Premiership of Liz Truss

Liz Truss's tenure asPrime Minister of the United Kingdombegan on 6 September 2022 when she accepted an invitation fromQueen Elizabeth IIto form a government, succeedingBoris Johnson,and ended 49 days later on 25 October upon her resignation. As prime minister, she served simultaneously asFirst Lord of the Treasury,Minister for the Civil Service,andMinister for the Union.

Liz Truss
Official portrait, 2022
Premiership of Liz Truss
6 September 2022 – 25 October 2022
Monarchs
CabinetTruss ministry
PartyConservative
Seat10 Downing Street

Coat of arms of HM Government

Truss defeatedRishi Sunakin theJuly–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership electionon 5 September and was appointed prime minister the following day.Elizabeth II's deathon 8 September caused government business to be suspended during anational mourning periodof 10 days. In response to thecost-of-living crisisandenergy supply crisis,theTruss ministryannounced theEnergy Price Guarantee,which reduced energy prices for households, businesses, and public sector organisations.Kwasi Kwarteng,thenChancellor of the Exchequer,announced large-scale borrowing and tax cuts ina mini-budgeton 23 September. The mini-budget was widely criticised and largely reversed, having led to financial instability.

Truss dismissed Kwarteng without explanation on 14 October and appointedJeremy Huntto succeed him.Suella Bravermanresigned asHome Secretaryon 19 October after admitting to having used her personal email address to send aCabinetdocument. Her resignation letter was critical of Truss's government. On the evening of 19 October, MPs voted to reject a motion which would guarantee parliamentary time for a bill to banfracking in the UK.The vote was controversial as it was unclear whether athree-line-whiphad been issued to Conservative MPs, ordering them to vote against it. Allegations of "manhandling" and intimidation were made by a number of MPs against some government ministers. Following these events, together withmounting criticism and loss of confidence in her leadership,Truss announced on 20 October her intention to resign as party leader and as prime minister. Sunakwas elected unopposedas her successor and succeeded her as leader on 24 October and as prime minister on 25 October.[1][2][3]

Truss is the third female prime minister, followingMargaret ThatcherandTheresa May,and is both the last of 15 UK prime ministers to have served under Elizabeth II and the first to have served underKing Charles III.She is also theshortest-serving prime minister in the country's history,and recorded the lowest approval ratings of any British prime minister.[4][5][a]

Conservative leadership bid

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Campaign logo

Liz Trusslaunched her bid to succeedBoris Johnsonon 10 July 2022.[7]During theJuly–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership election,Truss pledged to cut taxes by scrapping theNational Insurancerise that had previously been announced in April 2022, scrapping the recent corporation tax rise and she also promised to remove green energy levies.[8][9]During the campaign, when asked whether French PresidentEmmanuel Macronwas a friend or foe, Truss replied that the "jury was out" and that she would judge Macron based on his "deeds not words".[10]During a hustings event, Truss suggested that it would be best to ignore the "attention seeker" Scottish First MinisterNicola Sturgeonbefore rejecting the possibility of asecond independence referendumfor Scotland.[11]

Truss finished second in the fifth round of voting amongst the Conservative Parliamentary Party on 20 July 2022 with 113 votes behindRishi Sunakwith 137 votes, qualifying her for the final vote amongst the membership.[12]She defeatedRishi Sunakin the members' vote with 57.4 per cent of the vote against Sunak's 42.6 per cent.[13]She was elected on 5 September 2022, assuming office on 6 September 2022.[14]She became the fourth consecutive Conservative Party prime minister since 2010,[15]and the third female prime minister, followingMargaret ThatcherandTheresa May.[16]Following the announcement there were protests in London.[17][18]

Premiership

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First speech and initial appointments

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Truss giving her first speech as prime minister, 6 September 2022
Truss chairing the first meeting of her cabinet.

Truss made her first speech as prime minister in Downing Street on 6 September. In the speech she thanked and praised Johnson, and focused on economic growth, similar to during her campaign. Truss also stated the need for anenergy planas well otherforeign policystatements.[19][20]Loud music was played outside Downing Street by protesters as Truss spoke.[21]

With the appointment ofKwasi KwartengasChancellor of the Exchequer,James CleverlyasForeign Secretary,andSuella BravermanasHome Secretary,for the first time inBritish political history,no white men held positions in theGreat Offices of State.[22][23][24]

Other key appointments included that ofThérèse CoffeyasDeputy Prime MinisterandHealth Secretary,Brandon LewisasJustice Secretary,Nadhim ZahawiasChancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster,Chris Heaton-HarrisasNorthern Ireland Secretary,Jake BerryasMinister without Portfolioand Party chairman,Jacob Rees-MoggasBusiness Secretary,Simon ClarkeasHousing Secretary,Kemi BadenochasSecretary of State for International Trade,Chloe SmithasWork and Pensions Secretary,Kit MalthouseasEducation Secretary,Ranil JayawardenaasEnvironment Secretary,Anne-Marie TrevelyanasTransport Secretary,andMichael EllisasAttorney General for England and Wales.[25]Truss retainedBen WallaceasDefence Secretary,Alok SharmaasPresident for COP26,Alister JackasScotland Secretary,Robert BucklandasWales Secretary,andJames HeappeyasMinister of State for the Armed Forces and Veterans[b][26]

In September 2022, Truss's chief of staffMark Fullbrookwas revealed to have been questioned by theFBIregarding an election bribe inPuerto Rico.[27]Dominic Johnsonwas given a life peerage to enable him to be appointed as an investment minister. Johnson was a Conservative Party donor and gave the Conservatives over £300,000, and former business partner ofJacob Rees-Mogg.[28][29]

Death of Queen Elizabeth II

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Truss was the fifteenth and final prime minister to serve underElizabeth II,who died two days after appointing her.[30][31][32]Her death at the age of 96 was announced byBuckingham Palaceon 8 September at 6.30 pm.[33]Truss delivered a statement outside 10 Downing Street paying tribute to the Queen, stating that "Queen Elizabeth II was the rock on which modern Britain was built."[34]A video from 1994 emerged around this time of Truss branding the monarchy "disgraceful" and advocating for a republic. Truss was then the president of theOxford University Liberal Democrats.[35]

TheHouse of Commonsbegan two days of special tributes to the Queen on 9 September and started the suspension of Parliament until 21 September during the national mourning period.[36][37]Truss attended theAccession CeremonyofCharles IIIthe following day[38]and took an oath of allegiance to the King alongside other senior MPs.[39]On 12 September, King Charles III addressed Parliament for the first time as monarch.[40]She also attended thestate funeral of Elizabeth IIatWestminster Abbeyon 19 September, where she read a lesson during the service.[41]

Cost of living crisis and energy policies

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In response to theUK cost of living crisis,Truss set out plans to launch theEnergy Price Guarantee,a scheme to freeze energy bills at an average of £2,500 a year for two years to support homes and businesses through the crisis.[42]Truss stated that the government would fund the scheme by reducing the unit cost of energy through increased borrowing.[43][44]The initiative was forecast to cost approximately £150 billion in taxpayer funds to energy suppliers to make up the difference between what they pay for power in the wholesale markets, and the capped consumer prices.[45]Additionally, it was announced that green levies worth on average £150 per year would be removed temporarily.[46]To fund the scheme, theLabour Partyhad proposed awindfall taxon excess profits of energy companies; however, Truss rejected these proposals claiming that it would deter investment.[47]Truss claimed that her proposals would save each household £1,000 a year on average.[48]

As part of Truss's cost of living proposals, energy resilience was also highlighted as a priority including plans to lift the moratorium onfrackingfor shale gas in the near future and launching a new round of approximately 100 new oil and gas licences.[44][49]Equally, Truss planned to accelerate new sources of energy supply includingnuclear,windandsolarenergy.[44]Many northern Conservative MPs oppose ending the moratorium on fracking.Mark Menziesleads this group and Menzies insists fracking has no local support.[50]

Industrial relations

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Throughout the summer and autumn of 2022, several railway strikes took place, after a ballot ofNational Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers(RMT) members over whether they should take industrial action.[51]The dispute between the government and rail companies were concerning pay, redundancies and changes to terms and conditions.[52]The RMT suggested that salaries should increase due to the ongoing cost of living crisis.[53]Furthermore, the RMT highlighted the issue of redundancies withNetwork Railplanning on cutting 2,500 jobs within the next two years.[54]In the same period,criminal barristers had begun strikingduring her predecessor's premiership. On 10 October 2022, barristers voted to end the strike after reaching a deal with Truss'sSecretary of State for Justice,Brandon Lewis.[55]

Trussonomics and the September 2022 mini-budget

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TheSeptember 2022 United Kingdom mini-budget

Truss's economic policies, called "Trussonomics", were advocated by theFree Enterprise Group,a group ofThatcherite-leaningConservative PartyMPs founded by Truss in mid-2011. The policies are based upon the principle of reducing the overall tax burden, as part of a model intended to create a high-growth,free-marketeconomy.[56][57][58]

The policies of Trussonomics involve extensive tax cuts in addition to reducing government regulation and repealing employment laws to attract businesses, encourage entrepreneurship, and grow the economy. Proponents of Trussonomics argue that lower taxes would pay for themselves by encouraging economic growth, a theory known assupply-side economics.The tax cuts proposed in the Truss–Kwartengmini-budgetwere therefore to be funded by borrowing. The proponents' expectations were that, kick-started by a temporary scheme of lending, tax revenue would eventually increase due to growth in the economy, relieving the need for amassing debt from the tax-cutting measures. Trussonomics was influenced by the economic policies ofRonald Reagan,known asReaganomics,and ofNigel Lawson,the secondChancellor of the ExchequerunderMargaret Thatcher.[59]Her chief economist wasMatthew Sinclair.[60]

In response to a stagnant economy, a mini-budget was announced in September 2022 with "growth" as its key ambition.[61]It led to a run on sterling, a fall in gilt markets, lost confidence among global investors and criticism from theInternational Monetary Fund(IMF).[62]It included measures in several sectors such as taxation, benefits, work and investment, stamp duty, energy, bankers' bonuses, shopping, infrastructure and investment zones.[63]The package which was announced by Chancellor of the ExchequerKwasi Kwartengrelied heavily on government borrowing.[61]Goldman Sachs,Bank of Americaand the IMF among others were sceptical that £45 billion unfunded tax cuts could lead to economic growth and pay for itself as the government hoped.[62]Within the budget, Kwarteng removed the 45 per cent rate of income tax paid by those earning more than £150,000 a year, reversed the rise in national insurance contributions and brought forward by a year the reduction in the basic rate of income tax from 20 per cent to 19 per cent planned for 2024 whilst also scrapping the cap on bankers' bonuses.[64]

Major mini-budget measures by cost over 5 years[65][66]
£ billions
National Insurance increase reversal
77
Corporation Tax cancel increase
63
Energy bills support 2022–23
60[a]
Cost of living support
15
Stamp Duty reduction
7
Income Tax remove 45% rate band
7
IR35easing
6
aDomestic energy support runs to Sep 2024, but only first 6 months is costed

As part of the mini-budget, Kwarteng announced a cut onstamp duty.[67]Buyers in England andNorthern Irelandwould pay no stamp duty on the first £250,000 of a property's value, with the previous threshold being £125,000. For first-time buyers, no tax would be paid on the first £425,000.[68]However, experts said that the cut in stamp duty was unlikely to help first-time homebuyers to get on the property ladder and risked pushing up house prices further.[69]Kwarteng refused to allow theOffice for Budget Responsibility(OBR) to assess the economic impact of the mini budget prior to its announcement. Conservative MPMel Stride,a member of theTreasury Select Committee,wanted independent forecasts published to "provide reassurance and confidence to international markets and investors".[70]

Following the mini-budget announcement, the markets reacted badly with thesterlingandgovernment bondsdropping significantly in response to a large increase in government borrowing.[71][72]By 23 September, the pound had hit a 37-year low against theUS dollarat below $1.10 whilst theFTSE 100 Indexfell by 2.3 per cent.[73]Andrew Wishart, atCapital Economics,said the market reaction to Kwarteng's budget suggested mortgage rates of more than 6 per cent were now a "distinct possibility".[69]TheLabour Partyaccused the Conservatives of gambling on the economy.[74]On 27 September, theIMFalso warned the UK government that it should re-evaluate the planned tax cuts announced in the mini-budget as they would heighten inequality and inflation in the country.[75]Additionally, there was a strong public reaction with oneYouGovpoll on 29 September recording a 33-point lead for theLabour Partyahead of the Conservatives.[76]Truss's personal approval rating were reported as minus 37, falling from minus 7 in one week, with 12 per cent of people describing the mini-budget as a good policy.[77]

In response, Truss and Kwarteng reversed the decision on the removal of the 45 pence of income tax for higher earners on 3 October following a significant backlash.[78]Kwarteng was dismissed by Truss on 14 October 2022,[79]who appointedJeremy Huntto succeed him.[80]Later that day, Truss held a press conference which lasted for eight minutes with Truss announcing that the previously planned corporation tax rise that she had campaigned to abandon during the leadership campaign would now go ahead.[81][82]Truss said she decided on these changes because the mini-budget "went further and faster than markets were expecting".[83]

Criticism

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The implementation of Trussonomics was heavily criticised by members of opposing political parties, with members of theLabour Partydescribing the policies as "casino economics" and suggesting it would be of greater benefit to the wealthy than those on moderate incomes.[84]The Scottish first ministerNicola Sturgeonand the Welsh finance ministerRebecca Evansboth made statements in opposition to the tax cuts proposed under the September 2022 mini-budget,[85][86]with someConservative PartyMPs also stating it was wrong to cut taxes.[87][88]Theeditorial boardofThe Guardiancriticised Trussonomics for going against the desires of the British voters by lowering taxes, reducing public spending, and increasing interest rates at a time when many in the United Kingdom desired more government investment, thenationalisationof certain industries, and lower levels of inequality.[89]

Internationally, Trussonomics was criticised for its handling of the British economy. TheInternational Monetary Fund(IMF), which acts to stabilise the global economy and sound economic warnings, took the unusual step of issuing a statement in which it openly criticised Truss's economic policies, stating that "the nature of the UK measures will likely increase inequality", and urging Truss's government to "re-evaluate" its tax measures, "especially those that benefit high income earners".[90]U.S. PresidentJoe Bidenstated that he believed implementing Trussonomics was a "mistake", saying he disagreed with "the idea of cutting taxes on the super-wealthy".[91]Other world leaders and world media also criticised the mini-budget and Truss's economic policy.[92]

In his first speech as prime minister,Rishi Sunaksaid of Truss: "She was not wrong to want to improve growth in this country; it is a noble aim. And I admired her restlessness to create change. But somemistakes were made.Not borne of ill will or bad intentions; quite the opposite, in fact. But mistakes nonetheless. "[93]Sunak had previously criticised Truss's economic policy plans during theJuly–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership election.[94]

Calls for Truss's resignation

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According toThe Telegraph,as of 17 October, there were at least five Conservative MPs calling for Truss's resignation:Crispin Blunt,Andrew Bridgen,Angela Richardson,Charles WalkerandJamie Wallis.[95]In an interview with the BBC's Chris Mason that evening Truss said she was "sorry for themistakes that have been made"but remained" committed to the vision ". She also said she would lead the Conservatives into the next general election.[96]Lord Frost,on 18 October, had also called for the Prime Minister to resign.[97]

Truss had meetings with SirGraham Brady,the chair of the1922 Committeeon 17 and 20 October.[98]The former meeting was stated to have caused Truss to miss anurgent questionon the afternoon of 17 October requested by opposition leader Keir Starmer and granted byHouse of Commons SpeakerSir Lindsay Hoyle—withLeader of the HousePenny Mordauntanswering on Truss's behalf.[99]Truss's absence drew criticism from a number of MPs, including Starmer, although Truss later made a brief appearance in the House.[100]

British tabloid newspaperDaily Starreleaseda livestream of an iceberg lettuceon 14 October afterThe Economistcompared Truss's term to "the shelf-life of a lettuce".[101]

Resignations and vote on fracking

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I think it's ashamblesand a disgrace... I hope all those people that put Liz Truss into Number 10, I hope it was worth it... because the damage they have done to our party is extraordinary.

Charles Walker's remarks on the market fallout, subsequent government crisis and Conservative unpopularity.[102]

Home SecretarySuella Bravermanresigned on 19 October and was replaced byGrant Shapps.[103]The resignation was triggered by Braverman admitting to having shared an official document through her private email account with a parliamentary colleague. In her resignation letter, Braverman expressed "concerns about the direction of the government" and added that she "had serious concerns about this government's commitment to honouring manifesto commitments".[104]

The same day,Ed Miliband,aLabour PartyMP, tabled anopposition daymotion on the subject offracking.[105]Truss pledged as part of her leadership campaign to lift the moratorium on fracking, yet some Conservative MPs had expressed concern about the change as it went against their 2019 manifesto.[106]The motion was a Programme Order, which, if carried, would have bound the House to consider and hold a vote on a Bill banning fracking, under the rules and timetable set in the Order itself. As the motion would have granted the opposition partial control of thebusiness of the House of Commonson certain days, the partywhipsstrictly informed Conservative MPs to vote against it (a three-line whip). They were also informed that the vote would be treated as amatter of confidence.[106][107]

As the day progressed,10 Downing Streetbecame increasingly concerned about the potential size of the rebellion among Conservative MPs and informed the climate minister,Graham Stuart,that the vote would no longer be treated as a matter of confidence. Although he subsequently relayed this to the House of Commons, the whips' office were not made aware of the change, resulting in confusion and disarray among Conservative MPs.[108]

Soon after,William Wraggbecame the sixth MP to publicly call on the Prime Minister to go.[109]Several Conservative MPs did not vote against the fracking motion.[110]Confusion followed after the MinisterGraham Stuarttold Parliament "obviously this is not a confidence vote". Amid reports of Conservative MPs physically jostling their colleagues to vote against the Labour motion,[111]theChief WhipWendy Mortonand deputy chief whipCraig Whittakerwere both thought to have resigned.[112][113]Later it was clarified that they had not, and remained in their posts.[114]An MP described the vote as "chaos" with claims, denied by cabinet ministers, that Conservative whips had manhandled and bullied backbenchers into voting against.[115][116]Labour MPChris Bryantmade claims onSky Newssaying that he saw MPs "physically manhandled through thevoting lobby"naming Deputy Prime MinisterThérèse Coffeyalong withJacob Rees-Moggas those he saw in the "group". Later that evening, theSpeaker of the HouseLindsay Hoyleannounced that he had asked theSerjeant at Armsand other parliamentary officials to investigate the allegations made about the incident.[117]The fracking motion was ultimately defeated by a vote of 326–230, with 324 Conservative MPs opposing it.[118]

DuringPrime Minister's Questionson 19 October, opposition Labour Party leaderKeir Starmerquestioned why Truss had not resigned, to which she responded: "I am a fighter and not a quitter", a phrase first made famous byPeter Mandelson,a former Labour PartyFirst Secretary of State.[119][120][121]

Resignation and aftermath

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Truss announces her resignation outside 10 Downing Street on 20 October 2022; she left office on 25 October.

Truss announced her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party at 1:30pm on 20 October 2022.[122]In her speech, she stated that she could not "deliver the mandate on which I was elected by the Conservative Party".[123][124]Truss confirmed that the subsequentleadership electionwould be held within the next week and that she would step down as prime minister when it concluded.[125]Truss resigned as prime minister on 25 October on her 50th day in office thus making her the UK's shortest-serving prime minister.

In response to the resignation, Starmer and Sturgeon called for an immediate general election. Calls for an early election were also echoed by the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party.[126][127]French PresidentEmmanuel Macronsaid "it is important that Great Britain regains political stability very quickly, and that is all I wish."[128]US PresidentJoe Bidenthanked Truss "for her partnership on a range of issues including holding Russia accountable for its war against Ukraine".[129]

Sunak returned for the impendingConservative leadership campaignand was elected unopposed as Conservative Party leader and prime minister. Truss congratulated him and said that he had her "full support."[130]

In February 2023, Truss wrote that she was not given a "realistic chance" to enact her policies, citing a "powerful economic establishment" and a lack of support from her own party.[131]

Following her resignation, the future of Trussonomics is uncertain. Economic analysts have argued that despite the reversal of Truss's economic policies, Trussonomics will continue to have a lasting impact on the British economy, specifically with regard to market stability and credibility issues.[132]Analysts have stated that a harder economic downturn marked by a 2 per cent contraction in GDP can be expected, with Truss's successor potentially having to implementausteritymeasures and spending cuts in an attempt to restore market credibility.[133]In November 2022, just days beforeJeremy Hunt's autumn statement, an independent think tank,Resolution Foundation,estimated that the Truss government was responsible for £30bn of the £60bn fiscal hole that needs to be tackled.[134]

Popularity

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Protest against Truss and the Conservative Party on 5 September

Following the Conservative Party conference in October 2022, Truss had an approval rating of −47 per cent according to an opinion poll byThe Observer.This was worse thanBoris Johnson's rating during thePartygatescandle andTheresa May's rating before her resignation. 53 per cent of voters thought Truss should resign and 25 per cent wanted her to stay as Conservative leader.[135]

AnOpiniumpoll held between 26 and 30 September 2022 projected a Labour lead of 15 points, predicting the Conservatives to lose 219 seats in a general election including ten cabinet ministers.[136]

As of mid-October 2022,bookmakerswere taking odds for the date of Truss's resignation.[137]Bookmakers placed Sunak first in their list of likely Conservative prime ministerial successors, followed in order by Hunt, Mordaunt, Wallace and Johnson.[138]

AYouGovpoll in October 2022 found that 77 per cent of Britons disapproved of the Conservative government, the highest on YouGov record in eleven years. Furthermore, they stated that 87 per cent of people believed that the government was handling the economy poorly.[139]Their survey of Conservative Party members reported that a majority of them wanted Truss to resign, with their favoured front runners for her replacement beingBoris Johnsonas most popular, followed in order byBen Wallace,Rishi Sunak,Penny Mordaunt,Kemi Badenoch,Jeremy Hunt,andSuella Braverman.[140][141]Equally, a Redfield & Wilton poll registered a 36 per cent lead for the Labour Party (the largest lead by any party since October 1997) and recorded Truss's personal approval rating at 9 per cent.[142]

International prime ministerial trips

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Truss with US PresidentJoe Bidenin New York City, September 2022.

Truss made two overseas trips during her premiership.

Country Location(s) Dates Details
1 United States New York City 19–22 September Truss travelled to New York City to attend the77thUnited Nations General Assembly.[143]
2 Czech Republic Prague 6 October Truss travelled to Prague to attend theinaugural meetingof theEuropean Political Community.[144]

See also

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Explanatory notes

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  1. ^Rishi Sunak, Truss's successor, recorded lower approval ratings amongst individuals who voted for the Conservative Party at the 2019 general election.[6]
  2. ^Heappey, who previously served as Minister of State for the Armed Forces, was given the additional portfolio of Veterans' Minister and was given the right to attend Cabinet.

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British premierships
Preceded by Truss premiership
September–October 2022
Succeeded by