
editMarine energy has the smallest share of the energy market. It includesOTEC,tidal power,which is approaching maturity, andwave power,which is earlier in its development. Two tidal barrage systems in France and in South Korea make up 90% of global production. While single marine energy devices pose little risk to the environment, the impacts of larger devices are less well known.[107]
Non-renewable energy sources
editFossil fuel switching and mitigation
editSwitching fromcoaltonatural gashas advantages in terms of sustainability. For a given unit of energy produced, thelife-cycle greenhouse-gas emissionsof natural gas are around 40 times the emissions of wind or nuclear energy but are much less than coal. Burning natural gas produces around half the emissions of coal when used to generate electricity and around two-thirds the emissions of coal when used to produce heat.[108]Natural gas combustion also produces less air pollution than coal.[109]However, natural gas is a potent greenhouse gas in itself, andleaks during extraction and transportationcan negate the advantages of switching away from coal.[110]The technology to curbmethane leaksis widely available but it is not always used.[110]
Switching from coal to natural gas reduces emissions in the short term and thus contributes toclimate change mitigation.However, in the long term it does not provide a path tonet-zero emissions.Developing natural gas infrastructure riskscarbon lock-inandstranded assets,where new fossil infrastructure either commits to decades of carbon emissions, or has to be written off before it makes a profit.[111][112]
The greenhouse gas emissions of fossil fuel and biomass power plants can be significantly reduced through carbon capture and storage (CCS). Most studies use a working assumption that CCS can capture 85–90% of thecarbon dioxide(CO2) emissions from a power plant.[113][114]Even if 90% of emitted CO2is captured from a coal-fired power plant, its uncaptured emissions are still many times greater than the emissions of nuclear, solar or wind energy per unit of electricity produced.[115][116]
Since coal plants using CCS are less efficient, they require more coal and thus increase the pollution associated with mining and transporting coal.[117]CCS is one of the most expensive ways of reducing emissions in the energy sector.[118]Deployment of this technology is very limited. As of 2024, CCS is used in only 5 power plants and in 39 other facilities.[119]
Nuclear power
editNuclear powerhas been used since the 1950s as a low-carbon source ofbaseloadelectricity.[121]Nuclear power plants in over 30 countries generate about 10% of global electricity.[122]As of 2019, nuclear generated over a quarter of alllow-carbon energy,making it the second largest source after hydropower.[89]
Nuclear power's lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions—including the mining and processing ofuranium—are similar to the emissions from renewable energy sources.[84]Nuclear power uses littleland per unit of energyproduced, compared to the major renewables. Additionally, Nuclear power does not create local air pollution.[123][124]Although theuranium oreused to fuel nuclear fission plants is a non-renewable resource, enough exists to provide a supply for hundreds to thousands of years.[125][126]However, uranium resources that can be accessed in an economically feasible manner, at the present state, are limited and uranium production could hardly keep up during the expansion phase.[127]Climate change mitigation pathways consistent with ambitious goals typically see an increase in power supply from nuclear.[128]
There is controversy over whether nuclear power is sustainable, in part due to concerns aroundnuclear waste,nuclear weapon proliferation,andaccidents.[129]Radioactive nuclear waste must be managed for thousands of years[129]and nuclear power plants createfissile materialthat can be used for weapons.[129]For each unit of energy produced, nuclear energy has caused far feweraccidentaland pollution-related deaths than fossil fuels, and the historic fatality rate of nuclear is comparable to renewable sources.[115]Public opposition to nuclear energyoften makes nuclear plants politically difficult to implement.[129]
Reducing the time and the cost of building new nuclear plants have been goals for decades butcosts remain highand timescales long.[130]Various new forms of nuclear energy are in development, hoping to address the drawbacks of conventional plants.Fast breederreactors are capable ofrecycling nuclear wasteand therefore can significantly reduce the amount of waste that requiresgeological disposal,but have not yet been deployed on a large-scale commercial basis.[131]Nuclear power based on thorium(rather than uranium) may be able to provide higher energy security for countries that do not have a large supply of uranium.[132]Small modular reactorsmay have several advantages over current large reactors: It should be possible to build them faster and their modularization would allow for cost reductions vialearning-by-doing.[133]
Several countries are attempting to developnuclear fusionreactors, which would generate small amounts of waste and no risk of explosions.[134]Although fusion power has taken steps forward in the lab, the multi-decade timescale needed to bring it to commercialization and then scale means it will not contribute to a 2050 net zero goal for climate change mitigation.[135]
Energy system transformation
editDecarbonisation of the global energy system
editThe emissions reductions necessary to keep global warming below 2°C will require a system-wide transformation of the way energy is produced, distributed, stored, and consumed.[13]For a society to replace one form of energy with another, multiple technologies and behaviours in the energy system must change. For example, transitioning from oil to solar power as the energy source for cars requires the generation of solar electricity, modifications to the electrical grid to accommodate fluctuations in solar panel output or the introduction of variable battery chargers and higher overall demand, adoption ofelectric cars,and networks ofelectric vehicle chargingfacilities and repair shops.[137]
Many climate change mitigation pathways envision three main aspects of a low-carbon energy system:
- The use of low-emission energy sources to produce electricity
- Electrification– that is increased use of electricity instead of directly burning fossil fuels
- Accelerated adoption of energy efficiency measures[138]
Some energy-intensive technologies and processes are difficult to electrify, including aviation, shipping, and steelmaking. There are several options for reducing the emissions from these sectors: biofuels and syntheticcarbon-neutral fuelscan power many vehicles that are designed to burn fossil fuels, however biofuels cannot be sustainably produced in the quantities needed and synthetic fuels are currently very expensive.[139]For some applications, the most prominent alternative to electrification is to develop a system based on sustainably-producedhydrogen fuel.[140]
Full decarbonisation of the global energy system is expected to take several decades and can mostly be achieved with existing technologies.[141]In the IEA's proposal for achieving net zero emissions by 2050, about 35% of the reduction in emissions depends on technologies that are still in development as of 2023.[142]Technologies that are relatively immature include batteries and processes to create carbon-neutral fuels.[143][144]Developing new technologies requires research and development,demonstration,andcost reductions via deployment.[143]
The transition to a zero-carbon energy system will bring strongco-benefitsfor human health: The World Health Organization estimates that efforts to limit global warming to 1.5 °C could save millions of lives each year from reductions to air pollution alone.[145][146]With good planning and management, pathways exist to provide universalaccess to electricityandclean cookingby 2030 in ways that are consistent with climate goals.[147][148]Historically, several countries have made rapid economic gains through coal usage.[147]However, there remains a window of opportunity for many poor countries and regions to "leapfrog"fossil fuel dependency by developing their energy systems based on renewables, given adequate international investment and knowledge transfer.[147]
Integrating variable energy sources
editTo deliver reliable electricity fromvariable renewable energysources such as wind and solar, electrical power systems require flexibility.[150]Mostelectrical gridswere constructed for non-intermittent energy sources such as coal-fired power plants.[151]As larger amounts of solar and wind energy are integrated into the grid, changes have to be made to the energy system to ensure that the supply of electricity is matched to demand.[152]In 2019, these sources generated 8.5% of worldwide electricity, a share that has grown rapidly.[61]
There are various ways to make the electricity system more flexible. In many places, wind and solar generation are complementary on a daily and a seasonal scale: there is more wind during the night and in winter when solar energy production is low.[152]Linking different geographical regions throughlong-distance transmission linesallows for further cancelling out of variability.[153]Energy demand can be shifted in time throughenergy demand managementand the use ofsmart grids,matching the times when variable energy production is highest. Withgrid energy storage,energy produced in excess can be released when needed.[152]Further flexibility could be provided fromsector coupling,that is coupling the electricity sector to the heat and mobility sector viapower-to-heat-systems and electric vehicles.[154]
Building overcapacity for wind and solar generation can help ensure that enough electricity is produced even during poor weather. In optimal weather, energy generation may have to becurtailedif excess electricity cannot be used or stored. The final demand-supply mismatch may be covered by usingdispatchable energy sourcessuch as hydropower, bioenergy, or natural gas.[155]
Energy storage
editEnergy storage helps overcome barriers to intermittent renewable energy and is an important aspect of a sustainable energy system.[156]The most commonly used and available storage method ispumped-storage hydroelectricity,which requires locations with large differences in height and access to water.[156]Batteries,especiallylithium-ion batteries,are also deployed widely.[157]Batteries typically store electricity for short periods; research is ongoing into technology with sufficient capacity to last through seasons.[158]
Costs of utility-scale batteries in the US have fallen by around 70% since 2015, however the cost and lowenergy densityof batteries makes them impractical for the very large energy storage needed to balance inter-seasonal variations in energy production.[159]Pumped hydro storage andpower-to-gas(converting electricity to gas and back) with capacity for multi-month usage has been implemented in some locations.[160][161]
Electrification
editCompared to the rest of the energy system, emissions can be reduced much faster in the electricity sector.[138]As of 2019, 37% of global electricity is produced from low-carbon sources (renewables and nuclear energy). Fossil fuels, primarily coal, produce the rest of the electricity supply.[163]One of the easiest and fastest ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is to phase out coal-fired power plants and increase renewable electricity generation.[138]
Climate change mitigation pathways envision extensive electrification—the use of electricity as a substitute for the direct burning of fossil fuels for heating buildings and for transport.[138]Ambitious climate policy would see a doubling of energy share consumed as electricity by 2050, from 20% in 2020.[164]
One of the challenges in providing universal access to electricity is distributing power to rural areas. Off-grid andmini-gridsystems based on renewable energy, such as small solar PV installations that generate and store enough electricity for a village, are important solutions.[165]Wider access to reliable electricity would lead to less use ofkerosene lightingand diesel generators, which are currently common in the developing world.[166]
Infrastructure for generating and storing renewable electricity requires minerals and metals, such ascobaltandlithiumfor batteries andcopperfor solar panels.[167]Recycling can meet some of this demand if product lifecycles are well-designed, however achieving net zero emissions would still require major increases in mining for 17 types of metals and minerals.[167]A small group of countries or companies sometimes dominate the markets for these commodities, raising geopolitical concerns.[168]Most of the world's cobalt, for instance, ismined in the Democratic Republic of the Congo,a politically unstable region where mining is often associated with human rights risks.[167]More diverse geographical sourcing may ensure a more flexible and less brittlesupply chain.[169]
Hydrogen
editHydrogen gas is widely discussed in the context of energy, as an energy carrier with potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.[170][171]This requires hydrogen to be produced cleanly, in quantities to supply in sectors and applications where cheaper and more energy efficientmitigationalternatives are limited. These applications include heavy industry and long-distance transport.[170]
Hydrogen can be deployed as an energy source infuel cellsto produce electricity, or via combustion to generate heat.[172]When hydrogen is consumed in fuel cells, the only emission at the point of use is water vapour.[172]Combustion of hydrogen can lead to the thermal formation of harmfulnitrogen oxides.[172]The overall lifecycle emissions of hydrogen depend on how it is produced. Nearly all of the world's current supply of hydrogen is created from fossil fuels.[173][174]
The main method issteam methane reforming,in which hydrogen is produced from a chemical reaction between steam andmethane,the main component of natural gas. Producing one tonne of hydrogen through this process emits 6.6–9.3 tonnes of carbon dioxide.[175]While carbon capture and storage (CCS) could remove a large fraction of these emissions, the overall carbon footprint of hydrogen from natural gas is difficult to assess as of 2021[update],in part because of emissions (includingventedandfugitivemethane) created in the production of the natural gas itself.[176]
Electricity can be used to split water molecules, producing sustainable hydrogen provided the electricity was generated sustainably. However, thiselectrolysisprocess is currently more expensive than creating hydrogen from methane without CCS and the efficiency of energy conversion is inherently low.[140]Hydrogen can be produced when there is a surplus ofvariable renewable electricity,then stored and used to generate heat or to re-generate electricity.[177]It can be further transformed into liquid fuels such asgreen ammoniaandgreen methanol.[178]Innovation inhydrogen electrolyserscould make large-scale production of hydrogen from electricitymore cost-competitive.[179]
Hydrogen fuel can produce the intense heat required for industrial production of steel, cement, glass, and chemicals, thus contributing to the decarbonisation of industry alongside other technologies, such aselectric arc furnacesfor steelmaking.[180]For steelmaking, hydrogen can function as a clean energy carrier and simultaneously as a low-carbon catalyst replacing coal-derivedcoke.[181]Hydrogen used to decarbonise transportation is likely to find its largest applications in shipping, aviation and to a lesser extent heavy goods vehicles.[170]For light duty vehicles including passenger cars, hydrogen is far behind otheralternative fuel vehicles,especially compared with the rate of adoption ofbattery electric vehicles,and may not play a significant role in future.[182]
Disadvantages of hydrogen as an energy carrier include high costs of storage and distribution due to hydrogen's explosivity, its large volume compared to other fuels, and its tendency to make pipes brittle.[176]
Energy usage technologies
editTransport
editTransport accounts for 14% of global greenhouse gas emissions,[184]but there are multiple ways to make transport more sustainable.Public transporttypically emits fewer greenhouse gases per passenger than personal vehicles, since trains and buses can carry many more passengers at once.[185][186]Short-distance flights can be replaced byhigh-speed rail,which is more efficient, especially when electrified.[187][188]Promoting non-motorised transport such as walking and cycling, particularly in cities, can make transport cleaner and healthier.[189][190]
Theenergy efficiency of carshas increased over time,[191]but shifting toelectric vehiclesis an important further step towards decarbonising transport and reducing air pollution.[192]A large proportion of traffic-related air pollution consists of particulate matter from road dust and the wearing-down of tyres and brake pads.[193]Substantially reducing pollution from thesenon-tailpipesources cannot be achieved by electrification; it requires measures such as making vehicles lighter and driving them less.[194]Light-duty cars in particular are a prime candidate for decarbonization usingbattery technology.25% of the world'sCO2emissions still originate from the transportation sector.[195]
Long-distance freight transport and aviation are difficult sectors to electrify with current technologies, mostly because of the weight ofbatteriesneeded for long-distance travel, battery recharging times, and limited battery lifespans.[196][159]Where available, freight transport by shipand railis generally more sustainable than by air and by road.[197]Hydrogen vehiclesmay be an option for larger vehicles such as lorries.[198]Many of the techniques needed to lower emissions from shipping and aviation are still early in their development, withammonia(produced from hydrogen) a promising candidate for shipping fuel.[199]Aviation biofuelmay be one of the better uses of bioenergy if emissions are captured and stored during manufacture of the fuel.[200]
Buildings
editOver one-third of energy use is in buildings and their construction.[201]To heat buildings, alternatives to burning fossil fuels and biomass include electrification throughheat pumpsorelectric heaters,geothermal energy,central solar heating,reuse ofwaste heat,andseasonal thermal energy storage.[202][203][204]Heat pumps provide both heat and air conditioning through a single appliance.[205]The IEA estimates heat pumps could provide over 90% of space and water heating requirements globally.[206]
A highly efficient way to heat buildings is throughdistrict heating,in which heat is generated in a centralised location and then distributed to multiple buildings throughinsulated pipes.Traditionally, most district heating systems have used fossil fuels, butmodernandcold district heatingsystems are designed to use high shares of renewable energy.[207][208]
Cooling of buildings can be made more efficient throughpassive building design,planning that minimises theurban heat islandeffect, anddistrict coolingsystems that cool multiple buildings with piped cold water.[210][211]Air conditioningrequires large amounts of electricity and is not always affordable for poorer households.[211]Some air conditioning units still userefrigerantsthat are greenhouse gases, as some countries have not ratified theKigali Amendmentto only use climate-friendly refrigerants.[212]
Cooking
editIn developing countries where populations suffer fromenergy poverty,polluting fuels such as wood or animal dung are often used for cooking. Cooking with these fuels is generally unsustainable, because they release harmful smoke and because harvesting wood can lead to forest degradation.[215]The universal adoption of clean cooking facilities, which are already ubiquitous in rich countries,[213]would dramatically improve health and have minimal negative effects on climate.[216][217]Clean cooking facilities, e.g. cooking facilities that produce less indoor soot, typically use natural gas,liquefied petroleum gas(both of which consume oxygen and produce carbon-dioxide) or electricity as the energy source; biogas systems are a promising alternative in some contexts.[213]Improved cookstovesthat burn biomass more efficiently than traditional stoves are an interim solution where transitioning to clean cooking systems is difficult.[218]
Industry
editOver one-third of energy use is by industry. Most of that energy is deployed in thermal processes: generating heat, drying, andrefrigeration.The share of renewable energy in industry was 14.5% in 2017—mostly low-temperature heat supplied by bioenergy and electricity. The most energy-intensive activities in industry have the lowest shares of renewable energy, as they face limitations in generating heat at temperatures over 200 °C (390 °F).[219]
For some industrial processes, commercialisation of technologies that have not yet been built or operated at full scale will be needed to eliminate greenhouse gas emissions.[220]Steelmaking,for instance, is difficult to electrify because it traditionally usescoke,which is derived from coal, both to create very high-temperature heat and as an ingredient in the steel itself.[221]The production of plastic, cement, and fertilisers also requires significant amounts of energy, with limited possibilities available to decarbonise.[222]A switch to acircular economywould make industry more sustainable as it involves recycling more and thereby using less energy compared to investing energy to mine and refine newraw materials.[223]
Government policies
edit"Bringing new energy technologies to market can often take several decades, but the imperative of reaching net‐zero emissions globally by 2050 means that progress has to be much faster. Experience has shown that the role of government is crucial in shortening the time needed to bring new technology to market and to diffuse it widely."
Well-designed government policies that promote energy system transformation can lower greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality simultaneously, and in many cases can also increase energy security and lessen the financial burden of using energy.[225]
Environmental regulationshave been used since the 1970s to promote more sustainable use of energy.[226]Some governments have committed to dates forphasing out coal-fired power plantsand ending newfossil fuel exploration.Governments can require that new cars produce zero emissions, or new buildings are heated by electricity instead of gas.[227]Renewable portfolio standardsin several countries require utilities to increase the percentage of electricity they generate from renewable sources.[228][229]
Governments can accelerate energy system transformation by leading the development of infrastructure such as long-distance electrical transmission lines, smart grids, and hydrogen pipelines.[230]In transport, appropriate infrastructure and incentives can make travel more efficient and less car-dependent.[225]Urban planningthat discouragessprawlcan reduce energy use in local transport and buildings while enhancing quality of life.[225]Government-funded research, procurement, and incentive policies have historically been critical to the development and maturation of clean energy technologies, such as solar and lithium batteries.[231]In the IEA's scenario for a net zero-emission energy system by 2050, public funding is rapidly mobilised to bring a range of newer technologies to the demonstration phase and to encourage deployment.[232]
Carbon pricing(such as a tax on CO2emissions) gives industries and consumers an incentive to reduce emissions while letting them choose how to do so. For example, they can shift to low-emission energy sources, improve energy efficiency, or reduce their use of energy-intensive products and services.[233]Carbon pricing has encountered strongpolitical pushbackin some jurisdictions, whereas energy-specific policies tend to be politically safer.[234][235]Most studies indicate that to limit global warming to 1.5°C, carbon pricing would need to be complemented by stringent energy-specific policies.[236]
As of 2019, the price of carbon in most regions is too low to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement.[237]Carbon taxesprovide a source of revenue that can be used to lower other taxes[238]or help lower-income households afford higher energy costs.[239]Some governments, such as the EU and the UK, are exploring the use ofcarbon border adjustments.[240]These placetariffson imports from countries with less stringent climate policies, to ensure that industries subject to internal carbon prices remain competitive.[241][242]
The scale and pace of policy reforms that have been initiated as of 2020 are far less than needed to fulfil the climate goals of the Paris Agreement.[243][244]In addition to domestic policies, greater international cooperation is required to accelerate innovation and to assist poorer countries in establishing a sustainable path to full energy access.[245]
Countries may support renewables to create jobs.[246]TheInternational Labour Organizationestimates that efforts to limit global warming to 2 °C would result in net job creation in most sectors of the economy.[247]It predicts that 24 million new jobs would be created by 2030 in areas such as renewable electricity generation, improving energy-efficiency in buildings, and the transition to electric vehicles. Six million jobs would be lost, in sectors such as mining and fossil fuels.[247]Governments can make the transition to sustainable energy more politically and socially feasible by ensuring ajust transitionfor workers and regions that depend on the fossil fuel industry, to ensure they have alternative economic opportunities.[147]
Finance
editRaising enough money for innovation and investment is a prerequisite for the energy transition.[250]The IPCC estimates that to limit global warming to 1.5 °C, US$2.4 trillion would need to be invested in the energy system each year between 2016 and 2035. Most studies project that these costs, equivalent to 2.5% of world GDP, would be small compared to the economic and health benefits.[251]Average annual investment in low-carbon energy technologies and energy efficiency would need to be six times more by 2050 compared to 2015.[252]Underfunding is particularly acute in the least developed countries, which are not attractive to the private sector.[253]
TheUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Changeestimates that climate financing totalled $681 billion in 2016.[254]Most of this is private-sector investment in renewable energy deployment, public-sector investment in sustainable transport, and private-sector investment in energy efficiency.[255]The Paris Agreement includes a pledge of an extra $100 billion per year from developed countries to poor countries, to do climate change mitigation and adaptation. This goal has not been met and measurement of progress has been hampered by unclear accounting rules.[256][257]If energy-intensive businesses like chemicals, fertilizers, ceramics, steel, and non-ferrous metals invest significantly in R&D, its usage in industry might amount to between 5% and 20% of all energy used.[258][259]
Fossil fuel funding andsubsidiesare a significant barrier to the energy transition.[260][250]Direct global fossil fuel subsidies were $319 billion in 2017. This rises to $5.2 trillion when indirect costs are priced in, like the effects of air pollution.[261]Ending these could lead to a 28% reduction in global carbon emissions and a 46% reduction in air pollution deaths.[262]Funding for clean energy has been largely unaffected by theCOVID-19 pandemic,and pandemic-related economic stimulus packages offer possibilities for agreen recovery.[263][264]
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