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Ottawa South

Coordinates:45°21′33.372″N75°39′51.69″W/ 45.35927000°N 75.6643583°W/45.35927000; -75.6643583
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45°21′33.372″N75°39′51.69″W/ 45.35927000°N 75.6643583°W/45.35927000; -75.6643583

Ottawa South
Ontarioelectoral district
Ottawa South in relation to other electoral districts in Ottawa (2003 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP

David McGuinty
Liberal
District created1987
First contested1988
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile,map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]121,058
Electors(2021)92,759
Area (km²)[2]73.26
Pop. density (per km²)1,652.4
Census division(s)Ottawa
Census subdivision(s)Ottawa

Ottawa South(French:Ottawa-Sud) is a federalelectoral districtinOttawa,Ontario,Canada. It is represented in theHouse of Commons of CanadabyDavid McGuinty,brother of formerPremier of Ontarioand Ottawa SouthMPPDalton McGuinty.It has been held continuously byLiberalcandidates since it was first contested in 1988, and is regarded as one of the strongest Liberal ridings in Canada. Ottawa South is asuburban,generallymiddle classriding, notable for having the highestArabpopulation in Ontario.[3]

Geography

[edit]

The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. It is bounded on the north and east byHighway 417,on the west by theRideau Riverand on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River andHunt Club Road,then east toLimebank Road,south to Leitrim Road, east to theCP Rail line,north toLester Road,then east along Lester andDavidson RoadtoConroy Road,north toHunt Club Roadand east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts includeOttawa—Vanierto the north,Orléansto the east,Carletonto the south andOttawa West—NepeanandOttawa Centreto the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods ofRiverview,Eastway Gardens,Alta Vista,Riverside Park,Billings Bridge,Heron Park,Mooney's Bay,Hunt Club Woods,Hunt Club Estate,Hunt Club Chase,South Keys,Ellwood,Heron Gate,Sheffield Glen,Airport-Uplands,Elizabeth Park,Windsor Park Village,andBlossom Parkin the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km2.There are 233 polling divisions.

Party support

[edit]

The Liberal Party has held the riding since its creation in 1988. The closest election was a 7% Liberal win in 2006. The riding has voted Liberal even during Progressive Conservative and Conservative governments. The New Democratic Party received its greatest level of support in the 2021 election at 19%. The Greens saw their highest vote here in 2008 with 7%.

Political geography

[edit]

The Liberals have support in most parts of the riding. In the 2004 election, the strongest Liberal areas were in theAlta Vistaneighbourhood. However, in the 2006 election, they lost some of this support, but it was gained from lower income areas such asHeron Gate.By 2008, the Liberals had gained much of their support back in Alta Vista.

The Conservatives have their strongest amount in the southern parts of the riding, especially in the community ofBlossom Parkand around theMacdonald-Cartier International AirportBy 2006, the Conservatives had won the neighbourhood ofElmvale Acres,but this was lost in 2008. The New Democrats have only won one poll in recent memory, and that was a poll in Heron Gate in 2004.[2][3][4][5]

Demographics

[edit]
According to the2021 Canadian census[4]

Ethnic groups:52.2% White, 14.7% Black, 12.4% Arab, 4.9% South Asian, 3.6% Indigenous, 3.3% Chinese, 2.2% Filipino, 1.8% Latin American, 1.6% West Asian, 1.2% Southeast Asian,
Languages:51.1% English, 10.6% French, 9.7% Arabic, 2.1% Somali, 1.8% Spanish, 1.5% Mandarin, 1.0% Italian, 1.0% Tagalog
Religions:51.1% Christian (28.0% Catholic, 3.4% Anglican, 3.1% Christian Orthodox, 2.7% United Church, 1.3% Pentecostal, 12.6% Other), 18.1% Muslim, 1.6% Hindu, 1.1% Jewish, 25.9% None
Median income:$42,000 (2020)
Average income:$55,600 (2020)

Riding associations

[edit]

Riding associationsare the local branches of national political parties:

Thelist of registered riding associationsis available fromElections Canada.

Party Association name President
New Democratic Ottawa South Federal NDP Morgan Gay
Liberal Ottawa South Federal Liberal Association Richard A. Pommainville
Conservative Ottawa South Conservative Association Ron Leaman
Green Ottawa South Federal Green Party Association Nirmala Dookeran
People's Ottawa South PPC Association Ilian Nikolov

History

[edit]

The district was created in 1987. 65.7% was fromOttawa—Carleton,20.1% fromOttawa Centreand 14.2% fromOttawa—Vanier.At the time, it was bounded on the west by theRideau River,on the north by theQueensway,on the east by the city limits at the time, and on the south by the following line (from west to east beginning at the Rideau River): Ottawa city limits, River Road, Limebank Road, Leitrim Road,Canadian Pacific Railway,Lester Road (allowance for a road between lots 10 and 11, Concession 3 inGloucester Township,Albion Road,Walkley Road.

1996 Redistribution

[edit]

Following the 1996 redistribution, the riding added the neighbourhood ofHunt Club ParkfromCarleton—Gloucester,by changing the southeastern boundary to the city limits at the time (from Walkley to Conroy).

2003 Redistribution

[edit]

Following the 2003 redistribution, the riding's eastern boundary was changed toHighway 417from the former city limits. The boundary would follow Highway 417 from the Rideau River until Hunt Club Road. This shift added in a small piece of territory that was inOttawa—VanierandOttawa—Orléansriding.

2012 Redistribution

[edit]

Only a minor change to the riding's boundaries occurred followed the2012 redistribution of Canada's ridings.Ottawa South lost all of its territory south ofHunt Club Roadand West ofRiverside Drive.This area, which only had 27 people as of theCanada 2011 Census[5]was transferred to the new riding ofCarleton.

2022 Redistribution

[edit]

The 2022 Federal Redistribution pushed the riding boundaries southward to encompass the growing neighbourhood ofFindlay Creek,formerly part of theCarletonriding. The new boundaries will be in effect for the next Federal election to be held no later than 2025.

It also took away the north-west corner of the riding. The area between theRideau RiverandBank Stin the east to the Railway Tracks to the south, encompassing the neighbourhoods ofRiverside Park,Billings BridgeandHeron Parkwere moved to theOttawa Centreriding.

Members of Parliament

[edit]

The riding has elected the followingmembers of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Ottawa South
Riding created fromOttawa—Carleton,Ottawa Centre
andOttawa—Vanier
34th 1988–1993John ManleyLiberal
35th 1993–1997
36th 1997–2000
37th 2000–2004
38th 2004–2006David McGuinty
39th 2006–2008
40th 2008–2011
41st 2011–2015
42nd 2015–2019
43rd 2019–2021
44th 2021–present

Current member of Parliament

[edit]

Themember of Parliament(MP) for Ottawa South isDavid McGuinty,a former businessman, immigration officer, lawyer and professor. He was first elected in2004.He is a member of theLiberal Party of Canada.

Election results

[edit]
Graph of election results in Ottawa South (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Next

[edit]

The Conservatives have nominated police officer Blair Turner to be their candidate. He is the son of former Progressive Conservative MP forOttawa—CarletonBarry Turner.[6]

Next Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Blair Turner
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2021

[edit]
2021 federal electionredistributed results[7]
Party Vote %
Liberal 29,250 49.41
Conservative 15,963 26.97
New Democratic 10,729 18.12
People's 1,829 3.09
Green 1,300 2.20
Others 124 0.21

Incumbent Liberal MP David McGuinty faced a re-match against local businessman Eli Tannis of the Conservative Party. The NDP ran national security expert Huda Mukbil.[8]McGuinty easily won re-election with a slightly reduced majority, while the NDP had its strongest federal result in the riding's history, besting its prior high-water mark in 2011.

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 29,038 48.81 -3.51 $90,172.30
Conservative Eli Tannis 15,497 26.05 +1.54 $109,078.40
New Democratic Huda Mukbil 11,514 19.35 +3.36 $30,779.59
People's Chylow Hall 1,898 3.19 +2.09 $5,112.54
Green Les Schram 1,401 2.35 -3.22 $1,305.45
Communist Larry Wasslen 144 0.24 +0.09 $0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 59,529 99.04 $118,434.85
Total rejected ballots 575 0.96 +0.09
Turnout 60,069 66.71 -4.39
Eligible voters 90,041
Liberalhold Swing -2.52
Source:Elections Canada[9]

2019

[edit]

Incumbent MP David McGuinty ran for re-election, and was challenged by Conservative Eli Tannis, a Lebanese-Canadian entrepreneur,[10]New Democrat Morgan Gay, a community organizer[11]and Green Les Schram, a self employed consultant.[12]Despite winning 5,000 fewer votes than he had four years earlier, he easily held off the challenge from his nearest (Conservative) rival, with more than double the latter's total.


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 34,205 52.32 -7.74 $80,576.61
Conservative Eli Tannis 16,025 24.51 +0.21 $106,966.51
New Democratic Morgan Gay 10,457 16.00 +4.42 none listed
Green Les Schram 3,645 5.58 +2.66 $3,248.53
People's Rodrigo André Bolaños 717 1.10 none listed
Independent Ahmed Bouragba 141 0.22 $0.00
Communist Larry Wasslen 99 0.15 -0.06 none listed
Independent Sarmad Laith 87 0.13 none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 65,376 99.13
Total rejected ballots 574 0.87 +0.33
Turnout 65,950 71.10 -2.46
Eligible voters 92,759
Liberalhold Swing -3.98
Source:Elections Canada[13][14]

2015

[edit]

While the Liberals were the third party in Parliament, David McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's critic for Natural Resources (2011–2012), Industry (2013) and the Privy Council Office (2013–2015). He was easily re-elected in 2015 when the Liberals were swept into power. He defeated the Conservative candidate, Dev Balkissoon, a consulting firm owner[15]by over 23,000 votes. Balkissoon was criticized during the campaign for missing an all-candidates debate.[16]The NDP candidate wasGeorge Brown,a former Ottawa City councillor forRiverside Ward(1985–1994), and the Green candidate was John Redins, a disabilities rights activist.

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 38,831 60.06 +16.05 $119,103.32
Conservative Dev Balkissoon 15,711 24.30 -8.98 $89,467.46
New Democratic George Brown 7,480 11.57 -6.59 $18,683.33
Green John Redins 1,888 2.92 -0.11 $3,221.56
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 366 0.57
Libertarian Damien Wilson 237 0.37 $97.29
Communist Larry Wasslen 136 0.21
Total valid votes/Expense limit 64,649 99.46 $225,034.63
Total rejected ballots 351 0.54
Turnout 65,000 73.56
Eligible voters 88,368
Liberalhold Swing +12.52
Source:Elections Canada[17]
2011 federal electionredistributed results[18]
Party Vote %
Liberal 25,954 44.01
Conservative 19,626 33.28
New Democratic 10,709 18.16
Green 1,787 3.03
Others 895 1.52

2011

[edit]
2011 election popular vote map by polling division

While in opposition, McGuinty was promoted to the position of the Official Opposition House leader. Once again, he faced and defeated Elie Salibi, the Conservative candidate. McGuinty was one of only 34 Liberals elected to the House of Commons in the election, and both he and Salibi saw a reduction in their percentage of votes. The NDP candidate, James McLaren, a teacher, had the second best (after 2021) performance for the NDP in riding history, despite a mid-campaign controversy regarding comments he made on Facebook.[19]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 25,963 44.01 -5.89
Conservative Elie Salibi 19,634 33.28 -0.09
New Democratic James McLaren 10,712 18.16 +9.71
Green Mick Kitor 1,787 3.03 -3.74
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 513 0.87 -0.19
Pirate Mike Bleskie 382 0.65 n.a.
Total valid votes 58,991 100.00
Total rejected ballots 279 0.47 -0.12
Turnout 59,270 69.11%
Liberalhold Swing -5.80
Source:Elections Canada[20]

2008

[edit]
2008 election popular vote map by polling division

In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Elie Salibi, the director of international sales withCorel,who was born inLebanon.The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, aCarleton Universitypolitical science student ofBengalidescent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a doctor, born inYemen.Former Libertarian Party leaderJean-Serge Brissonalso ran, as well as Al Gullon, the Progressive Canadian candidate. Facing lower turnout in the riding itself, as well as nationwide, and a strong lack of enthusiasm for the Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, McGuinty was able to increase his vote total, and his lead over his closest opponent, from the 2006 election. McGuinty just barely missed the 50% mark, but was nonetheless re-elected handily in Ottawa South.

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 29,035 49.90 +5.75 $82,793
Conservative Elie Salibi 19,417 33.37 -4.06 $89,808
New Democratic Hijal De Sarkar 4,920 8.45 -4.78 $5,110
Green Qais Ghanem 3,939 6.77 +2.03 $20,330
Progressive Canadian Al Gullon 620 1.06 +0.62 $92
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 244 0.41
Total valid votes/Expense limit 58,175 100.00 $89,843
Total rejected ballots 346 0.59 +0.11
Turnout 58,521 66.82 -4.89
Liberalhold Swing +4.91

Nomination contests

[edit]
Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence ?
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence February 23, 2007[21]
Elie Salibi Ottawa 278
George M. Brown Ottawa 182
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence September 11, 2008
Hijal De Sarkar Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence June 16, 2007
Qais Ghanem Ottawa X
Peter Tretter Ottawa

2006

[edit]
2006 election popular vote map by polling division

David McGuintywas re-elected after two years as a Liberal backbencher. The race was expected to be closer than 2004, which it was, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler. Cutler was thewhistleblowerin the LiberalSponsorship Scandalwhich saw millions of dollars of public funds transferred to Liberal friendly firms in Quebec during the Chrétien era. The margin of victory between the liberal and his conservative challenger was closer than in 2004, but McGuinty eventually came out on top. Cutler himself was painted as a hypocrite as he would not address the issue of his nomination. Accusations started that 2004 candidateAlan Riddellwas given $50,000 not to stand for nomination in the race. Riddell was also pushed aside in an earlier nomination race that saw former MPBarry Turneracclaimed, but would later drop out, forcing a new race. Running for the NDP was theLebanese-born economist Henri Sader who faced a difficult challenge holding on to the votes thatMonia Mazighwon in the previous election. Running again for Greens again was John Ford who failed to hold on to his votes, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who lost votes as well. Thomson had all but dropped out however, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned to run Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 27,158 44.15 +0.33 $78,559
Conservative Allan Cutler 23,028 37.43 +2.62 $74,021
New Democratic Henri Sader 8,138 13.23 -0.41 $30,456
Green John Ford 2,913 4.74 -1.00 $2,095
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 273 0.44 -0.2 $2,743
Difference 4,124 6.71 -2.29
Rejected Ballots 298 0.5 -0.1
Turnout 61,808 71.71 +2.00
Liberalhold Swing +2.29

Nomination contests

[edit]
Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 9, 2005
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence May 17, 2005
Barry Turner Nepean X

Barry Turner was acclaimed for the nomination when Allan Riddell, the party's candidate in 2004, withdrew because of allegations about a prank in which he was involved in university. The party later cancelled Turner's nomination and called a new meeting. Turner was not able to get an answer from the party about why the nomination was cancelled, and decided against seeking the nomination again.[22][23]Allan Cutler announced that he would seek the nomination.

Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence November 25, 2005
Allan S. Cutler Nepean X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence November 10, 2005
Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte Ottawa
Henri Sader Ottawa X
Green Party of Canada
Candidate Residence August 29, 2005
John Ford Ottawa X

2004

[edit]
Map of the results by poll in 2004.

The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was among a number of high-profile Liberals to retire who were known to beJean Chrétienloyalists. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother ofOntario PremierDalton McGuinty,won the Liberal nomination. He was known to be a friend of Prime MinisterPaul Martin.McGuinty faced a steep challenge from Alan Riddell, another lawyer, and Monia Mazigh, the NDP candidate. Riddell, the Conservative candidate, had suffered bad press when it was discovered he had been driving with a suspended license. Mazigh, who lived inNepean,was another high-profile candidate, being the wife ofMaher Arar,who was wrongly accused of terrorism. McGuinty suffered too, as his brother's government was unpopular at the time, but in the end was victorious.

2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal David McGuinty 25,956 43.82 -7.5 $74,148
Conservative Alan Riddell 20,622 34.81 -5.3 $57,520
New Democratic Monia Mazigh 8,080 13.64 +6.9 $73,230
Green John Ford 3,398 5.73 n/a $2,205
Marijuana John Akpata 495 0.83 -0.5
Progressive Canadian Brad Thomson 375 0.63 n/a $2,743
Independent Raymond Aubin 225 0.37 n/a $988
Marxist–Leninist Saroj Bains 79 0.13 -0.1
Difference 5,334 8.95 -17.9
Rejected Ballots 361 0.61 +0.2
Turnout 59,591 69.67 +7.7
Liberalhold Swing +2.2

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election.

Results by neighbourhood

[edit]

[24]

Community John Akpata Raymond Aubin Saroj
Bains
John
Ford
Monia Mazigh David McGuinty Alan Riddell Brad Thomson
Mar. Ind. M-L Green NDP Liberal Cons. PC Party
# % # % # % # % # % # % # % # %
Eastway Gardens 4 1.1 8 2.3 1 0.3 19 5.5 25 7.2 161 46.5 127 36.7 1 0.3
Cyrville 0 0.0 4 2.2 0 0.0 12 6.5 17 9.2 91 49.2 57 30.8 4 2.2
Riverview 53 1.0 27 0.5 6 0.1 332 6.3 830 15.8 2482 47.3 1488 28.3 32 0.6
Rideau Park 9 0.7 0 0.0 0 0.0 74 6.0 106 8.6 646 52.4 393 31.9 5 0.4
Applewood Acres 4 0.4 5 0.5 0 0.0 80 7.4 134 12.4 551 50.8 304 28.0 6 0.6
Alta Vista 11 0.9 0 0.0 2 0.2 97 8.0 151 12.4 584 47.9 368 30.2 5 0.4
Ridgemont 5 0.8 3 0.5 2 0.3 54 8.4 82 12.7 305 47.4 188 29.2 5 0.8
Playfair Park 2 0.2 4 0.4 1 0.1 49 4.5 83 7.7 571 52.7 373 34.4 1 0.1
Guildwood Estates 1 0.1 0 0.0 2 0.3 37 5.2 47 6.6 389 54.3 238 33.2 3 0.4
Urbandale Acres 4 0.3 7 0.6 1 0.1 75 6.2 126 10.3 575 47.2 423 34.7 7 0.6
Elmvale Acres 14 0.8 12 0.7 2 0.1 123 6.8 214 11.8 792 43.6 649 35.8 11 0.6
Urbandale 13 0.6 11 0.5 3 0.1 168 7.6 209 9.5 979 44.4 810 36.7 13 0.6
Hawthorne Meadows 15 1.2 9 0.7 0 0.0 38 3.0 207 16.1 583 45.3 425 33.0 10 0.8
Sheffield Glen 21 1.7 5 0.4 3 0.2 55 4.4 203 16.3 534 42.9 415 33.3 9 0.7
Billings Bridge 17 1.2 10 0.7 4 0.3 74 5.4 253 18.5 619 45.2 381 27.8 12 0.9
Heron Park 7 0.8 9 1.1 2 0.2 48 5.7 143 17.0 364 43.2 266 31.6 3 0.4
Riverside Park 14 0.9 6 0.4 5 0.3 97 6.1 198 12.4 749 46.8 526 32.9 9 0.6
Mooney's Bay 4 0.4 0 0.0 1 0.1 91 8.9 111 10.8 487 47.5 329 32.1 3 0.3
Riverside Park South 9 0.8 7 0.6 2 0.2 86 7.3 137 11.6 472 40.1 459 39.0 6 0.5
Ellwood 12 1.5 6 0.8 3 0.4 41 5.2 139 17.6 359 45.4 227 28.7 4 0.5
Heron Gate 30 1.1 10 0.4 6 0.2 139 4.9 756 26.5 1150 40.3 723 25.4 38 1.3
Hunt Club Woods 18 0.9 3 0.2 2 0.1 110 5.6 272 13.9 867 44.2 677 34.5 11 0.6
Hunt Club Estate 23 1.3 2 0.1 2 0.1 124 7.0 282 15.9 751 42.4 573 32.3 16 0.9
Hunt Club Chase 20 1.2 2 0.1 0 0.0 129 7.5 205 12.0 761 44.5 580 33.9 12 0.7
Elizabeth Park 4 2.6 1 0.7 0 0.0 9 5.9 14 9.2 46 30.3 77 50.7 1 0.7
Windsor Park Village 4 1.4 1 0.3 0 0.0 23 7.8 38 13.0 88 30.0 134 45.7 5 1.7
South Keys 13 0.8 13 0.8. 2 0.1 84 5.0 221 13.2 666 39.9 663 39.7 7 0.4
Greenboro 43 0.9 11 0.2 8 0.2 225 4.9 712 15.7 1989 43.7 1536 33.8 23 0.5
Hunt Club Park 18 0.5 7 0.2 5 0.1 167 4.6 481 13.2 1717 47.1 1227 33.7 23 0.6
Blossom Park 69 1.3 25 0.5 4 0.1 307 5.7 755 14.0 2067 38.4 2117 39.3 40 0.7

Nomination contests

[edit]
Liberal Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 6, 2004
Camille Awada Ottawa
Diane Deans Ottawa
Sheila Gervais Ottawa
John Samuel Ottawa
David McGuinty Ottawa X
Conservative Party of Canada
Candidate Residence March 8, 2004
Brad Darbyson Ottawa
Terry Kilrea Nepean
Alan Riddell Ottawa X
New Democratic Party
Candidate Residence April 14, 2004
Jeannie Page Ottawa
Monia Mazigh Nepean X

2000

[edit]

By 2000, Manley had progressed toMinister of Foreign Affairs.He defeated Brad Darbyson, the Canadian Alliance candidate, who was an investment counsellor. Finishing in third was engineer Kevin Lister, the Progressive Conservative candidate and nativeAlbertan.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 26,585 51.3 -7.7 $51,901
Alliance Brad Darbyson 12,677 24.5 +8.6 $40,183
Progressive Conservative Kevin Lister 8,096 15.6 +0.4 $23,923
New Democratic Jeannie Page 3,463 6.7 -1.5 $11,522
Marijuana Ron Whalen 679 1.3 n/a
Natural Law James Hea 141 0.3 0.0
Marxist–Leninist Marsha Fine 80 0.2 -0.1
Communist Mick Panesar 69 0.1 n/a $246
Difference 13,908 26.9 -16.3
Rejected Ballots 231 0.4 -0.3
Turnout 52,021 62.0 -10.3
Liberalhold Swing -8.2 -3.8

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.

1997

[edit]

Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1996 version. The remaining 5% came from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley, now theMinister of Industrywas once again re-elected. He faced opposition from theSomalicommunity in the riding for his indifference to their needs and concerns. This did not have enough impact, however, and Manley won again with another massive majority. He defeated Carla Marie Dancey, the Reform Party candidate who lived outside the riding. Also running was Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MPGerry Weiner.Many attribute Manley's victory to attracting business to Ottawa's high tech sector.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 31,725 59.01 -7.19 $50,315
Reform Carla Marie Dancey 8,522 15.85 +1.38 $24,092
Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley 8,115 15.09 +2.77 $23,773
New Democratic Marcella Munro 4,374 8.14 +4.25 $23,462
Green Maria Von Fickenstein 440 0.82 $0
Canadian Action Paula Williams 281 0.52 n/a $1,364
Natural Law Richard Michael Wolfson 167 0.31 $0
Marxist–Leninist Anna di Carlo 140 0.26 $0
Difference 23,203 43.2 -8.7
Rejected Ballots 382 0.7
Turnout 54,146 72.3
Liberalhold Swing -4.29

1993

[edit]
1993 federal electionredistributed results[25]
Party Vote %
Liberal 37,500 66.20
Reform 8,197 14.47
Progressive Conservative 6,979 12.32
New Democratic 2,202 3.89
Others 1,768 3.12

Manley was re-elected, as part of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals. He defeated consulting engineer Doug Walkinshaw of the Reform Party. Joe Anton, the Progressive Conservative candidate, an auditor forRevenue Canadadefeated the former mayor ofKanatafor the Tory nomination. Ursule Critoph, an economist, was the NDP candidate.

1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 36,485 65.93 +15.10 $116,684
Reform Doug Walkinshaw 8,003 14.46 n/a $46,281
Progressive Conservative Joe Anton 6,971 12.60 -22.46 $18,730
New Democratic Ursule Critoph 2,169 3.92 -9.62 $39,876
National George Shirreff 1,038 1.88 n/a
Green Joe Palmer 358 0.65 n/a
Natural Law Ronald J.D. Parker 251 0.45 n/a
Marxist–Leninist Louise Waldman 63 0.11 n/a
Valid votes 55,338 100.0
Liberalhold Swing +0.32

[26]

1988

[edit]
Ottawa South in 1987 showing the districts from which it was created.

Barry Turnerwas theProgressive Conservativeincumbent MP going into the 1988 election. He had previously been the MP for theOttawa—Carletonriding. As an MP, Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP. However, he would end up being defeated byJohn Manley,a lawyer with a specialty in tax law. Many[who?]attribute the loss to a phone and mail campaign by thePublic Service Alliance of Canada,which was upset at the Progressive Conservative Government's cuts to the civil service.[clarification needed]


1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal John Manley 27,740 50.83 +14.17 $60,329
Progressive Conservative Barry Turner 19,134 35.06 -10.04 $43,380
New Democratic John Fryer 7,392 13.54 -3.26 $42,207
Libertarian Marc A. Shindler 146 0.27
Commonwealth of Canada Jack C. Chambers 90 0.16
Independent Charles Boylan 74 0.14
Difference 8,606 15.8
Valid votes 54,576
Liberalnotional gainfromProgressive Conservative Swing +12.11

^ Change based on redistributed results.

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling Firm Link LPC PC NDP
CJOH-Optima [27] 44 27 13

1984 (transposed)

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1984 federal electionredistributed results[27]
Party Vote %
Progressive Conservative 22,490 45.10
Liberal 18,280 36.66
New Democratic 8,381 16.81
Others 717 1.44

See also

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References

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  • "Ottawa South (Code 35064) Census Profile".2011 census.Government of Canada -Statistics Canada.RetrievedMarch 3,2011.

Notes

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  1. ^Statistics Canada:2016
  2. ^Statistics Canada:2011
  3. ^"Riding: Ottawa South".Pundit's Guide to Canadian Federal Elections.
  4. ^Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022)."Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Ottawa South [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario".www12.statcan.gc.ca.RetrievedMarch 8,2023.
  5. ^Population corresponds to Census Block 3506148710
  6. ^"blairturner.ca".blairturner.ca/.RetrievedJune 6,2024.
  7. ^"Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders".Elections Canada.RetrievedApril 9,2024.
  8. ^"Former CSIS intelligence officer seeking NDP nomination in Ottawa South, McGuinty stronghold".The Hill Times.July 5, 2021.RetrievedSeptember 26,2021.
  9. ^"List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election".Elections Canada.RetrievedSeptember 2,2021.
  10. ^"Meet Eli Tannis".Archived fromthe originalon May 13, 2019.
  11. ^"About - Morgan Gay - Ottawa South NDP".Archived fromthe originalon May 8, 2019.
  12. ^"Les Schram | Green Party of Ontario".Archived fromthe originalon March 7, 2018.
  13. ^"List of confirmed candidates".Elections Canada.RetrievedOctober 3,2019.
  14. ^"Official Voting Results".Elections Canada.RetrievedJuly 23,2021.
  15. ^"Meet the Ottawa South Conservative Party candidate: Dev Balkissoon".September 24, 2015.
  16. ^"Conservative candidate's absence at Ottawa South debate 'slap in the face'".October 9, 2015.
  17. ^Elections Canada
  18. ^Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  19. ^[1][usurped]
  20. ^"Election Night Results - Electoral Districts".
  21. ^"Elie Salibi Selected as Ottawa South's Conservative Candidate | Ottawa South Conservative Association".Archived fromthe originalon April 2, 2015.
  22. ^"View topic - Ottawa South:: Free Dominion - Principled Conservative - Party and Canadian Politics - Canada Blogs".Archived fromthe originalon September 27, 2007.RetrievedNovember 23,2005.
  23. ^"35064 - Ottawa South".
  24. ^Poll-by-poll results
  25. ^Pundit's Guide to Canadian Elections - Internet Archive
  26. ^Canadian Politics: Riding by Riding, pg 191
  27. ^ab"New suburban riding leaning hard toward the Grits".Ottawa Citizen.November 16, 1988. p. 19.RetrievedJune 22,2024.
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