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2019 Kuomintang presidential primary

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2019 Kuomintang presidential primary

← 2015 10 June to 28 July 2019 2023 →
Candidate Han Kuo-yu Terry Gou Eric Chu
Percentage 44.81% 27.73% 17.90%

Candidate Chou Hsi-wei Chang Ya-chung
Percentage 6.02% 3.54%

KMT nominee before election

Eric Chu

KMT nominee

Han Kuo-yu

The2019 Kuomintang presidential primarywas held after 22 May 2019 through a series of nationwide opinion polls in order to determine its nominee for thePresident of the Republic of Chinain the2020 presidential election.[1]

Background

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Early contenders

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In late 2018, the four heavyweights in the Kuomintang, incumbent party chairman and former Vice PresidentWu Den-yih,former party chairman and 2016 presidential candidateEric Chu,formerPresident of the Legislative YuanWang Jin-pyngand former PresidentMa Ying-jeouemerged as the potential candidates for the 2020 presidential election. On 26 November 2018, former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbentTaipei City CouncillorLo Chih-chiangbecame the first candidate who announced his candidacy on Facebook.[2][3]He later withdrew his candidacy on 7 April 2019.[4]

On 25 December 2018, former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidateEric Chuannounced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 asMayor of New Taipei City,becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring.[5]It was followed byNational Taiwan UniversityprofessorChang Ya-chungwho announced his candidacy on 7 January 2019.[6]

In theDecember 2018 mayoral elections,the KMT received a massive victory by capturing 15 of 22 municipalities and counties, with former legislatorHan Kuo-yuelected asMayor of Kaohsiung,thedeep-greenDemocratic Progressive Party-held city for the past two decades. The sensations created by Han during the campaign sparked speculations whether he would become the presidential candidate for KMT in 2020.[7]The richest man in Taiwan and the founder and chairman of electronic companyFoxconnTerry Gouwas also reported to be interested in running in the election as apan-Bluecandidate.

On 27 February, the party passed a resolution decided its primary to be based on a 70-30 weighing of public opinion polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved Han Kuo-yu, the party's best performing candidate in the polls.[7]On 7 March, Wan Jyng-ping announced his candidacy.[7]

Controversies over the primary method continued, as party chairman Wu Den-yih proposed to only allow KMT members to decide the party's presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself. Wu later declined to run on 11 April.[8]

Gou runs

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Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary on 17 April, citing sea goddessMatsuinstructing him to come out and do good for the suffering of the people, and bring peace and prosperity to Taiwan in his dream.[9]As his party membership was frozen after he had not paid the annual fee so a long time, Wu restored Guo's KMT membership by awarding him an honorary member certificate in order to enable him to run in the primary. Guo also stated that he would not accept to be drafted to run.

Han Kuo-yu, Gou's potential rival, announced on 23 April that he was "willing to take responsibility" for the development of Taiwan but was "unable" to participate in the party's primary in its current form. He expressed his disapproval of the "closed-door negotiations" within the party and called for reform.[10]Han's announcement sparked internal strife between Han supporters and the party authorities. In order to settle the differences, the party adopted a resolution to put in place special guidelines to include all its presidential hopefuls, including Han, in its primary on the next day, and also switch the primary method from 70-30 weighing of public opinion polls and party member votes to fully being determined by opinion polls.[11]

Candidates

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Declared candidates

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Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref

Eric Chu
June 7, 1961(age63)
Taoyuan County,Taiwan
Mayor of New Taipei(2016–2018; 2012–2015) December 25, 2018 [12]

Chang Ya-chung
December 1954(age69)
Taichung City,Taiwan
Professor of theNational Taiwan University January 7, 2019 [13]

Chou Hsi-wei
March 11, 1958(age66)
Changhua County,Taiwan
Magistrate of Taipei County(2005–2010) February 26, 2019 [14]

Terry Gou
October 8, 1950(age74)
Taipei County,Taiwan
Founder and Chairman ofFoxconn April 17, 2019 [15]

Han Kuo-yu
June 17, 1957(age67)
Taipei County,Taiwan
Mayor of Kaohsiung(2018–present) June 5, 2019 [16]

Withdrawn candidates

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The candidates in this section have withdrawn or suspended their campaigns.

Candidate Born Experience Campaign Ref

Lo Chih-chiang
March 26, 1970(age54)
Hualien City,Taiwan
Taipei City Councillor(2018–present) November 26, 2018
Withdrawn:April 7, 2019
[17][18]

Wang Jin-pyng
March 17, 1941(age83)
Takao Prefecture,Japanese Taiwan
Member of theLegislative Yuan(1976–present) March 7, 2019
Withdrawn:June 6, 2019
[7][19]

Declined candidates

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Schedule

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On 15 May, Kuomintang Central Standing Committee decided to change the format of the primary to a single nationwide opinion poll and to name its candidate by late July. The public opinion poll would be commissioned to five different polling institutions, each with a sample size of not less than 3,000 respondents. A list of candidates will be announced on 10 June, followed by a series of televised forums across Taiwan from 23 June to 4 July in which the candidates would introduce their platforms. The nationwide opinion poll would be held from 5 to 15 July and the results would be released the next day. After that, the results will be submitted to the Central Standing Committee on 17 July for approval. The presidential candidate would be formally announced on 28 July at its national congress.[23]

The Kuomintang announced five primary contestants on June 10, 2019: Chang Ya-chung, Chou Hsi-wei, Eric Chu, Terry Gou, and Han Kuo-yu.[24][25]

Timeline

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Primary winner
Defeated in primary
Withdrawn
Candidates announced
Debates
Polling starts
Polling ends
Results announced
Wang Jin-pyngLo Chih-chiangHan Kuo-yuTerry GouEric ChuChou Hsi-weiChang Ya-chung

Opinion polling

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Date Pollster Sample size Ma Chu Wang Wu Han Gou Chou Chang
9 July 2019 Trend Poll 3,000 14.9 34.3 29.5 1.4 0.8
9 July 2019 EtToday 2,271 11.9 28.0 29.5 0.7 2.3
21 June 2019 EtToday 5,021 9.9 28.2 25.7
18 June 2019 EtToday 4,047 9.0 31.1 24.7
11 June 2019 EtToday 4,047 7.1 29.5 24.4
4 June 2019 Trend Poll 1,287 17.4 35.2 28.4 1.2 0.9
28 May 2019 Formsa 1,086 11.6 7.5 22.0 17.8 0.9 0.1
16 May 2019 Fount Media 1,075 17.4 15.8 30.6 22.2
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 8.2 7.6 29.3 22.8
30 April 2019 China Times 1,004 7.0 11.0 34.2 16.3
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 10.0 14.0 37.0 20.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 11.0 14.0 38.0 18.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 6.5 7.7 26.2 24.0
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 13.0 11.0 26.0 19.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 18.6 19.1 25.4 22.9
23.6 22.0 32.2
18 December 2018 TPOF 1,082 54.3 25.5 6.5
54.3 4.0 25.0 2.5

Results

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Results of the primary were announced on 15 July 2019.[26][27]Han Kuo-yureceived 44.805 percent of the vote, followed byTerry Gouat 27.73%, andEric Chu's 17.90%. BothChou Hsi-weiandChang Ya-chungpolled in the single digits, at 6.02% and 3.54% respectively.[28][29]

2019 KuomintangRepublic of China presidentialprimary results
Candidates Place Result
Han Kuo-yu Nominated 44.81%
Terry Gou 2nd 27.73%
Eric Chu 3rd 17.90%
Chou Hsi-wei 4th 6.02%
Chang Ya-chung 5th 3.54%

See also

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References

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  1. ^"Vi hàn quốc du giải sáo quốc dân đảng xác định “Nạp sở hữu khả năng nhân tuyển” 6 nguyệt toàn dân điều ".Bình quả tân văn võng.2019-04-24.
  2. ^Lâm oánh chân (2018-11-26)."Quốc dân đảng thủ phát! La trí cường tuyên bố: “Tứ giai đoạn” tuyển 2020 tổng thống ".TVBS NEWS.
  3. ^Trần lạc vi (2018-11-26)."Yếu đương quốc dân đảng đích niêm ngư la trí cường tuyên bố tham tuyển tổng thống".Liên hợp tân văn võng.
  4. ^"Ngô chu hội phá cục la trí cường: Ngô đôn nghĩa ứng thuyết tự kỷ tuyển bất tuyển 2020".2019-04-07.Retrieved2019-04-07.
  5. ^"KMT veteran Eric Chu announces bid for Taiwan presidency in 2020".The Straits Times.2018-12-25.
  6. ^"Trương á trung tuyên bố tham tuyển 2020 tổng thống chuyển hình nội các chế, lập ủy tăng chí 200 danh".ETtoday.2019-01-07.
  7. ^abcdLiu, Kuan-ting; Wang, Flor (7 March 2019)."Former legislative speaker announces presidential bid".Central News Agency.Retrieved7 March2019.
  8. ^"Wu Den-yih rules out presidential run".Taipei Times.11 April 2019.
  9. ^Everington, Keoni (17 April 2019)."Breaking News: Foxconn tycoon Terry Gou announces bid for Taiwan presidency".Taiwan News.Retrieved18 April2019.
  10. ^"Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu passes on KMT primary, hints at presidential bid".Taiwan News.23 April 2019.
  11. ^"KMT decides to include Han Kuo-yu in presidential primary".Focus Taiwan.2019-04-24.
  12. ^Chu lập luân tá tân bắc thị trường tuyên bố đầu nhập 2020 tổng thống tuyển cử,Trung ương xã, 2018-12-25
  13. ^Maxon, Ann (8 January 2019)."Ex-Hung Hsiu-chu aide eyes presidential run".Taipei Times.Retrieved8 January2019.
  14. ^Hsu, Stacy (2 March 2019)."KMT brass might select candidate: Wu".Taipei Times.Retrieved2 March2019.
  15. ^Shih, Hsiao-kuang; Hetherington, William (18 April 2019)."Hon Hai's Gou officially enters presidential race".Taipei Times.
  16. ^"Hàn quốc du xưng nguyện ý tham gia quốc dân đảng tổng thống sơ tuyển".RTHK.2019-06-05.
  17. ^Phao chấn hám đạn! La trí cường tuyên bố 4 giai đoạn tham tuyển tổng thống!China Times, 26 November 2018
  18. ^La trí cường tuyên bố bất tuyển tổng thống liễu! Yếu ngô đôn nghĩa “Khoái trưng triệu hàn quốc du”
  19. ^Yu, Hsiang; Chen, Ja-fo; Chung, Yu-chen (6 June 2019)."Former legislative speaker will not enter KMT presidential primary".Central News Agency.Retrieved6 June2019.
  20. ^"2020 tổng thống nhân tuyển thùy thị A, B, C già?".Tín truyện môi.2018-07-31.
  21. ^"Kỳ trung tuyển cử dân tiến đảng đại băng bàn học giả: 2020 tổng thống tương hội thị tam quốc đỉnh lập?".Kim nhật tân văn NOWnews.2018-11-26.
  22. ^Wu Den-yih wins KMT chair electionTaipei Times, 21 May 2017
  23. ^"KMT to pick presidential candidate by means of nationwide poll".Focus Taiwan.15 May 2019.
  24. ^Maxon, Ann (11 June 2019)."Panel names five for KMT primary".Taipei Times.Retrieved11 June2019.
  25. ^Wang, Cheng-chung; Wang, Evelyn (10 June 2019)."Five contenders to compete in KMT's presidential primary".Central News Agency.Retrieved11 June2019.
  26. ^Jennings, Ralph (15 July 2019)."Taiwan party picks mayor over ex-Foxconn chief for 2020 run".Taiwan News.Associated Press.Retrieved15 July2019.
  27. ^Yeh, Joseph (15 July 2019)."Han Kuo-yu wins primary, to represent KMT in 2020 race".Central News Agency.Retrieved15 July2019.
  28. ^Everington, Keoni (15 July 2019)."Breaking News: Han wins KMT primary poll for Taiwan presidential race".Taiwan News.Retrieved15 July2019.
  29. ^Yeh, Joseph (15 July 2019)."Han Kuo-yu wins KMT primary for 2020 presidential race (update)".Central News Agency.Retrieved15 July2019.