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Negotiations during the Venezuelan crisis

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The negotiations during thecrisis in Venezuelaare the negotiation and dialogue attempts and processes between the government ofNicolás Maduroand the Venezuelan opposition. Although numerous dialogue processes and roundtables have taken place, by 2023 none had been effective in achieving a solution to the country's crisis.[1]

Background[edit]

Negotiations between businesses, trade union and the government in 2002[edit]

Fedecámarasbegan to distance itself from Chávez whilst the newConstitution of 1999was being drafted.Pedro Carmonaindicates that the lack of dialogue between the government and businessmen during the constitutional process caused general discomfort in the business industry. Carmona thinks that the Constitution's specific points that irritated businesses are changing the nature of the armed forces to no longer be up for discussion or with public deliberation; the power granted to the president in terms of military promotions; the elimination of the bicameral Congress; the strengthening ofpresidentialpowers and the extension of the presidential term to six years with the possibility of immediate re-election; the loss of the balance between the ministers and chambers; > and the reaffirmation of a national ideology promotingstatismand interventionism, which would limit individual and economic liberties.[2]Vicente Brito, the then-president of Fedecámaras, added one more reason when announcing that his organization would support "No" in thecoming constitutional referendum:a statement that Chávez had made on 18 November 1999 that had bothered him.[3]

In the 28 July 2001 election, Carmona Estanga defeated Alberto Cudemus, a businessman close to Chávez, and succeeded Brito in the presidency of Fedecámaras. On 4 August, Carmona met with Chavez at theMilitary Academy of the Bolivarian Army,where they celebrated the anniversary of theNational Guard;according to Estanga, Chávez said that he didn't want conflicts with Fedecámaras to continue, and they planned a meeting on 22 August atMiraflores.[2]At the meeting, Carmona proposed a plan to lower unemployment by 17% at that time, improving conditions in order to increase private investment up to 20% of GDP in five years, and Chávez responded with a plan for strengthening the public sector.[4]A table for dialogue was created between Fedecámaras and the government, the latter represented byJorge Giordani,Minister of Planning. The meetings did not bring results: despite the fact that they happened once a week and that Chávez was present at one of them, the government continued to write the controversial 49 laws without sharing their content with Fedecámaras or its agricultural equivalent, Fedenaga. In the opinion of the opponents, this violated articles 206 and 211 of the Constitution.[5][6]

In October 2001, some of the content of these laws had been leaked as rumors, and so Carmona and Chavez met at the Caracas Military Circle. According to Carmona, they had tense dialogue:[2]

Carmona Estanga:President, a confrontation is approaching, a train crash; avoid the decrees being approved as intended; there have not been consultations about the projects, among them the Land Law, one of the most delicate.

Chávez:I hope you do not take up the defense of the interests of the oligarchy as a way to prevent the approval of a law that will allow the distribution of land to the poor.

Carmona Estanga:Another thing is agrarian reform. Please call a consultation, avoid a rupture that will be tragic.

On 13 November Chávez decrees 49 laws based on the Enabling Law, a legal instrument that allowed him to legislate without the approval of the Legislative Power, that was granted by theNational Assemblyin the previous November. Although originally two thirds of the Assembly were controlled by Chavez, the situation had changed as some deputies had become dissidents; it was unlikely that Chávez would succeed in obtaining another enabling act and so he passed these laws a day before this power expired. As such, several laws appeared, including the Organic Law of Hydrocarbons, the Fisheries Law, the Special Law of Cooperative Associations, the General Law of Ports. The most controversial was the Law of Land and Agrarian Development.[7]Under this law, the Venezuelan government gained the power to take private lands if they surpassed a certain size and were classified aslatifundia,or if the government believed that they weren't being used to their maximum potential; this also meant that the State must now approve the owner's use of the land. In addition, all owners were required to prove ownership of their land before 18 December, at the risk of losing them if they did not.[8]

Carlos Ortega at a press conference (2002)

Carmona Estanga then suspended dialogue with the government and called an extraordinary assembly on 28 November. There he proposed that a national twelve-hour strike be held on 10 December, and he won the majority support of the business leadership, though the proposal was surprisingly rejected by Miguel Pérez Abad, the president of Fedeindustria.[9]On 4 May,[clarification needed]Fedecámaras joinedConfederación de Trabajadores de Venezuela,the main trade union; its Secretary General,Carlos Ortega,was strengthened after winning the elections against the Chavista candidate,Aristóbulo Istúriz.However, the opposition political parties were divided in their opinions on how to overcome the political crisis.Acción Democráticainsists on designating a medical board that proves the mental incapacity of the president,Francisco Arias Cárdenasand his deputies call for a referendum, theMovement for Socialismcalls for more meetings on the Constitution, whileJustice Firstand the Catholic Church ask the government for a change of course.[10]All options come from a business perspective, since the parties still hadn't recovered from electoral setbacks in recent years.[2]

Although firm in executing the 49 laws, Chávez does try to prevent Fedecámaras from carrying out the strike. During a luncheon with a group of businessmen and bankers on 6 December, the latter are pressured not to join the strike, with the threat of withdrawal of public funds deposited in their banks.[2][9]As a result of this meeting, the Interior Minister,Luis Miquilena,prepared a compromise that was presented to Carmona Estanga, but both Estanga and Chávez reject it, a fact that deepens the separation.[2]On the day of the strike Carmona announced that it was accepted by 90% of the country, though the government denied this; whether or not it was a success, though, both Chávez and Carmona said, in retrospect, that date was historical:

Today is 10 December and we celebrate [the anniversary of] many things. We are marking ten years of that December in 2001. It began strongly, and in an open manner, the bourgeois aggression, the bourgeois counterrevolution, on 10 December... Then, that 10 December, the counterrevolution began openly, ten years ago, and they were preparing the military coup, the economic coup, then the oil coup came a year later, in these days of 2002.

— Hugo Chávez at theTeatro Municipal de Caracason 10 December 2011[11]

The strike on 10 December went down in history as the first major protest milestone of civil society. According to some historians, its success was greater than that of the general strike that overthrewMarcos Pérez Jiménezin January 1958, bearing in mind that the objective on this occasion was not to overthrow a government, but to request rectifications in a firm, but peaceful, manner; had this been understood, it would have avoided the crisis that was taking shape in the country, before the stubbornness and blindness of the rulers... From 10 December, the opposition majority felt that they had legal tools to fight against the official outrages and the autocracy. Civil society, encouraged by the result of the strike, began an almost permanent presence on the streets.

— Pedro Carmona Estanga in his memoirs, "Mi testimonio ante la historia", written in 2004[4]

Indeed, the conflict irreconcilably tore the businesses and the government apart; in the next two months Chávez makes two changes in his cabinet that show that there is no going back. First, he replaced the Minister of Agriculture and Lands for "a revolutionary professor" whose main mission was to make sure that the Land Law is executed;[12]he then fires Miquilena from government. Although he publicly promises to continue cooperating with Chávez, in private he was disgusted by the aggressive discourse of Chávez and waits for the right moment to take control of the National Assembly.[2]

Boston Group[edit]

The Boston Group was a parliamentary committee of theNational Assembly of Venezuelafinanced by theOrganization of American States(OAS) and created following the creation of the Venezuelan-American parliamentary friendship group, which in turn was created in 2002 after thecoup d'état attempt.The group consisted of parliamentarians from the United States and Venezuela that agreed to meet outside the country to discuss important issues for both nations in a less polarized environment.[13]Its objectives were to learn legislative practices, to establish and maintain a solid link between the United States Congress and the Venezuelan parliament, and to create an exchange of legislative information and cooperation in areas of common interest. Half of the Venezuelan members were opposition deputies and the other half were pro-government deputies. Among the members of the group wereNicolás MaduroandJohn Kerry.[14]

Its executive committee was led by Pedro Díaz Blum and Calixto Ortega. Other members of the group wereCilia Flores;Luis Acuña; the vice president ofCADIVI,José Salamán Khan; the rector of theNational Electoral Council(CNE), Tania D'Amelio; Elvis Amoroso;Enrique Márquez[es];and Ángel Emiro Vera.[15]One of the main themes of the Boston Group's discussions was poverty and the media. Cass Ballanger, who chaired the Committee for International Affairs of the Western Hemisphere in the US Congress, announced that five members of the group were going to get funding, donate equipment, and provide training for the National Assembly to have a public television station and a radio to transmit the debates of the Assembly and its commissions.[citation needed]

The first discussions of theLaw on Social Responsibility on Radio and Television(Ley Resorte) were stopped so that the Boston Group could listen to the arguments for and against the law of owners of private media, in working groups. The Boston Group dissolved in 2005 after the retirement of opposition deputies during the2005 parliamentary elections,which coincided with the creation of the official television channel of the Assembly,Asamblea Nacional Televisión(ANTV). Many of the laws passed by the Assembly during this period, including the Resorte Law, ignored the arguments and conclusions from the working groups of the Boston Group.[14]

History[edit]

2014 protests[edit]

During the protests in Venezuela in 2014, the government held a series of meetings from 26 February 2014, known as the "National Conference for Peace",[16][17]where various sectors of society met together.[16][18]The Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD) announced that it would not participate in the National Peace Conference at that time, declaring that "it would not lend itself to a simulation of dialogue",[19]withJulio Borges,secretary of theJustice Firstopposition party, adding that the MUD had not participated because it did not know the meeting agenda proposed by the government, and believes that the main points discussed should be around disarmament of armed groups, the release of detained students, theseparation of powers,the release ofLeopoldo López,among other points.[20]

On 10 April the first round table was held between representatives of the Venezuelan opposition and members of the national government. The meeting took place in the Ayacucho Room of Miraflores Palace. The meeting was chaired and mediated by Colombian Foreign MinisterMaría Ángela Holguín,Ecuadorian Foreign MinisterRicardo Patiño,and Brazilian Foreign MinisterLuiz Alberto Figueiredo,all from the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR), as well as a representative from theHoly Seethrough theApostolic Nunciature,at the request of the Venezuelan opposition.[21][22][23]President Maduro was accompanied by several senior politicians, among them the First LadyCilia Flores;Vice PresidentJorge Arreaza;Foreign MinisterElías Jaua,Secretary of the Tupamaro Movement, José Tomás Pinto; and the mayor of theLibertador municipality,Jorge Rodríguez.The governor of Miranda,Henrique Capriles Radonski,was accompanied by different representatives of the MUD, includingRamón Guillermo AveledoandHenry Ramos Allup.The meeting had 22 speakers in total, eleven from the MUD, and eleven from the government. The members played different songs for five hours on the national radio and television network.Pope Francissent a letter to the members of the meeting, which opened discussions.[24]

2016 recall referendum[edit]

In 2016, the opening stage of therecall referendumwas suspended by theNational Electoral Council(CNE) on 20 October, citing the decision of the regional courts ofApure,Aragua,Bolívar,CaraboboandMonagas.The votes were annulled, due to accusations of fraud by the Democratic Unity Roundtable. The opposition called for peaceful mass marches called "takeover of Venezuela" from 26 October 2016.

A few days later, the opposition announced the suspension of the "March to Miraflores" planned for 3 November 2016, whose destination was the Miraflores Palace in Caracas. The march was suspended after opposition representatives met withThomas Shannon,USUnder Secretary of State for Political Affairs,and ArchbishopClaudio María Celli,who was sent bythe Vaticanas mediator of the conflict in Venezuela, negotiating the participation of the opposition at a dialogue table with the government.

2017 protests[edit]

During the protests in Venezuela in 2017, in September, the government and the opposition began negotiations again inSanto Domingo,Dominican Republic.AfterOperación Gedeón,in which the dissidentÓscar Pérezdied during a clash with security forces, the interior minister said he had obtained information for the operation at tables of dialogue. The coalition of the Democratic Unity Roundtable denied providing information and the operation, describing it as an "extrajudicial execution".[25]The MUD issued a statement to PresidentDanilo Medina,demanding that the Venezuelan government clarify the statements offered by MinisterReverolon the case of Pérez[26]and said that the debate should not continue with the climate of tension that exists. The opposition delegation did not attend the last meeting scheduled for 18 January 2018, citing the operation as one of the reasons why it did not participate.[27][28][29]

Presidential crisis[edit]

2019[edit]

On 22 January 2019,MexicoandUruguaycalled for talks to reduce the tensions between government and opposition supports to prevent an escalation of violence.[30][31][32]

On 24 January, the secretary general of the UN,Antonio Gutierres,issued a call for dialogue, asking all the parties to tamper tensions and open an independent and transparent investigation into the events of the 23 January.[33]

On 28 January, Pope Francis reiterates his call for dialogue by specifically stating "that it be carried out in a climate of peace and justice."[34]

On 30 January, Mexico and Uruguay announce the convening of anInternational Conference on the Situation in Venezuelato be held in Uruguay on 7 February "to lay the foundations to establish a new dialogue mechanism that, with the inclusion of all Venezuelan forces, will contribute to return the stability and peace of this country", according to the statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Uruguay.[35]The initiative is proposed, they point out, in response to the call of Gutierres and of Pope Francis for dialogue. Bolivia joins the initiative hours after the announcement.[36]

On 31 January, the EU'sHigh Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy,Federica Mogherini,announced the creation of theContact Group on Venezuela,initially composed of eight European countries and four Latin American countries (Uruguay,France,Germany,Italy,the Netherlands,Portugal,theUnited Kingdom,Sweden,Spain,Ecuador,Costa RicaandBolivia). During their first meeting on 7 February, Uruguay alongside the participating states—with the exception of Bolivia and Mexico—agreed to form the International Contact Group on Venezuela and issued a jointly signed declaration which called for new elections to occur in Venezuela.[37]

A US-draftedUN Security Councilresolution calling for free and fair presidential elections in Venezuela received majority support, but it was vetoed by Russia and China on 28 February, with South Africa voting against the resolution as well.[38]A Russian counter-resolution calling for a dialogue between the Maduro government and the opposition based on theMontevideo mechanism,was voted against by France, the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, Poland, Peru and Belgium while only 4 countries voted in favor of the resolution.[39]

Juan Guaidó declared that the National Assembly will not participate in the dialogue with Maduro. His reasoning is that it comes to nothing and has already been done "inside and outside Venezuela, in private and in public, alone and with international companions."[40]He says that the result in each case has been more repressive, with Maduro taking advantage of the process to strengthen the dictatorship.[40]Offering as examplesLeopoldo Lopez,thedetention of Juan Requesens,the exile ofJulio Borges,among others, he said that if Maduro really wanted dialogue, he would free the political prisoners.[40]

Referring to a letter that Maduro wrote asking for help from Pope Francis, Guaidó rejected the Vatican's offer to mediate if both sides accepted, calling the attempt "false dialogue" and said the Vatican could help those who "refused to see the Venezuelan reality".[41]Guaidó said Maduro did not respect the terms of the 2016 negotiations and suggested that the pope could encourage Maduro to allow anorderly transition of power.[42]

Corriere della Seracited[43]an edited copy[44][45]of a private letter sent by Pope Francis to Maduro on February 7[46]in response to a letter that Maduro wrote asking the pope for mediation.[47][48][49]In the letter, the Pope refers to Maduro as "His Excellency Mr. Nicolás Maduro Moros"[43]and says that previous negotiating agreements have not been met.[46]The conditions, still applicable, were the opening of a humanitarian channel, the convocation of free elections, the freedom for political prisoners and the reestablishment of the powers of the National Assembly.[50]According to Andrea Gagliarducci, writing for theCatholic News Agency,the Pope accepted the position taken by the Venezuelan bishops, who maintain that Maduro's election was illegitimate, by not addressing him as president.[50]

Following the failed military uprising, representatives of Guaidó and Maduro began mediation with the assistance of the Norwegian Centre for Conflict Resolution.Jorge RodríguezandHéctor Rodríguez Castroserved as representatives for Maduro whileGerardo Blyde[es]andStalin Gonzálezwere representatives for Guaidó. Guaidó confirmed that there was an envoy in Norway, but assured that the opposition would not take part in "any kind of fake negotiations".[51]After the second meeting in Norway, no deal was reached.[52]During a rally in June, Guaidó announced that there were no plans for further talks in Norway, "not on the table today. Why not? Because if anything that does not move us toward (Maduro’s resignation) is useless", he said.[53]Guaidó also declared that the next time there is a meeting in Oslo it would be because they are closer to the "cease of usurpation, transition government and free elections".[54]

On 9 July 2019 negotiations started inBarbadoswith representatives ofNicolás MaduroandJuan Guaidó.[55][56][57]Several theories arose from the negotiations, including potential elections agreed upon between the government and the opposition, havingHéctor Rodríguezas the main government candidate.[58][59][60]On 15 September, Guaidó announced that the opposition concluded the dialogue after the absence of the government in the negotiations for 40 days as a protest to the recent sanctions by the United States.[citation needed]

2020[edit]

In February 2020, the coordinator of theLima Group,Hugo de Zela, announced that three of its member countries, –Argentina,CanadaandPeru– were attempting to negotiate with theCuban governmentto find a solution to the crisis. Although no details of the negotiation were leaked, it was confirmed by officials inBuenos Aires.[61]

In late March 2020, theUnited Statesrelaxed its position and proposed a transitional government that would exclude both Maduro and Guaidó from the presidency.[62]Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that sanctions did not apply to humanitarian aid during thecoronavirus pandemic health emergencyand that the United States wouldlift all sanctionsif Maduro agreed to organize elections that did not include himself in a period of six to twelve months. Pompeo reiterated U.S. support for Juan Guaidó.[63]The deal would enforce a power-sharing scenario between the different government factions, and the US would remove all sanctions should it be agreed to. Elections would have to be held within the year, and all foreign militaries (particularly noted were Cuba and Russia) would have to leave the country. The US were still seeking Maduro's arrest at the time of the announcement.[64]Other aspects of the US deal would include releasing all political prisoners and setting up a five-person council to lead the country; two members each chosen by Maduro and Guaidó would sit on the council, with the last member selected by the four. The EU also agreed to remove sanctions if the deal went ahead. Experts have noted that the deal is similar to earlier proposals but explicitly mentions who would lead a transitional government, something which stalled previous discussions, and comes shortly after the US indicted Maduro, which may pressure him to peacefully leave power.[65]

Guaidó accepted the proposal,[66]while Venezuela's foreign minister,Jorge Arreaza,rejected it and declared that only parliamentary elections would take place that year.[67]

Reutersreported that during theCOVID-19 pandemic,allies of bothNicolás MaduroandJuan Guaidóhad secretly begun exploratory talks, according to sources on both sides.[68]Guaidó andU.S. Special RepresentativeforVenezuelaElliott Abramshave denied that negotiations have taken place.[69][70]

2021[edit]

After the announcement of regional elections in 2021, Guaidó announced a "national salvation agreement" and proposed the negotiation with Maduro with a schedule for free and fair elections, with international support and observers, in exchange of lifting theinternational sanctions.[71][72]

2023[edit]

On April 24, the head of the pro-government delegation to the negotiations in Mexico,Jorge Rodriguez,called for a halt to theinvestigation at the International Criminal Court about the situation in Venezuela,stating that one of the objectives of the dialogue with the opposition was to request a halt to the judicial proceedings against the country.[73]

Public opinion[edit]

In December 2017, a survey by Venebarómetro showed that 49.8% of Venezuelans disagreed with the dialogue that was taking place in theDominican Republic.[74]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^"Veinte años es mucho…".El Nacional.19 December 2022.« Los resultados de todos estos coloquios, invariablemente, han sido tablas de salvación para el gobierno, tanto de Chávez como de Maduro, quien, invariablemente, se ha dado golpes de pecho y ha jurado, hasta sobre el manto sagrado, que acatará lo acordado en tales instancias »
  2. ^abcdefgZapata 2012
  3. ^Vinogradoff, Ludmila (24 November 1999)."Empresarios, por el No".Clarín.Retrieved2 April2013.
  4. ^abCarmona Estanga, Pedro (2005)."Chávez y el sector privado: Una relación difícil".Mi testimonio ante la Historia.Archived fromthe originalon 11 May 2013.Retrieved2 April2013.
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  16. ^ab"Medios de comunicación, empresarios y dirigentes opositores estuvieron en la Conferencia Nacional de Paz".Caracas: Noticias24. 26 February 2014. Archived fromthe original(en línea)on 5 March 2014.Retrieved13 March2014.El presidente de la República, Nicolás Maduro Moros, recibió a representantes de medios de comunicación social y empresarios venezolanos al inicio de la Conferencia Nacional de Paz, en el presidencial Palacio de Miraflores
  17. ^"Algunos opositores asisten a la Conferencia Nacional de Paz de la Patria".Caracas: Noticias24. 26 February 2014. Archived fromthe original(en línea)on 2 March 2014.Retrieved13 March2014.La convocatoria fue realizada a todos los sectores económicos, políticos, institucionales, religiosos y sociales, evento al que la Mesa de la Unidad Democrática (MUD) negó su asistencia. Sin embargo, algunos dirigentes políticos afectos a la oposición están presentes en esta conferencia […]
  18. ^"Presidente instaló en Miraflores Conferencia Nacional por la Paz"(en línea).Diario La Voz. 26 February 2014.Retrieved13 March2014.Maduro aseguró que está "listo" para entablar diálogo con los estudiantes en el país. "Estoy listo, si usted quiere mañana [por hoy] la hacemos", respondió al periodista Vladimir Villegas, quien propuso que se haga una reunión "mañana mismo" con los movimientos de estudiantes.
  19. ^"MUD no participará en la Conferencia por la Paz: no nos prestamos para" un simulacro de diálogo "".Caracas: Noticias24. 26 February 2014. Archived fromthe original(en línea)on 4 March 2014.Retrieved13 March2014.El secretario ejecutivo de la Mesa de la Unidad, Ramón Guillermo Aveledo, en carta enviada al vicepresidente ejecutivo Jorge Arreaza, confirmó que esa alianza de partidos, no participará en la llamada Conferencia por la Paz, organizada por el Gobierno nacional y que se celebrará el día de hoy
  20. ^"Borges: La MUD" no participará en el diálogo de paz hasta que se cree una agenda de trabajo "".Caracas: Noticias24. 1 March 2014. Archived fromthe original(en línea)on 3 March 2014.Retrieved13 March2014.En el marco de la Conferencia Nacional por la Paz que se desarrolló el pasado miércoles 21 de febrero, en el Palacio de Miraflores, donde gran parte de los partidos políticos de oposición no asistieron, el Diputado del Parlamento expresó que "la Mesa (de la Unidad Democrática) no ha asistido porque no sabemos la agenda de diálogo que se plantea (el Gobierno). Diálogo sin agenda no es diálogo"
  21. ^Histórica reunión entre el Gobierno y la oposición en Venezuela
  22. ^Gobierno y oposición de Venezuela se enfrascan en debate televisivo
  23. ^Vea el video completo del diálogo Gobierno-oposición
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  27. ^"MUD desmiente a Reverol y califica de ejecución muerte de Óscar Pérez".2018-01-16.
  28. ^"MUD explicó razones por las que no asistió al diálogo este jueves".El Nacional. 18 January 2018.Retrieved19 January2018.
  29. ^La Patilla (18 January 2018)."La oposición no asistirá al diálogo en República Dominicana".
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  40. ^abcElPais (7 February 2019)."Juan Guaidó:" Uruguay ha hecho falta para defender la democracia "".Diario EL PAIS Uruguay(in Spanish).Retrieved16 February2019.
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  42. ^De 2019, 6 De Febrero (6 February 2019)."Juan Guaidó pidió al papa Francisco que" haga ver "a Nicolás Maduro la necesidad" de ir hacia un proceso de transición "".Infobae(in European Spanish).Retrieved16 February2019.{{cite web}}:CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
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