2014 California gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 30.94% (28.65pp) | ||||||||||||||||
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Brown:50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Kashkari:50–60%60–70%70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The2014 California gubernatorial electionwas held on November 4, 2014, to elect thegovernor of California,concurrently withelectionsfor the rest ofCalifornia's executive branch,as well as elections to theUnited States Senatein other states and elections to theUnited States House of Representativesand various state and local elections.
IncumbentDemocraticgovernorJerry Brownran for re-election to a second consecutive and fourth overall term in office. Although governors are limited to lifetime service of two terms in office, Brown previously served as governor from specifically 1975 to 1983, and the law only affects terms served after November 6, 1990.[1][2][3]
A primary election was held on June 3, 2014. Under California'snonpartisan blanket primarylaw, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election.Washingtonis the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisianahas a similar "jungle primary" ). Brown and RepublicanNeel Kashkarifinished first and second, respectively, and contested in the general election,[4]which Brown won. He won the largest gubernatorial victory since1986,"despite running a virtually nonexistent campaign."[5]This was the first time since 1978 that a Democrat carried Nevada County.
Primary election
[edit]A certified list of candidates was released by the secretary of state on March 27, 2014. The primary election took place on Tuesday, June 3, 2014, from 7am to 8pm.[6]
Party candidacies
[edit]Democratic Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Akinyemi Agbede, candidate forMayorofOrange County, Floridain 2010[7]
- Jerry Brown,incumbent governor of California[8]
Withdrew
[edit]- Geby Espinosa, gym owner
- Hanala Sagal, author and fitness personality
- Michael Strimling, attorney
Declined
[edit]- Kamala Harris,Attorney General of California(ran for re-election)[9][10]
- Gavin Newsom,Lieutenant Governor of California(ran for re-election)[11]
- Hilda Solis,formerUnited States Secretary of Laborand former U.S. representative (ran forLos Angeles County Board of Supervisors)[12]
- Antonio Villaraigosa,formerMayor of Los Angeles[9][13]
Republican Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Richard Aguirre, real estate investor and Democratic candidate for governorin 2010[14]
- Glenn Champ, businessman and engineer[14][15]
- Tim Donnelly,state assemblyman andMinutemanfounder[16]
- Neel Kashkari,former actingassistant secretary of the Treasury for financial stability[17]
- Alma Marie Winston[7]
Withdrew
[edit]- Andrew Blount, Mayor ofLaguna Hills[18][19]
- Dennis Jackson, manufacturer
- Abel Maldonado,formerlieutenant governor of California,candidate forcontrollerin2006,and candidate forCA-24in2012[20][21]
Declined
[edit]- Kevin McCarthy,U.S. representative andHouse Majority Whip[9]
- John Moorlach,Orange County Supervisor[22]
- Steve Poizner,formerInsurance Commissioner of Californiaand candidate for governor in2010[23]
- George Radanovich,former U.S. representative[24]
- Meg Whitman,CEO ofHewlett-Packard,former CEO ofeBayand nominee for governor in2010[25][26]
Libertarian Party
[edit]Declined
[edit]- James P. Gray,formerOrange CountySuperior CourtJudge andLibertarian Partynominee forVice President of the United Statesin2012[9]
Green Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Luis J. Rodriguez,author, progressive activist andJustice Partynominee forVice President of the United Statesin2012[27]
American Independent Party
[edit]Endorsed Tim Donnelly[28]
Withdrew
[edit]- Robert Ornelas,American Independent Partynominee forVice President of the United Statesin2012
Peace and Freedom Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Cindy Sheehan,anti-war activist andPeace and Freedom Partynominee forVice President of the United Statesin2012[29]
Independent
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Bogdan Ambrozewicz, small business owner, Independent candidate for the State Senate in 2012 and Republican candidate for the State Assembly in 2011[30]
- Janel Buycks, minister/business owner[14][31]
- Rakesh Kumar Christian, small business owner, independent candidate for governorin 2010[7]
- Joe Leicht, golf course operator[14]
- Robert Newman, psychologist, farmer and Republican candidate for governor in2003,2006,and2010[14]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Andrew Blount (R) |
Tim Donnelly (R) |
Neel Kashkari (R) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR[32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 50% | — | 13% | 18% | — | 5% | 14% |
SurveyUSA[33] | May 16–19, 2014 | 610 | ± 4% | 57% | — | 18% | 11% | — | 4% | 10% |
PPIC[34] | May 8–15, 2014 | 901 | ± 4.9% | 48% | — | 15% | 10% | — | 1% | 27% |
PPIC[35] | April 8–15, 2014 | 944 | ± 5.1% | 46% | 3% | 9% | 2% | — | 2% | 38% |
Field Poll[36] | March 18–April 5, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 57% | 3% | 17% | 2% | — | 1% | 20% |
PPIC[37] | March 11–18, 2014 | 936 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 2% | 10% | 2% | — | 3% | 36% |
Field Poll[38] | November 15–December 3, 2013 | 836 | ± 3.5% | 52% | — | 9% | 3% | 11% | — | 25% |
PPIC[39] | November 12–19, 2013 | 1,081 | ± 4.5% | 46% | — | 16% | — | 7% | 1% | 29% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown(incumbent) | – | 45.6 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | – | 18.3 | |
Republican | Glenn Champ | – | 7.3 | |
Republican | Andrew Blount | – | 5.4 | |
Republican | Alma Marie Winston | – | 4.1 | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | – | 3.8 | |
No party preference | Robert Newman | – | 3.1 | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | – | 2.8 | |
Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | – | 2.6 | |
Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | – | 2.3 | |
Republican | Richard William Aguirre | – | 1.7 | |
No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | – | 0.9 | |
No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | – | 0.8 | |
No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | – | 0.7 | |
No party preference | Joe Leicht | – | 0.6 | |
Total votes | – | 100 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown(incumbent) | 2,354,769 | 54.34% | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | 839,767 | 19.38% | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 643,236 | 14.85% | |
Republican | Andrew Blount | 89,749 | 2.07% | |
Republican | Glenn Champ | 76,066 | 1.76% | |
Green | Luis J. Rodriguez | 66,872 | 1.54% | |
Peace and Freedom | Cindy Sheehan | 52,707 | 1.22% | |
Republican | Alma Marie Winston | 46,042 | 1.06% | |
No party preference | Robert Newman | 44,120 | 1.02% | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 37,024 | 0.85% | |
Republican | Richard William Aguirre | 35,125 | 0.81% | |
No party preference | "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz | 14,929 | 0.35% | |
No party preference | Janel Hyeshia Buycks | 12,136 | 0.28% | |
No party preference | Rakesh Kumar Christian | 11,142 | 0.26% | |
No party preference | Joe Leicht | 9,307 | 0.22% | |
Write-In | Karen Jill Bernal | 17 | <0.01% | |
Write-In | Nickolas Wildstar | 17 | <0.01% | |
Write-In | Jimelle L. Walls | 3 | <0.01% | |
Total votes | 4,333,028 | 100.00% | ||
Turnout | 14.67% |
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate,September 4, 2014 -C-SPAN
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[41] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[43] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[44] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Neel Kashkari (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics[45] | October 28–31, 2014 | 705 | ± 3.8% | 51% | 33% | 16% | |
GQR/American Viewpoint[46] | October 22–29, 2014 | 1,162 | ± 3.3% | 56% | 37% | — | 7% |
Field Poll[47] | October 15–28, 2014 | 941 | ± 3.4% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] | October 16–23, 2014 | 7,463 | ± 2% | 55% | 37% | 1% | 8% |
PPIC[49] | October 12–19, 2014 | 1,704 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | — | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 7,943 | ± 2% | 56% | 36% | 1% | 7% |
PPIC[50] | September 8–15, 2014 | 916 | ± 4.9% | 54% | 33% | 2% | 11% |
LA Times/USC[51] | September 2–9, 2014 | 1,089 | ± 3.3% | 57% | 36% | — | 7% |
GQR/AV[52] | September 2–8, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 57% | 32% | — | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[53] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 8,941 | ± 2% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 10% |
Field Poll[54] | August 14–28, 2014 | 467 | ± 4.8% | 50% | 34% | — | 16% |
Gravis Marketing[55] | July 22–24, 2014 | 580 | ± 4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[56] | July 5–24, 2014 | 9,393 | ±? | 57% | 33% | 3% | 7% |
PPIC[57] | July 8–15, 2014 | 984 | ± 4.7% | 52% | 33% | 4% | 11% |
Field Poll[58] | June 5–22, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 0% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports[59] | June 4–5, 2014 | 823 | ± 4% | 52% | 33% | 5% | 10% |
GQR[32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 9% |
MFour/Tulchin Research[60] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 15% | 8% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Tim Donnelly (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR[32] | May 21–28, 2014 | 626 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 32% | 3% | 11% |
PPIC[61] | January 14–21, 2014 | 1,706 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 17% | — | 30% |
MFour/Tulchin Research[62] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 21% | 7% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jerry Brown (D) |
Abel Maldonado (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MFour/Tulchin Research[62] | August 27–30, 2013 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 29% |
Results
[edit]Brown won easily, by nearly twenty points. He outperformed his majority margin from 2010. As expected, Brown did very well inLos Angelesand in theSan Francisco Bay Area.Kashkari conceded defeat right after the polls closed in California.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry Brown(incumbent) | 4,388,368 | 59.97% | +6.20% | |
Republican | Neel Kashkari | 2,929,213 | 40.03% | −0.86% | |
Turnout | 7,317,581 | 30.94 | −28.65 | ||
Total votes | 7,317,581 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratichold |
By county
[edit]County[64] | Jerry Brown Democratic |
Neel Kashkari Republican |
Margin | Total votes cast | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Alameda | 293,081 | 82.17% | 63,593 | 17.83% | 229,488 | 64.34% | 356,674 |
Alpine | 284 | 61.87% | 175 | 38.13% | 109 | 23.75% | 459 |
Amador | 5,682 | 44.55% | 7,071 | 55.45% | -1,389 | -10.89% | 12,753 |
Butte | 29,520 | 47.79% | 32,249 | 52.21% | -2,729 | -4.42% | 61,769 |
Calaveras | 6,870 | 43.73% | 8,841 | 56.27% | 1,971 | 12.55% | 15,711 |
Colusa | 1,789 | 42.73% | 2,398 | 57.27% | -609 | -14.55% | 4,187 |
Contra Costa | 174,403 | 68.65% | 79,660 | 31.35% | 94,743 | 37.29% | 254,063 |
Del Norte | 3,488 | 49.64% | 3,539 | 50.36% | -51 | -0.73% | 7,027 |
El Dorado | 27,916 | 45.50% | 33,443 | 54.50% | -5,527 | -9.01% | 61,359 |
Fresno | 76,143 | 47.62% | 83,744 | 52.38% | -7,601 | -4.75% | 159,887 |
Glenn | 2,049 | 34.40% | 3,908 | 65.60% | -1,859 | -31.21% | 5,957 |
Humboldt | 24,003 | 64.61% | 13,146 | 35.39% | 10,857 | 29.23% | 37,149 |
Imperial | 13,457 | 64.26% | 7,484 | 35.74% | 5,973 | 28.52% | 20,941 |
Inyo | 2,317 | 42.68% | 3,112 | 57.32% | -795 | -14.64% | 5,429 |
Kern | 54,269 | 40.90% | 78,417 | 59.10% | -24,148 | -18.20% | 132,686 |
Kings | 8,752 | 39.20% | 13,575 | 60.80% | -4,823 | -21.60% | 22,327 |
Lake | 10,722 | 61.28% | 6,775 | 38.72% | 3,947 | 22.56% | 17,497 |
Lassen | 2,213 | 32.44% | 4,609 | 67.56% | -2,396 | -35.12% | 6,822 |
Los Angeles | 978,142 | 66.84% | 485,186 | 33.16% | 492,956 | 33.69% | 1,463,328 |
Madera | 9,974 | 37.22% | 16,825 | 62.78% | -6,851 | -25.36% | 26,799 |
Marin | 69,751 | 79.35% | 18,147 | 20.65% | 51,604 | 58.71% | 87,898 |
Mariposa | 2,499 | 38.23% | 4,038 | 61.77% | -1,539 | -23.54% | 6,537 |
Mendocino | 17,340 | 71.76% | 6,825 | 28.24% | 10,515 | 43.51% | 24,165 |
Merced | 18,945 | 50.13% | 18,848 | 49.87% | 97 | 0.26% | 37,793 |
Modoc | 770 | 27.20% | 2,061 | 72.80% | -1,291 | -45.60% | 2,831 |
Mono | 1,632 | 53.09% | 1,442 | 46.91% | 190 | 6.18% | 3,074 |
Monterey | 51,315 | 69.43% | 22,591 | 30.57% | 28,724 | 38.87% | 73,906 |
Napa | 25,846 | 68.19% | 12,059 | 31.81% | 13,787 | 36.37% | 37,905 |
Nevada | 20,976 | 54.63% | 17,419 | 45.37% | 3,557 | 9.26% | 38,395 |
Orange | 275,707 | 44.43% | 344,817 | 55.57% | -69,110 | -11.14% | 620,524 |
Placer | 51,241 | 45.41% | 61,604 | 54.59% | -10,363 | -9.18% | 112,845 |
Plumas | 2,966 | 41.75% | 4,139 | 58.25% | -1,173 | -16.51% | 7,105 |
Riverside | 165,340 | 47.09% | 185,805 | 52.91% | -20,465 | -5.83% | 351,145 |
Sacramento | 202,416 | 62.33% | 122,342 | 37.67% | 80,074 | 24.66% | 324,758 |
San Benito | 8,654 | 63.52% | 4,969 | 36.48% | 3,685 | 27.05% | 13,623 |
San Bernardino | 134,417 | 46.86% | 152,458 | 53.14% | -18,041 | -6.29% | 286,875 |
San Diego | 346,419 | 51.07% | 331,942 | 48.93% | 14,477 | 2.13% | 678,361 |
San Francisco | 196,745 | 88.15% | 26,442 | 11.85% | 170,303 | 76.31% | 223,187 |
San Joaquin | 62,614 | 53.54% | 54,331 | 46.46% | 8,283 | 7.08% | 116,945 |
San Luis Obispo | 46,606 | 54.32% | 39,186 | 45.68% | 7,420 | 8.65% | 85,792 |
San Mateo | 120,280 | 75.22% | 39,615 | 24.78% | 80,665 | 50.45% | 159,895 |
Santa Barbara | 64,912 | 58.26% | 46,503 | 41.74% | 18,409 | 16.52% | 111,415 |
Santa Clara | 288,732 | 72.94% | 107,113 | 27.06% | 181,619 | 45.88% | 395,845 |
Santa Cruz | 56,977 | 78.61% | 15,499 | 21.39% | 41,478 | 57.23% | 72,476 |
Shasta | 21,509 | 38.06% | 35,007 | 61.94% | -13,498 | -23.88% | 56,516 |
Sierra | 679 | 44.21% | 857 | 55.79% | -178 | -11.59% | 1,536 |
Siskiyou | 6,103 | 44.16% | 7,717 | 55.84% | -1,614 | -11.68% | 13,820 |
Solano | 57,874 | 64.57% | 31,754 | 35.43% | 26,120 | 29.14% | 89,628 |
Sonoma | 107,328 | 74.75% | 36,249 | 25.25% | 71,079 | 49.51% | 143,577 |
Stanislaus | 46,566 | 51.54% | 43,786 | 48.46% | 2,780 | 3.08% | 90,352 |
Sutter | 8,688 | 42.73% | 11,644 | 57.27% | -2,956 | -14.54% | 20,332 |
Tehama | 5,408 | 35.21% | 9,952 | 64.79% | -4,544 | -29.58% | 15,360 |
Trinity | 1,711 | 44.17% | 2,163 | 55.83% | -452 | -11.67% | 3,874 |
Tulare | 23,708 | 38.42% | 37,996 | 61.58% | -14,288 | -23.16% | 61,704 |
Tuolumne | 7,9581 | 46.75% | 9,058 | 53.25% | -1,107 | -6.51% | 17,009 |
Ventura | 106,072 | 53.07% | 93,797 | 46.93% | 12,275 | 6.14% | 199,869 |
Yolo | 31,431 | 69.12% | 14,043 | 30.88% | 17,388 | 38.24% | 45,474 |
Yuba | 5,166 | 41.62% | 7,245 | 58.38% | -2,079 | -16.75% | 12,411 |
Total | 4,388,368 | 59.97% | 2,929,213 | 40.03% | 1,459,155 | 19.94% | 7,317,581 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Del Norte(largest community:Crescent City)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Merced(largest community:Merced)
- Mono(largest municipality:Mammoth Lakes)
- Nevada(largest town:Truckee)
- San Luis Obispo(largest town:San Luis Obispo)
- San Diego(largest community:San Diego)
- Stanislaus(largest community:Modesto)
- Ventura(largest city:Ventura)
By congressional district
[edit]Brown won 41 of the 53 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.[65]
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