2016 Utah gubernatorial election
 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
  Herbert:40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Weinholtz:40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Tie:40–50%50%No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in Utah |
|---|
 |
The2016 Utah gubernatorial electionwas held on November 8, 2016,[1]to elect thegovernorandlieutenant governor of Utah,concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election,as well aselectionsto theUnited States Senateandelectionsto theUnited States House of Representativesand variousstateandlocal elections.
IncumbentRepublicangovernorGary Herbertran for re-election to a second full term in office.[2]Republican challengerJonathan E. Johnsondefeated Herbert in the state convention to secure a spot on the primary ballot,[3]but Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary and secured the nomination.[4]The Democratic party nominated formerCHG Healthcare ServicesCEO Mike Weinholtz at the Utah Democratic convention in April.[5]
Herbert won the general election, defeating Weinholtz by a large margin.[6][7]
Background
[edit]Republican GovernorJon Huntsman, Jr.resigned in August 2009 to becomeUnited States Ambassador to Chinaand Lieutenant Governor Herbert succeeded him. He was elected to serve out the remainder of Huntsman's term in a2010 special electionand was re-elected to a full four-year termin 2012.
Republican nomination
[edit]Former Speaker of theUtah House of RepresentativesRebecca D. Lockhartwas widely believed to be a potential Republican candidate, but she died of a rare neurodegenerative brain disease in January 2015.[2][8]
Incumbent governor Gary Herbert won the June 28, 2016 primary, defeating Overstock.com Chairman Jonathan Johnson.[4]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Gary Herbert,incumbent governor[2]
- Jonathan "JJ" Johnson,businessman andchairman of the boardofOverstock.com[2][9]
Polling
[edit] | This article'suse ofexternal linksmay not follow Wikipedia's policies or guidelines.(August 2016) |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert |
Jonathan Johnson |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | June 6–8, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.1% | 69% | 24% | 6% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 176,866 | 71.75% | |
| Republican | Jonathan Johnson | 69,663 | 28.25% | |
| Total votes | 246,529 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic nomination
[edit]Weinholtz defeated Cook at the Democratic convention to become the nominee.
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mike Weinholtz, former chairman and CEO ofCHG Healthcare Services[10][5]
Withdrew
[edit]- Vaughn R Cook, founder and CEO of ZYTO Technologies[11]
Declined
[edit]- Ed Allen, former state senator[12]
- Jim Dabakis,State Senator and former chairman of theUtah Democratic Party[13]
- Jim Matheson,former U.S. representative[14]
- Ben McAdams,Mayor ofSalt Lake Countyand former state senator[15]
General election
[edit]Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: PParticipantAAbsentNNot invitedIInvitedWWithdrawn |
||||||
| Gary Herbert | Doug Owens | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 26, 2016 | Utah Debate Commission | Kerry Bringhurst | C-SPAN | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Safe R | August 12, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[17] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[20] | Safe R | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[21] | Safe R | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert (R) |
Mike Weinholtz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 1,479 | ± 4.6% | 58% | 38% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 1,428 | ± 4.6% | 59% | 38% | — | 3% |
| Y2 Analytics→ | November 1–3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 64% | 26% | 5% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 1,327 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 37% | — | 3% |
| Monmouth University | Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 5% | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 1,247 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 36% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 1,057 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 34% | — | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,078 | ± 4.6% | 61% | 35% | — | 4% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan JonesArchivedOctober 10, 2018, at theWayback Machine | October 12–18, 2016 | 818 | ± 3.4% | 64% | 25% | 6% | 5% |
| Monmouth University | October 10–12, 2016 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 63% | 30% | 2% | 5% |
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones | September 1–9, 2016 | 605 | ± 4.0% | 62% | 24% | 6% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2016 | 1,018 | ± 3.1% | 57% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA | June 6–8, 2016 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% | 55% | 34% | 4% | 6% |
| Gravis Marketing | May 31–June 1, 2016 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% | — |
- → Internal poll conducted on behalf of theUtah Republican Party.
Hypothetical polling
- with Jonathan Johnson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jonathan Johnson (R) |
Mike Weinholtz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | June 6–8, 2016 | 1,238 | ± 2.8% | 38% | 35% | 9% | 17% |
| Gravis Marketing | May 31–June 1, 2016 | 1,519 | ± 2.5% | 40% | 29% | 31% | — |
- with Jim Matheson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Herbert (R) |
Jim Matheson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UtahPolicy/Dan Jones | March 30–April 7, 2015 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 33% | — | 11% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Herbert (incumbent) | 750,850 | 66.74% | −1.67% | |
| Democratic | Mike Weinholtz | 323,349 | 28.74% | +1.16% | |
| Libertarian | Brian Kamerath | 34,827 | 3.10% | +0.85% | |
| Independent American | Superdell Schanze | 15,912 | 1.41% | N/A | |
| Independent | L.S. Brown (write-in) | 97 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,125,035 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]By congressional district
[edit]Herbert won all 4 congressional districts.[23]
| District | Herbert | Weinholtz | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 71% | 24% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 62% | 33% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 72% | 24% | Jason Chaffetz |
| 4th | 61% | 34% | Mia Love |
References
[edit]- ^"Official Utah Election Calendar".Archived fromthe originalon March 20, 2016.RetrievedMay 8,2016.
- ^abcd"Governor Herbert says he will run for re-election in 2016".The Salt Lake Tribune.June 25, 2014.RetrievedAugust 22,2014.
- ^"Fox 13 Utah: Governor Gary Herbert Forced Into Primary Election by Jonathan" JJ "Johnson".April 23, 2016.
- ^abRoche, Lisa (June 28, 2016)."Gov. Gary Herbert wins GOP nomination".Deseret News.RetrievedJune 29,2016.
- ^abLeonard, Wendy (April 23, 2016)."Utah Dems nominate Weinholtz to run for governor".Deseret News.
- ^"Utah Governor Results: Gary Herbert Wins".The New York Times.August 1, 2017 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^Price, Michelle L."Herbert wins re-election as governor".The Spectrum.
- ^"Becky Lockhart, Utah's first female House speaker, dies".FOX13.January 17, 2015.RetrievedJanuary 18,2015.
- ^Frandsen, Eric (March 13, 2015)."Former Overstock CEO speaking in Logan Monday and wants to be Utah's next governor".Cache Valley Daily.Archived fromthe originalon March 15, 2015.RetrievedMarch 14,2015.
- ^Gehrke, Robert."Democrat relies on outsider status, business success in bid for Utah governor".The Salt Lake Tribune.RetrievedJanuary 22,2016.
- ^Cook, Vaughn."Personal Note from Vaughn Cook".Utah County Democrats Facebook Page.RetrievedJanuary 6,2016.
- ^Schott, Bryan (November 30, 2015)."2016 Candidate Tracker - Congressional and Statewide Offices".Utah Policy.RetrievedDecember 25,2015.
- ^"GOP Utah governor candidate Johnson to debate Democratic lawmaker Dabakis".The Salt Lake Tribune.November 25, 2015.RetrievedDecember 19,2015.
- ^"Is a run for governor or Senate in Matheson's future?".The Salt Lake Tribune.December 23, 2013.RetrievedDecember 24,2013.
- ^Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014)."16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate".Politico.RetrievedDecember 29,2014.
- ^"2016 Governor Race ratings".The Cook Political Report.RetrievedOctober 15,2018.
- ^"Elections 2015-16".Daily Kos.RetrievedOctober 15,2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^"Gubernatorial Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report.RetrievedOctober 15,2018.
- ^"Our Final 2016 picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived fromthe originalon October 15, 2018.RetrievedOctober 15,2018.
- ^"2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races".Real Clear Politics.RetrievedOctober 15,2018.
- ^"2016 Governors Races Ratings & News".Governing Magazine. Archived fromthe originalon October 27, 2016.RetrievedOctober 28,2016.
- ^"Utah Election Official Results"(PDF).Utah Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF)on May 14, 2021.RetrievedDecember 28,2016.
- ^"Dra 2020".
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites