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2021 TP21

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2021 TP21
Discovery[1]
Discovered byMount Lemmon Survey
Discovery date11 October 2021
Designations
2021 TP21
Orbital characteristics[2]
Epoch2021-Jul-01 (JD2459396.5)
Uncertainty parameter6
Observation arc57 days
Aphelion4.2274AU(Q)
Perihelion0.81425AU(q)
2.5208 AU(a)
Eccentricity0.67699(e)
4.00 years
318.4°(M)
Inclination25.404°(i)
8.089°(Ω)
116.3°(ω)
EarthMOID0.03 AU (4.5 million km)
JupiterMOID1.7 AU (250 million km)
Physical characteristics
Dimensions
  • ~300 m (1,000 ft)[3]
  • 240–540 meters
20.2[2][4]

2021 TP21is anApophis-sized asteroid that was discovered on 11 October 2021 when it was 0.5AU(75 millionkm) from Earth.[1]Thispotentially hazardous asteroid(PHA) spends most or its orbit closer to 4 AU (600 million km) from the Sun as objects orbit more slowly when nearaphelion(furthest distance from the Sun).2021 TP21was rated with aTorino scaleof 1 from 31 October 2021 to 4 November 2021 for a potential impact on 27 March 2081.[3]As theobservation arcbecame longer thenominaldistance from Earth became further on the potential impact date.

Nominalapproach getting further from Earth with longerobservation arc
(27 March 2081 virtual impactor)
Observation
arc
(in days)
JPL Horizons
nominalgeocentric
distance (AU)
uncertainty
region
(3-sigma)
Impact
probability
(1 in)
Torino
scale
17 0.17AU(25 millionkm)[5] ± 1.5billionkm[5] 100000 0
19 1.4 AU (210 million km)[6] ± 870 million km[6] 50000[3] 1[3]
57 2.5 AU (370 million km)[7] ± 18 million km[7] 0 0

See also

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References

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  1. ^ab"MPEC 2021-U10: 2021 TP21".IAU Minor Planet Center. 17 October 2021.Retrieved6 November2021.(K21T21P)
  2. ^ab"JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2021 TP21)".Jet Propulsion Laboratory.Retrieved6 November2021.
  3. ^abcd"(Archive 31 October 2021): ESA Risk-List".European Space Agency(ESA). Archived fromthe originalon 31 October 2021.
  4. ^"2021 TP21 Orbit".Minor Planet Center.Retrieved6 November2021.
  5. ^ab"JPL Horizons Archive: 2021 TP21 geocentric distance and uncertainty with 17 day arc".JPL Horizons. Archived fromthe originalon 30 October 2021.
  6. ^ab"JPL Horizons Archive: 2021 TP21 geocentric distance and uncertainty with 19 day arc".JPL Horizons. Archived fromthe originalon 30 October 2021.
  7. ^ab"JPL Horizons Archive: 2021 TP21 geocentric distance and uncertainty with 57 day arc".JPL Horizons. Archived fromthe originalon 6 November 2021.
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