2019 North Macedonian presidential election

2019 North Macedonian presidential election

21 April 2019 (first round) 5 May 2019 (second round)
Turnout	41.67% (first round) 46.65% (second round)
Nominee Stevo Pendarovski Gordana Siljanovska Party SDSM VMRO-DPMNE Popular vote 435,656 377,446 Percentage 53.58% 46.42%
Second round results by municipality
President before election Gjorge Ivanov VMRO-DPMNE Elected President Stevo Pendarovski SDSM

Presidential elections were held inNorth Macedoniain 2019. Three candidates were on the ballot in the first round, held on 21 April:Stevo Pendarovski,supported by the ruling coalition led by theSocial Democratic Union of Macedonia,including theDemocratic Union for Integration;Gordana Siljanovska-Davkovaof the leading opposition partyVMRO-DPMNE,andBlerim Reka,an independent supported by Albanian opposition partiesAlliance for AlbaniansandBesa Movement.The first round did not result in an absolute majority for any candidate, with Pendarovski receiving the most votes. In the second round held on 5 May, Pendarovski defeated Siljanovska-Davkova with 54% of the vote.

Incumbent PresidentGjorge Ivanovwas constitutionally barred from seeking a third term in office, having previously been elected in2009and2014.

Background

Further information:Macedonia naming dispute

The elections were the first in North Macedonia after thePrespa agreement on the naming dispute,signed on 17 June 2018. Areferendumwas held on 30 September, in which a majority of voters approved the agreement, although turnout was far below the quorum required to validate the result, mainly because of an organized boycott of the Anti-Prespa agreement bloc. TheAssemblysubsequently approved the change of the country's name to "North Macedonia" on 11 January 2019, and Greece subsequently ratified the agreement and the accession protocol for NATO.

Incumbent President Gjorge Ivanov was a vocal opponent of the name change and refused to sign the laws and amendments on the matter. However, Assembly SpeakerTalat Xhafericlaimed that his signature was enough to enforce the change.

The name change had the support of the government coalition formed by theSocial Democrats(SDSM) and the ethnic AlbanianDemocratic Union for Integration.The nationalistVMRO-DPMNEcoalition led byHristijan Mickoskiwas in favor of NATO integration but against the name change, although the change was approved in the Assembly with at least four VMRO-DPMNE MPs voting in favour.

After her nomination, VMRO-DPMNE candidate Gordana Siljanovska-Davkova had promised to initiate a second referendum and restore the old name to the country if she won.

Electoral system

The President of North Macedonia is elected using a modifiedtwo-round system;a candidate can only be elected in the first round of voting if they receive the equivalent of over 50% of the vote from all registered voters.In the second round, voter turnout must be at least 40% for the result to be deemed valid.Before 2009, the constitution required turnout in the second round to be 50% to validate the result. However, the XXXI amendment approved on 9 January 2009 lowered the threshold to 40%,as the then-government feared the trend of reducing turnouts would lead to presidential elections being frequently invalidated. In the2009 presidential elections,second round turnout was just 42.6%.

Theconstitutionmandates that the President must be over 40 years of age and have lived in the country for ten of the last fifteen years.

Opinion polls

Before and between the voting rounds, several opinion polls were conducted. The percentages of the polls below are related to only those voters who declared that they would vote for a certain candidate.

First round

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Client	Sample size/Type	Pendarovski/SDSM	Siljanovska/VMRO-DPMNE	Reka/AA,Besa	Lead
8-14 Apr 2019	Rating Agency	1,112/Face-to-face	45.5	39.5	15.0	6.0
7-11 Apr 2019	IDSCS/Telma&MCMS	967/Telephone	44.1	38.1	17.8	6.0
4-10 Apr 2019	M-Prospect/MRT	1,197/Telephone	43.2	38.8	18.0	4.4
10 Mar-10 Apr 2019	Samerimpex Impulses/MCMS	1,147/Online	50.4	41.4	8.2	9.0
23-27 Mar 2019	IPIS/Sitel	1,110/Telephone	45.9	42.7	11.3	3.2
13-19 Mar 2019	M-Prospect/Telma&MCMS	1,001/Telephone	42.9	38.4	18.7	4.5

Second round

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Client	Sample size/Type	Pendarovski/SDSM	Siljanovska/VMRO-DPMNE	Lead
13-19 Mar 2019	M-Prospect/Telma&MCMS	1,001/Telephone	55.3	44.7	10.6

Results

To win in the first round, a candidate would have had to receive at least 904,066 votes, equivalent to 50% of the number of registered voters.

Candidate		Party	First round		Second round
			Votes	%	Votes	%
	Stevo Pendarovski	Social Democratic Union of Macedonia	322,581	44.75	435,656	53.58
	Gordana Siljanovska-Davkova	VMRO-DPMNE	318,341	44.16	377,446	46.42
	Blerim Reka	Independent	79,888	11.08
Total			720,810	100.00	813,102	100.00
Valid votes			720,810	95.66	813,102	96.40
Invalid/blank votes			32,697	4.34	30,406	3.60
Total votes			753,507	100.00	843,508	100.00
Registered voters/turnout			1,808,131	41.67	1,808,131	46.65
Source:OCSE