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Andrew Gelman

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Andrew Gelman
Gelman in 2012
Born
Andrew Eric Gelman

(1965-02-11)February 11, 1965(age 59)
Alma materMassachusetts Institute of Technology(SB)
Harvard University(MA,PhD)
Spouse
Caroline Rosenthal
(m.2002)
Children3
Relatives
AwardsCOPSS Presidents' Award(2003)
Scientific career
FieldsStatistics
InstitutionsColumbia University
ThesisTopics in Image Reconstruction from Emission Tomography(1990)
Doctoral advisorDonald Rubin
Websitestat.columbia.edu/~gelman/

Andrew Eric Gelman(born February 11, 1965) is an Americanstatisticianand professor ofstatisticsandpolitical scienceatColumbia University.

Gelman receivedbachelor of sciencedegrees in mathematics and in physics fromMIT,where he was aNational Merit Scholar,in 1986. He then received amaster of sciencein 1987 and adoctor of philosophyin 1990, both in statistics fromHarvard University,under the supervision ofDonald Rubin.[1][2][3]

Career

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Gelman is the Higgins Professor of Statistics and Professor of Political Science and the Director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University.[4][5]He is a major contributor to statistical philosophy and methods especially inBayesian statistics[6]andhierarchical models.[7]

He is one of the leaders of the development of the statistical programming frameworkStan.

Perspective on Statistical Inference and Hypothesis Testing

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Gelman's approach to statistical inference emphasizes studying variation and the associations between data, rather than searching forstatistical significance.[8]

Gelman says his approach to hypothesis testing is "(nearly) the opposite of the conventional view"[9]of what is typical for statistical inference. While the standard approach may be seen as having the goal of rejecting a null hypothesis, Gelman argues that you can't learn much from a rejection. On the other hand, a non-rejection tells you something: "[it] tells you that your study is noisy, that you don't have enough information in your study to identify what you care about—even if the study is done perfectly, even if measurements are unbiased and your sample is representative of your population, etc. That can be some useful knowledge, it means you're off the hook trying to explain some pattern that might just be noise." Gelman also works within the context of larger confirmationist and falsificationist paradigms of science.[10]

Gelman's approach to statistical inference is a major recurring theme of his work.[11]

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Speaking at theUniversity of Washingtonin 2017

Gelman is notable for his efforts to make political science and statistics more accessible to journalists and to the public. He was one of the primary authors of "The Monkey Cage",[12]blog published byThe Washington Post.The blog is dedicated to providing informed commentary on politics and making political science more accessible.[13]

Gelman also keeps his own blog which deals with statistical practices in social science.[14]He frequently writes about Bayesian statistics, displaying data, and interesting trends in social science.[15][16]According toThe New York Times,on the blog "he posts his thoughts on best statistical practices in the sciences, with a frequent emphasis on what he sees as the absurd and unscientific... He is respected enough that his posts are well read; he is cutting enough that many of his critiques are enjoyed with a strong sense of schadenfreude."[17]

Gelman is a prominent critic of poor methodological work and he identifies such work as contributing to thereplication crisis.[17]

Honors

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He has received the Outstanding Statistical Application award from theAmerican Statistical Associationthree times, in 1998, 2000, and 2008.[18][19]He is an elected fellow of theAmerican Statistical Association[20]and theInstitute of Mathematical Statistics.[21]He was elected fellow of theAmerican Academy of Arts and Sciences (AAAS)in 2020.[22][23]

Personal life

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Gelman married Caroline Rosenthal in 2002[24]and has three children.[25]The psychologistSusan Gelmanis his older sister[26]and cartoonistWoody Gelmanwas his uncle.[27]

Gelman is a participant inStudy of Mathematically Precocious Youth.[28]

Bibliography

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  • Andrew Gelman, David Park, Boris Shor, and Jeronimo Cortina.Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do(2nd edition).Princeton University Press,2009. ISBN 0-691-14393-5
  • Andrew Gelman andJennifer Hill.Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models.Cambridge University Press,2006.ISBN978-0-521-68689-1
  • Andrew Gelman and Deborah Nolan.Teaching Statistics: A Bag of Tricks.Oxford University Press,2002.ISBN978-0-19-857224-4
  • Andrew Gelman,John B. Carlin,Hal S. Stern,David Dunson,Aki Vehtari, andDonald B. Rubin.Bayesian Data Analysis(3rd edition). Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2013. ISBN 1-4398-4095-4
  • Andrew Gelman,Jennifer Hill,and Aki Vehtari.Regression and Other Stories.Cambridge University Press,2020.ISBN978-1107023987

References

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  1. ^Andrew Gelmanat theMathematics Genealogy Project
  2. ^Gelman, Andrew Eric."Topics in Image Reconstruction from Emission Tomography"(PDF).Harvard University.Archived(PDF)from the original on 2022-06-06.Retrieved2022-10-01.
  3. ^Kesselman, Ellie (10 September 2014)."Statistics comes to Swarthmore College".Archivedfrom the original on 30 August 2017.Retrieved19 November2016....familiar name on that very short list of all Harvard Statistics PhD alumni: Columbia University political science and statistics professor Andrew Gelman in 1990
  4. ^"Andrew Gelman | ISERP".iserp.columbia.edu.Retrieved12 December2022.
  5. ^"Applied Statistics Center | ISERP".iserp.columbia.edu.Retrieved12 December2022.
  6. ^Andrew Gelman, John B. Carlin, Hal S. Stern and Donald B. Rubin. "Bayesian Data Analysis"(2nd edition). Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2003.ISBN978-1-58488-388-3
  7. ^Gelman, Andrew (2006)."Multilevel (hierarchical) modeling: What it can and cannot do"(PDF).Technometrics.48(3): 432–435.doi:10.1198/004017005000000661.S2CID7974250.Archived(PDF)from the original on 6 May 2006.
  8. ^Gelman, Andrew; Hill, Jennifer; Vehtari, Aki (2022).Regression and Other Stories.Cambridge University Press. p. 59.
  9. ^"What hypothesis testing is all about. (Hint: It's not what you think.)".statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu.Archivedfrom the original on 2022-02-10.Retrieved2022-02-10.
  10. ^"Confirmationist and falsificationist paradigms of science".statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu.Archivedfrom the original on 2022-04-04.Retrieved2022-03-31.
  11. ^Gelman, Andrew;Hill, Jennifer;Vehtari, Aki (2020-07-23).Regression and Other Stories.Higher Education from Cambridge University Press.doi:10.1017/9781139161879.ISBN9781139161879.S2CID218968955.Archivedfrom the original on 2022-02-10.Retrieved2022-02-10.
  12. ^"Monkey Cage".The Washington Post.Archivedfrom the original on 19 November 2016.Retrieved19 November2016.
  13. ^"Why this blog?"Archived2015-03-15 at theWayback MachineThe Monkey Cage
  14. ^Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science:https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/Archived2022-02-10 at theWayback Machine
  15. ^How Do I Make My Graphs?:https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/03/15/how-do-i-make-my-graphs/Archived2022-05-16 at theWayback Machine
  16. ^Exponential Increase In The Number of Stat Majors:https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/04/21/exponential-increase-in-the-number-of-stat-majors/Archived2022-04-05 at theWayback Machine
  17. ^abDominus, Susan (2017-10-18)."When the Revolution Came for Amy Cuddy".The New York Times.ISSN0362-4331.Archivedfrom the original on 2020-01-03.Retrieved2017-10-19.
  18. ^"Outstanding Statistical Application Award".American Statistical Association. Archived fromthe originalon 8 April 2016.
  19. ^Pennington, Rosemary (2 June 2022)."Big, If True - Episode 234".Stats + Stories.Miami, Ohio: Miami University.Retrieved12 December2022.
  20. ^"ASA Fellows".American Statistical Association.2 May 2022.Retrieved12 December2022.Elected Fellow in 1998
  21. ^"Honored IMS Fellows".Institute of Mathematical Statistics.Retrieved12 December2022.
  22. ^"AAAS Fellows Elected"(PDF).Notices of the American Mathematical Society.67.Archived(PDF)from the original on 2020-08-22.Retrieved2020-09-27.
  23. ^"New Members".American Academy of Arts & Sciences.2020.Retrieved12 December2022.
  24. ^"WEDDINGS; Caroline Rosenthal, Andrew Gelman".The New York Times.2002-05-12.ISSN0362-4331.Archivedfrom the original on 2017-12-13.Retrieved2016-11-03.
  25. ^"The way science works…or doesn't".Life After Baby.Archived fromthe originalon 2017-12-14.Retrieved2016-11-03.
  26. ^Galef, Julia; Gelman, Susan (December 13, 2015)."Susan Gelman on 'How essentialism shapes our thinking'".Rationally Speaking: Official Podcast of New York City Skeptics.Episode RS 149.Archivedfrom the original on June 25, 2018.Full(PDF).Retrieved2018-05-12.
  27. ^Gelman, Andrew (14 July 2006)."Uncle Woody".Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.Archivedfrom the original on 25 December 2018.Retrieved5 July2018.
  28. ^""Life Paths and Accomplishments of Mathematically Precocious Males and Females Four Decades Later"".Archivedfrom the original on 2022-05-05.Retrieved2022-05-05.
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