2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii
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The2016 United States Senate election in Hawaiiwas held November 8, 2016, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential electionas well as other elections to theUnited States SenateandHouse of Representativesand various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 13. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorBrian Schatzwon reelection to his first full term in office, defeating Republican former state legislatorJohn Carroll.
Background
[edit]In 2011,Daniel Inouyeannounced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old.[1][2]He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible."[3]
Inouye died on December 17, 2012.[4]Hawaii GovernorNeil AbercrombieappointedLieutenant GovernorBrian Schatz,a Democrat, to succeed Inouye. Schatz won a2014 special electionto serve the remainder of Inouye's term.[5]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Makani Christensen[6]
- Tutz Honeychurch[6]
- Arturo Reyes,perennial candidate[6]
- Brian Schatz,incumbent senator[5]
- Miles Shiratori[6]
Declined
[edit]- Colleen Hanabusa,former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in2014(running forHI-01)[7]
- Mark Takai,U.S. Representative[8](died)
- Tulsi Gabbard,U.S. Representative (runningfor reelection)[8]
Former
[edit]- Daniel Inouye,U.S. Senator fromHawaii(1963–2012), U.S. Representative forHawaii's at-large congressional district(1959–1963). Inouye had declared his intent to run for re-election to a record tenth term, but he died in office on December 17, 2012.[9][1][2]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Schatz (incumbent) | 162,891 | 86.17% | |
| Democratic | Makani Christensen | 11,898 | 6.29% | |
| Democratic | Miles Shiratori | 8,620 | 4.56% | |
| Democratic | Arturo Reyes | 3,819 | 2.02% | |
| Democratic | Tutz Honeychurch | 1,815 | 0.96% | |
| Total votes | 189,043 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- John Carroll,formerState Senator,formerState Representative,nominee for US Senate in2000and perennial candidate[6]
- Karla Gottschalk, attorney[6]
- Eddie Pirkowski, perennial candidate[6]
- John Roco, perennial candidate[6]
Withdrew
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Cam Cavasso,former state representative and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in2004,2010,and2014
- Charles Djou,former U.S. Representative (runningforMayorofHonolulu)
Results
[edit]
Carroll—70–80%
Carroll—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Carroll | 26,747 | 74.58% | |
| Republican | John P. Roco | 3,956 | 11.03% | |
| Republican | Karla Gottschalk | 3,045 | 8.49% | |
| Republican | Eddie Pirkowski | 2,114 | 5.89% | |
| Total votes | 35,862 | 100.00% | ||
Other primaries
[edit]Libertarian
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Michael Kokoski | 909 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 909 | 100.00% | ||
Constitution
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Joy Allison, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[6]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constitution | Joy Allison | 217 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 217 | 100.00% | ||
American Shopping
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- John Giuffre[6]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Shopping | John Giuffre | 111 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 111 | 100.00% | ||
General election
[edit]Schatz defeated Carroll on election day, winning his second election to the U.S. Senate and his first full term after being appointed to the seat in 2012 following the death ofDaniel Inouye.This was his largest margin of victory, as he won over 4% more of the electorate in this election.
Fundraising
[edit]| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schatz(D)[14] | $3,316,074 | $1,195,572 | $3,074,380 |
| John Carroll(R) |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Safe D | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[17] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[18] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[19] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Schatz (D) |
John Carroll (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[20] | November 1–7, 2016 | 426 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[21] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 426 | ± 4.6% | 67% | 29% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[22] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 435 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 26% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey[23] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 424 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[24] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 428 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[25] | October 25–31, 2016 | 467 | ± 4.6% | 69% | 27% | 4% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Schatz(incumbent) | 306,604 | 73.61% | +3.83% | |
| Republican | John Carroll | 92,653 | 22.24% | −5.46% | |
| Constitution | Joy Allison | 9,103 | 2.19% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Michael Kokowski | 6,809 | 1.63% | −0.89% | |
| American Shopping | John Giuffre | 1,393 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 416,562 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
By congressional district
[edit]Schatz won both congressional districts.[27]
| District | Schatz | Carroll | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 74% | 22% | Colleen Hanabusa |
| 2nd | 73% | 22% | Tulsi Gabbard |
References
[edit]- ^abManu Raju and John Bresnahan (April 12, 2011)."Sen. Daniel Inouye goes silent on big Hawaiian race".Politico.
- ^abHamilton, Chris."The Maui News - Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control)".The Maui News.RetrievedSeptember 2,2012.
- ^Mizutani, Ron (April 26, 2010)."Sen. Akaka:" God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012 "".KHON2.Archived fromthe originalon July 13, 2011.RetrievedMarch 3,2011.
- ^"Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88".Washington Post.RetrievedDecember 17,2012.
- ^abEmily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015)."Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016".Roll Call.Archived fromthe originalon January 29, 2015.RetrievedJanuary 29,2015.
- ^abcdefghijk"Federal State County Sorted by: Contest"(PDF).Hawaii Secretary of State.RetrievedJune 8,2016.
- ^Stephen O'Harrow (August 18, 2014)."Dan Inouye and Brian Schatz: A Lesson in Hawaii Politics".Honolulu Civil Beat.RetrievedDecember 26,2015.
- ^abBlair, Chad (March 14, 2015)."Tulsi Gabbard Looks to Be Running for Re-election".Honolulu Civil Beat.RetrievedDecember 26,2015.
- ^"Leadership Lessons from the Late Sen. Daniel Inouye".Forbes.
- ^abcde"Statewide Results"(PDF).Hawaii Office of Elections. Archived fromthe original(PDF)on August 22, 2016.RetrievedAugust 13,2016.
- ^abcde"Hawaii Senate Races Results".Politico.RetrievedAugust 13,2016.
- ^abcde"Archived copy".Archived fromthe originalon August 18, 2016.RetrievedAugust 16,2016.
{{cite web}}:CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^"Charles Collins for US Senate".RetrievedDecember 29,2015.
- ^"Schatz, Brian — Candidate for Senate".Federal Elections Commission.RetrievedAugust 15,2016.
- ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report.RetrievedMarch 26,2021.
- ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball.RetrievedSeptember 19,2016.
- ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings.The Rothenberg Political Report.RetrievedNovember 3,2016.
- ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos.RetrievedMarch 27,2021.
- ^"Battle for the Senate 2016".Real Clear Politics.RetrievedOctober 28,2016.
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^SurveyMonkey
- ^"Office of Elections – State of Hawaii – Statewide".State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 16, 2016. p. 1.RetrievedNovember 18,2016.
- ^"Dra 2020".
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites