2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky
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Elections in Kentucky |
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The2020 United States presidential election in Kentuckywas held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential electionin which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbiaparticipated.[2]Kentuckyvoters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral Collegevia a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump,and running mateVice PresidentMike PenceagainstDemocratic Partynominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden,and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris.Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
Trump won Kentucky by a 25.9% margin in this election, down from his 29.8% margin in 2016. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Kentucky has not supported a Democratic nominee since it narrowly supported fellow SouthernerBill Clintonin1996.Trump's overhaul ofObama-eracoal emissionsstandardshelped him win coal-industry households,[4]once again sweeping the historically-DemocraticEastern Kentucky counties.Trump also carried 83% ofWhiteevangelical/born-againChristians,perexit pollsby theAssociated Press.[5]
In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winningElliott Countysince the county was founded in 1869,[6]as well as only the second Democrat to ever lose Elliott County in a presidential election, preceded only byHillary Clintonfour years earlier.This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in theEastern Kentucky Coalfieldvoted Democratic. Furthermore, this is the first time since1948thatFayette County,the second-most populous county in the state and home to the city ofLexington,voted to the left ofJefferson County,the most populous county in the state and home to the city ofLouisville,in a presidential election.
Primary elections[edit]
The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over theCOVID-19 pandemic.[7]
Republican primary[edit]
Incumbent PresidentDonald Trumpran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the2020 Republican National Convention.[8]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[10] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 365,284 | 67.91 | 52 |
Uncommitted | 58,364 | 10.85 | 2 |
Bernie Sanders(withdrawn) | 65,055 | 12.09 | |
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn) | 15,300 | 2.84 | |
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn) | 9,127 | 1.70 | |
Andrew Yang(withdrawn) | 7,267 | 1.35 | |
Tulsi Gabbard(withdrawn) | 5,859 | 1.09 | |
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn) | 5,296 | 0.98 | |
Tom Steyer(withdrawn) | 2,656 | 0.49 | |
Michael Bennet(withdrawn) | 2,514 | 0.47 | |
Deval Patrick(withdrawn) | 1,183 | 0.22 | |
Total | 537,905 | 100% | 54 |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe R | September 10, 2020 |
Inside Elections[12] | Safe R | September 4, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | July 14, 2020 |
Politico[14] | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
RCP[15] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
Niskanen[16] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
CNN[17] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
The Economist[18] | Safe R | September 2, 2020 |
CBS News[19] | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
270towin[20] | Safe R | August 2, 2020 |
ABC News[21] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
NPR[22] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
NBC News[23] | Safe R | August 6, 2020 |
538[24] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Polling[edit]
Graphical summary[edit]
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info onPhabricatorand onMediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls[edit]
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–20, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.9% | 55.6% | 4.5% | Trump +15.7 |
Average | 40.0% | 56.3% | 3.7% | Trump +16.4 |
Polls[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,009 (LV) | ± 3% | 59%[c] | 40% | - | – | – |
SwayableArchivedNovember 27, 2020, at theWayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 55% | 42% | 4% | – | – |
Bluegrass Community & Technical CollegeArchivedOctober 30, 2020, at theWayback Machine | Oct 12–28, 2020 | 250 (RV) | – | 52% | 39% | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,621 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 39% | - | 1% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,479 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | – | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55%[d] | 35% | 1% | 1%[e] | 8% |
56%[f] | 38% | - | – | 6% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 58% | 38% | - | 1%[g] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac UniversityArchivedAugust 7, 2020, at theWayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 41% | - | 4%[h] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 793 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | - | 2%[i] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,709 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | – | 1% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch FundArchivedAugust 9, 2020, at theWayback Machine[A] | Jul 25–29, 2020 | 3,020 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 45% | - | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[B] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathArchivedJuly 16, 2020, at theWayback Machine[C] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 596 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathArchivedJuly 16, 2020, at theWayback Machine[C] | Jun 2020 | – (V)[j] | – | 54% | 39% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jun 13–15, 2020 | 898 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 37% | - | 5%[k] | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathArchivedJuly 16, 2020, at theWayback Machine[C] | May 2020 | – (V)[j] | – | 57% | 36% | - | – | – |
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[D] | May 21–24, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 36% | - | 6%[l] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 14–15, 2020 | 1,104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | - | 5%[k] | 2% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch FundArchivedAugust 9, 2020, at theWayback Machine[E] | Apr 7–12, 2020[m] | 4,000 (RV) | – | 55% | 34% | - | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | - | – | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 11–12, 2019 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 37% | - | – | 6% |
Former candidates
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Results[edit]
Statewide results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
1,326,646 | 62.09% | -0.43% | |
Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
772,474 | 36.15% | +3.47% | |
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
26,234 | 1.23% | -1.56% | |
Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball |
6,483 | 0.30% | N/A | |
Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard |
3,599 | 0.17% | N/A | |
Green | Howie Hawkins(write-in) Angela Walker(write-in) |
716 | 0.03% | N/A | |
American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll(write-in) Amar Patel(write-in) |
408 | 0.02% | N/A | |
Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva(write-in) Sunil Freeman (write-in) |
98 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Mark Charles(write-in) Adriane Wallace (write-in) |
43 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Jade Simmons(write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in) |
29 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Tom Hoefling(write-in) Andy Prior (write-in) |
20 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Shawn Howard (write-in) Alyssa Howard (write-in) |
9 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | President Boddie (write-in) Eric Stoneham (write-in) |
7 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Kasey Wells (write-in) Rachel Wells (write-in) |
1 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Timothy Stevens (write-in) Susan Fletcher (write-in) |
1 | <0.01% | N/A | |
Independent | Mary Simmons (write-in) Sherri Dow (write-in) |
0 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 2,136,768 | 100% |
By county[edit]
County | Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Adair | 7,276 | 82.98% | 1,392 | 15.88% | 100 | 1.14% | 5,884 | 67.10% | 8,768 |
Allen | 7,587 | 81.02% | 1,642 | 17.54% | 135 | 1.44% | 5,945 | 63.48% | 9,364 |
Anderson | 9,661 | 72.89% | 3,348 | 25.26% | 245 | 1.85% | 6,313 | 47.63% | 13,254 |
Ballard | 3,356 | 79.43% | 825 | 19.53% | 44 | 1.04% | 2,531 | 59.90% | 4,225 |
Barren | 14,654 | 73.04% | 5,127 | 25.55% | 283 | 1.41% | 9,527 | 47.49% | 20,064 |
Bath | 3,986 | 70.84% | 1,573 | 27.95% | 68 | 1.21% | 2,413 | 42.89% | 5,627 |
Bell | 8,140 | 81.04% | 1,789 | 17.81% | 115 | 1.15% | 6,351 | 63.23% | 10,044 |
Boone | 44,814 | 66.89% | 20,901 | 31.20% | 1,283 | 1.91% | 23,913 | 35.69% | 66,998 |
Bourbon | 6,190 | 64.16% | 3,296 | 34.16% | 162 | 1.68% | 2,894 | 30.00% | 9,648 |
Boyd | 14,295 | 65.72% | 7,083 | 32.56% | 373 | 1.72% | 7,212 | 33.16% | 21,751 |
Boyle | 8,872 | 61.28% | 5,298 | 36.59% | 308 | 2.13% | 3,574 | 24.69% | 14,478 |
Bracken | 3,398 | 80.03% | 800 | 18.84% | 48 | 1.13% | 2,598 | 61.19% | 4,246 |
Breathitt | 4,265 | 75.34% | 1,301 | 22.98% | 95 | 1.68% | 2,964 | 52.36% | 5,661 |
Breckinridge | 7,701 | 75.49% | 2,350 | 23.04% | 150 | 1.47% | 5,351 | 52.45% | 10,201 |
Bullitt | 30,708 | 73.12% | 10,552 | 25.13% | 738 | 1.75% | 20,156 | 47.99% | 41,998 |
Butler | 4,960 | 80.98% | 1,079 | 17.62% | 86 | 1.40% | 3,881 | 63.36% | 6,125 |
Caldwell | 4,906 | 76.25% | 1,433 | 22.27% | 95 | 1.48% | 3,473 | 53.98% | 6,434 |
Calloway | 11,352 | 65.03% | 5,797 | 33.21% | 308 | 1.76% | 5,555 | 31.82% | 17,457 |
Campbell | 28,482 | 58.27% | 19,374 | 39.64% | 1,022 | 2.09% | 9,108 | 18.63% | 48,878 |
Carlisle | 2,159 | 81.84% | 463 | 17.55% | 16 | 0.61% | 1,696 | 64.29% | 2,638 |
Carroll | 2,954 | 71.42% | 1,116 | 26.98% | 66 | 1.60% | 1,838 | 44.44% | 4,136 |
Carter | 8,775 | 75.74% | 2,642 | 22.80% | 169 | 1.46% | 6,133 | 52.94% | 11,586 |
Casey | 6,179 | 86.17% | 918 | 12.80% | 74 | 1.03% | 5,261 | 73.37% | 7,171 |
Christian | 15,080 | 63.19% | 8,296 | 34.77% | 487 | 2.04% | 6,784 | 28.42% | 23,863 |
Clark | 11,811 | 65.11% | 6,004 | 33.10% | 324 | 1.79% | 5,807 | 32.01% | 18,139 |
Clay | 6,677 | 87.96% | 831 | 10.95% | 83 | 1.09% | 5,846 | 77.01% | 7,591 |
Clinton | 4,280 | 86.78% | 603 | 12.23% | 49 | 0.99% | 3,677 | 74.55% | 4,932 |
Crittenden | 3,451 | 81.35% | 731 | 17.23% | 60 | 1.42% | 2,720 | 64.12% | 4,242 |
Cumberland | 2,769 | 83.68% | 508 | 15.35% | 32 | 0.97% | 2,261 | 68.33% | 3,309 |
Daviess | 31,025 | 62.95% | 17,286 | 35.07% | 976 | 1.98% | 13,739 | 27.88% | 49,287 |
Edmonson | 4,828 | 78.73% | 1,227 | 20.01% | 77 | 1.26% | 3,601 | 58.72% | 6,132 |
Elliott | 2,246 | 74.99% | 712 | 23.77% | 37 | 1.24% | 1,534 | 51.22% | 2,995 |
Estill | 5,100 | 77.98% | 1,355 | 20.72% | 85 | 1.30% | 3,745 | 57.26% | 6,540 |
Fayette | 58,860 | 38.49% | 90,600 | 59.25% | 3,452 | 2.26% | -31,740 | -20.76% | 152,912 |
Fleming | 5,534 | 78.30% | 1,474 | 20.85% | 60 | 0.85% | 4,060 | 57.45% | 7,068 |
Floyd | 12,250 | 74.91% | 3,884 | 23.75% | 219 | 1.34% | 8,366 | 51.16% | 16,353 |
Franklin | 12,900 | 49.48% | 12,652 | 48.53% | 520 | 1.99% | 248 | 0.95% | 26,072 |
Fulton | 1,606 | 66.20% | 794 | 32.73% | 26 | 1.07% | 812 | 33.47% | 2,426 |
Gallatin | 2,955 | 76.77% | 822 | 21.36% | 72 | 1.87% | 2,133 | 55.41% | 3,849 |
Garrard | 6,754 | 77.58% | 1,830 | 21.02% | 122 | 1.40% | 4,924 | 56.56% | 8,706 |
Grant | 8,725 | 78.55% | 2,205 | 19.85% | 178 | 1.60% | 6,520 | 58.70% | 11,108 |
Graves | 13,206 | 77.60% | 3,560 | 20.92% | 253 | 1.48% | 9,646 | 56.68% | 17,019 |
Grayson | 9,453 | 78.87% | 2,400 | 20.03% | 132 | 1.10% | 7,053 | 58.84% | 11,985 |
Green | 4,838 | 83.24% | 920 | 15.83% | 54 | 0.93% | 3,918 | 67.41% | 5,812 |
Greenup | 13,064 | 71.88% | 4,873 | 26.81% | 239 | 1.31% | 8,191 | 45.07% | 18,176 |
Hancock | 3,145 | 68.56% | 1,351 | 29.45% | 91 | 1.99% | 1,794 | 39.11% | 4,587 |
Hardin | 29,832 | 60.96% | 18,101 | 36.99% | 1,008 | 2.05% | 11,731 | 23.97% | 48,941 |
Harlan | 9,367 | 85.38% | 1,494 | 13.62% | 110 | 1.00% | 7,873 | 71.76% | 10,971 |
Harrison | 6,334 | 71.50% | 2,400 | 27.09% | 125 | 1.41% | 3,934 | 44.41% | 8,859 |
Hart | 6,345 | 75.81% | 1,908 | 22.80% | 117 | 1.39% | 4,437 | 53.01% | 8,370 |
Henderson | 12,730 | 61.51% | 7,639 | 36.91% | 328 | 1.58% | 5,091 | 24.60% | 20,697 |
Henry | 5,843 | 72.05% | 2,142 | 26.41% | 125 | 1.54% | 3,701 | 45.64% | 8,110 |
Hickman | 1,714 | 77.94% | 458 | 20.83% | 27 | 1.23% | 1,256 | 57.11% | 2,199 |
Hopkins | 15,757 | 73.25% | 5,439 | 25.28% | 316 | 1.47% | 10,318 | 47.97% | 21,512 |
Jackson | 5,453 | 89.20% | 605 | 9.90% | 55 | 0.90% | 4,848 | 79.30% | 6,113 |
Jefferson | 150,646 | 38.84% | 228,358 | 58.87% | 8,866 | 2.29% | -77,712 | -20.03% | 387,870 |
Jessamine | 17,096 | 65.05% | 8,567 | 32.60% | 617 | 2.35% | 8,529 | 32.45% | 26,280 |
Johnson | 8,450 | 82.91% | 1,608 | 15.78% | 134 | 1.31% | 6,842 | 67.13% | 10,192 |
Kenton | 48,129 | 58.55% | 32,271 | 39.26% | 1,798 | 2.19% | 15,858 | 19.29% | 82,198 |
Knott | 4,780 | 76.46% | 1,412 | 22.58% | 60 | 0.96% | 3,368 | 53.88% | 6,252 |
Knox | 11,012 | 82.97% | 2,114 | 15.93% | 147 | 1.10% | 8,898 | 67.04% | 13,273 |
LaRue | 5,685 | 77.87% | 1,504 | 20.60% | 112 | 1.53% | 4,181 | 57.27% | 7,301 |
Laurel | 23,237 | 82.66% | 4,475 | 15.92% | 399 | 1.42% | 18,762 | 66.74% | 28,111 |
Lawrence | 5,633 | 80.99% | 1,238 | 17.80% | 84 | 1.21% | 4,395 | 63.19% | 6,955 |
Lee | 2,273 | 81.15% | 481 | 17.17% | 47 | 1.68% | 1,792 | 63.98% | 2,801 |
Leslie | 4,321 | 89.78% | 446 | 9.27% | 46 | 0.95% | 3,875 | 80.51% | 4,813 |
Letcher | 7,226 | 79.10% | 1,799 | 19.69% | 110 | 1.21% | 5,427 | 59.41% | 9,135 |
Lewis | 4,986 | 84.75% | 823 | 13.99% | 74 | 1.26% | 4,163 | 70.76% | 5,883 |
Lincoln | 8,489 | 77.78% | 2,254 | 20.65% | 171 | 1.57% | 7,235 | 57.13% | 10,914 |
Livingston | 4,010 | 80.14% | 939 | 18.76% | 55 | 1.10% | 3,071 | 61.38% | 5,004 |
Logan | 9,067 | 73.42% | 3,094 | 25.05% | 189 | 1.53% | 5,973 | 48.37% | 12,350 |
Lyon | 3,100 | 73.32% | 1,092 | 25.83% | 36 | 0.85% | 2,008 | 47.49% | 4,228 |
McCracken | 21,820 | 65.04% | 11,195 | 33.37% | 534 | 1.59% | 10,625 | 31.67% | 33,549 |
McCreary | 5,664 | 87.98% | 725 | 11.26% | 49 | 0.76% | 4,939 | 76.72% | 6,438 |
McLean | 3,633 | 75.97% | 1,074 | 22.46% | 75 | 1.57% | 2,559 | 53.51% | 4,782 |
Madison | 27,356 | 62.23% | 15,581 | 35.45% | 1,020 | 2.32% | 11,775 | 26.78% | 43,957 |
Magoffin | 4,174 | 76.63% | 1,214 | 22.29% | 59 | 1.08% | 2,960 | 54.34% | 5,447 |
Marion | 6,113 | 68.47% | 2,722 | 30.49% | 93 | 1.04% | 3,391 | 37.98% | 8,928 |
Marshall | 13,297 | 75.54% | 4,071 | 23.13% | 235 | 1.33% | 9,226 | 52.41% | 17,603 |
Martin | 3,496 | 88.82% | 403 | 10.24% | 37 | 0.94% | 3,093 | 78.71% | 3,936 |
Mason | 5,477 | 68.82% | 2,362 | 29.68% | 119 | 1.50% | 3,115 | 39.14% | 7,958 |
Meade | 10,185 | 72.17% | 3,632 | 25.74% | 296 | 2.09% | 6,553 | 46.43% | 14,113 |
Menifee | 2,311 | 74.50% | 750 | 24.18% | 41 | 1.32% | 1,561 | 50.32% | 3,102 |
Mercer | 8,506 | 72.48% | 3,033 | 25.85% | 196 | 1.67% | 5,473 | 46.63% | 11,735 |
Metcalfe | 3,959 | 78.99% | 975 | 19.45% | 78 | 1.56% | 2,984 | 59.54% | 5,012 |
Monroe | 4,628 | 86.83% | 657 | 12.33% | 45 | 0.84% | 3,971 | 74.50% | 5,330 |
Montgomery | 8,993 | 70.03% | 3,630 | 28.27% | 219 | 1.70% | 5,363 | 41.76% | 12,842 |
Morgan | 4,301 | 77.58% | 1,175 | 21.19% | 68 | 1.23% | 3,126 | 56.39% | 5,544 |
Muhlenberg | 10,497 | 73.74% | 3,545 | 24.90% | 193 | 1.36% | 6,952 | 48.84% | 14,235 |
Nelson | 15,703 | 67.52% | 7,188 | 30.91% | 365 | 1.57% | 8,515 | 36.61% | 23,256 |
Nicholas | 2,408 | 70.91% | 955 | 28.12% | 33 | 0.97% | 1,453 | 42.79% | 3,396 |
Ohio | 8,582 | 77.11% | 2,404 | 21.60% | 143 | 1.29% | 6,178 | 55.51% | 11,129 |
Oldham | 22,654 | 59.65% | 14,505 | 38.20% | 817 | 2.15% | 8,149 | 21.45% | 37,976 |
Owen | 4,292 | 78.64% | 1,098 | 20.12% | 68 | 1.24% | 3,194 | 58.52% | 5,458 |
Owsley | 1,671 | 88.13% | 216 | 11.39% | 9 | 0.48% | 1,455 | 76.74% | 1,896 |
Pendleton | 5,515 | 79.64% | 1,322 | 19.09% | 88 | 1.27% | 4,193 | 60.55% | 6,925 |
Perry | 8,129 | 76.50% | 2,356 | 22.17% | 141 | 1.33% | 5,773 | 54.33% | 10,626 |
Pike | 20,284 | 79.87% | 4,866 | 19.16% | 245 | 0.97% | 15,418 | 60.71% | 25,395 |
Powell | 4,041 | 73.41% | 1,367 | 24.83% | 97 | 1.76% | 2,674 | 48.58% | 5,505 |
Pulaski | 25,442 | 80.62% | 5,666 | 17.95% | 449 | 1.43% | 19,776 | 62.67% | 31,557 |
Robertson | 884 | 77.14% | 253 | 22.08% | 9 | 0.78% | 631 | 55.06% | 1,146 |
Rockcastle | 6,577 | 84.49% | 1,134 | 14.57% | 73 | 0.94% | 5,443 | 69.92% | 7,784 |
Rowan | 5,994 | 59.55% | 3,880 | 38.55% | 191 | 1.90% | 2,114 | 21.00% | 10,065 |
Russell | 7,519 | 83.96% | 1,331 | 14.86% | 105 | 1.18% | 6,188 | 69.10% | 8,955 |
Scott | 17,767 | 61.33% | 10,567 | 36.48% | 635 | 2.19% | 7,200 | 24.85% | 28,969 |
Shelby | 15,055 | 63.93% | 8,077 | 34.30% | 418 | 1.77% | 6,978 | 29.63% | 23,550 |
Simpson | 5,888 | 67.43% | 2,681 | 30.70% | 163 | 1.87% | 3,207 | 36.73% | 8,732 |
Spencer | 8,737 | 76.42% | 2,530 | 22.13% | 166 | 1.45% | 6,207 | 54.29% | 11,433 |
Taylor | 9,376 | 74.91% | 2,963 | 23.67% | 178 | 1.42% | 6,413 | 51.24% | 12,517 |
Todd | 4,062 | 75.74% | 1,205 | 22.47% | 96 | 1.79% | 2,857 | 53.27% | 5,363 |
Trigg | 5,487 | 74.39% | 1,791 | 24.28% | 98 | 1.33% | 3,696 | 50.11% | 7,376 |
Trimble | 3,227 | 74.70% | 1,012 | 23.43% | 81 | 1.87% | 2,215 | 51.27% | 4,320 |
Union | 4,965 | 75.49% | 1,529 | 23.25% | 83 | 1.26% | 3,436 | 52.24% | 6,577 |
Warren | 31,791 | 57.38% | 22,479 | 40.58% | 1,131 | 2.04% | 9,312 | 16.80% | 55,401 |
Washington | 4,482 | 72.00% | 1,644 | 26.41% | 99 | 1.59% | 3,838 | 45.59% | 6,225 |
Wayne | 7,430 | 80.41% | 1,700 | 18.40% | 110 | 1.19% | 5,730 | 62.01% | 9,240 |
Webster | 4,506 | 75.19% | 1,412 | 23.56% | 75 | 1.25% | 3,094 | 51.63% | 5,993 |
Whitley | 12,567 | 81.84% | 2,552 | 16.62% | 237 | 1.54% | 10,015 | 65.22% | 15,356 |
Wolfe | 2,097 | 70.39% | 839 | 28.16% | 43 | 1.45% | 1,258 | 42.23% | 2,979 |
Woodford | 8,362 | 54.97% | 6,530 | 42.93% | 319 | 2.10% | 1,832 | 12.04% | 15,211 |
Totals | 1,326,646 | 62.05% | 772,474 | 36.13% | 38,889 | 1.82% | 554,172 | 25.92% | 2,138,009 |
By congressional district[edit]
Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[26]
District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 73.1% | 25.5% | James Comer |
2nd | 67.6% | 30.6% | Brett Guthrie |
3rd | 38.1% | 60.0% | John Yarmuth |
4th | 64.8% | 33.4% | Thomas Massie |
5th | 80.2% | 18.6% | Hal Rogers |
6th | 53.6% | 44.5% | Andy Barr |
Analysis[edit]
Edison exit polls[edit]
2020 presidential election in Kentucky by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[27][28] | |||
---|---|---|---|
Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of
total vote |
Total vote | 36.15 | 62.09 | 100 |
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 83 | 16 | 17 |
Moderates | 49 | 48 | 36 |
Conservatives | 9 | 90 | 47 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 84 | 15 | 30 |
Republicans | 4 | 95 | 46 |
Independents | 39 | 55 | 24 |
Gender | |||
Men | 36 | 60 | 46 |
Women | 36 | 63 | 54 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 33 | 66 | 88 |
Black | 71 | 25 | 7 |
Latino | – | – | 2 |
Asian | – | – | 1 |
Other | – | – | 2 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 39 | 55 | 7 |
25–29 years old | 62 | 32 | 6 |
30–39 years old | 44 | 53 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 35 | 64 | 15 |
50–64 years old | 27 | 71 | 31 |
65 and older | 36 | 63 | 26 |
Sexual orientation | |||
LGBT | – | – | 7 |
Not LGBT | 31 | 67 | 93 |
Education | |||
High schoolor less | 38 | 61 | 28 |
Somecollegeeducation | 32 | 66 | 33 |
Associate degree | 25 | 73 | 11 |
Bachelor's degree | 44 | 53 | 18 |
Postgraduatedegree | 45 | 52 | 10 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Racial inequality | 88 | 10 | 11 |
Coronavirus | – | – | 13 |
Economy | 5 | 94 | 38 |
Crimeand safety | – | – | 10 |
Health care | – | – | 19 |
Region | |||
Eastern Kentucky | 20 | 78 | 20 |
Bluegrass Country | 43 | 55 | 19 |
N. Kentucky/Louisvillesuburbs | 33 | 65 | 17 |
Jefferson County | 59 | 39 | 18 |
Western Kentucky | 29 | 69 | 26 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 53 | 46 | 31 |
Suburban | 32 | 66 | 27 |
Rural | 26 | 72 | 42 |
Family's financial situation today | |||
Better than four years ago | 8 | 90 | 54 |
Worse than four years ago | 75 | 20 | 15 |
About the same | 59 | 40 | 30 |
See also[edit]
- United States presidential elections in Kentucky
- 2020 Kentucky elections
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^abcdKey:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^Standard VI response
- ^Hawkins (G) with 1%
- ^If only Trump and Biden were candidates
- ^"Someone else" with 1%
- ^"Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ^"Someone else" with 2%
- ^abNot yet released
- ^ab"Someone else" with 5%
- ^"Some other candidate" with 6%
- ^Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Partisan clients
- ^This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
- ^This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
- ^abcPoll sponsored by Amy McGrath's campaign
- ^U.S. Term Limits is a PAC supporting candidates who support term limits in Congress.
- ^This poll's sponsor supported the electoral defeat of Mitch McConnell prior to the sampling period
References[edit]
- ^"Kentucky Election Results 2020".The New York Times.November 3, 2020.RetrievedNovember 15,2020.
- ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archivedfrom the original on August 2, 2018.RetrievedJanuary 3,2019.
- ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration.RetrievedJanuary 3,2019.
- ^Dennis, Brady; Eilperin, Juliet."Trump administration rolls back Obama-era rule aimed at limiting toxic wastewater from coal plants".The Washington Post.ISSN0190-8286.RetrievedNovember 9,2020.
- ^"Kentucky Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times.November 3, 2020.ISSN0362-4331.RetrievedNovember 9,2020.
- ^"County winners, 1836-2016".Google Docs.RetrievedNovember 27,2020.
- ^"Kentucky secretary of state says primary postponed".CNN.March 16, 2020.
- ^"Kentucky Republican Delegation 2020".The Green Papers.RetrievedJune 23,2020.
- ^"Official 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION Results"(PDF).Commonwealth of Kentucky Secretary of State.RetrievedOctober 13,2020.
- ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org.Associated Press.RetrievedJune 23,2020.
- ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report.RetrievedMay 21,2019.
- ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com.RetrievedMay 21,2019.
- ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.RetrievedMay 21,2019.
- ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico.November 19, 2019.
- ^"Battle for White House".RCP.April 19, 2019.
- ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchivedApril 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center,March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN.RetrievedJune 16,2020.
- ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist.RetrievedJuly 7,2020.
- ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News.July 12, 2020.RetrievedJuly 13,2020.
- ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
- ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News.July 24, 2020.RetrievedJuly 24,2020.
- ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org.RetrievedAugust 3,2020.
- ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News.August 6, 2020.RetrievedAugust 6,2020.
- ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight.August 12, 2020.RetrievedAugust 14,2020.
- ^"November 3, 2020 Official 2020 General Election Results"(PDF).p. 6.RetrievedNovember 20,2020.
- ^Nir, David (November 19, 2020)."Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012".Daily Kos.RetrievedDecember 10,2020.
- ^"Kentucky 2020 President exit polls".www.cnn.com.RetrievedDecember 28,2020.
- ^"Kentucky Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted".www.nytimes.com.RetrievedDecember 28,2020.
Further reading[edit]
- Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors(PDF),Washington DC:National Association of Secretaries of State,August 2020,
Kentucky
External links[edit]
- Government Documents Round Tableof the American Library Association,"Kentucky",Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Kentucky: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links",Vote.org,Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Kentucky".(State affiliate of the U.S.League of Women Voters)
- KentuckyatBallotpedia