User:Rhian2040/sandbox
It has been suggested that this page bemergedinto2024 United States presidential election.(Discuss)Proposed since December 2020. |
| |||||||||||||||||
538 members of theElectoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||
Presidential election results map.Reddenotes states won by Haley/Crenshaw,bluedenotes those won by Ocasio/Cortez/Harris. Numbers indicateelectoral votesallotted to the winner of each state | |||||||||||||||||
|
2016 U.S. presidential election | |
---|---|
Republican Party | |
Democratic Party | |
Third parties | |
Related races | |
| |
TheUnited States presidential election of 2024,scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024, will be the 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or re-elect the incumbents. The series ofpresidential primary elections and caucusesare likely to be held during the first six months of 2024. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party'snominating convention,who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.
The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025
Background
[edit]Procedure
[edit]Article Twoof theUnited States Constitutionstates that for a person to serve as President of the United States the individual must be anatural-born citizen of the United States,at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of thevarious political partiesof the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as aprimary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usuallyindirect electionswhere voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The nominee then personally chooses a vice presidentialrunning mateto form that party's presidentialticket(with the exception of theLibertarian Party,which nominates its vice presidential candidate by delegate vote regardless of the nominee's preference). The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of theElectoral College;these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1]
TheTwenty-second Amendmentto theConstitutionstates that an individual can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former PresidentsBill Clinton,George W. Bush,andBarack Obamafrom being elected president again. Former presidentsJimmy CarterandGeorge H. W. Bush,both having only served one term, are not constitutionally prohibited from being re-elected in the 2020 election.
Demographic trends
[edit]The age group of what will then be people in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will benonwhite.[2]
Simultaneous elections
[edit]The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to theSenateand theHouse of Representatives.Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the2024 United States Census,and the states will conduct aredistrictingof Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states haveredistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences acoattail effectthat also helps other candidates of that party win election.[3]Therefore, the party that wins the 2024 presidential election could also win asignificant advantagein the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.
Advantage of incumbency
[edit]An incumbent president seeking re-election usually faces no significant opposition during their respective party's primaries, especially if they are still popular. For PresidentsRonald Reagan,Bill Clinton,George W. BushandBarack Obama,for example, their respective paths to nomination became uneventful and the races become merelypro forma;all four then went on to win a second presidential term. Serious challenges are rare, but then generally presage failure to win the general election in the fall. During the1976 Republican Party primaries,then-former California Governor Reagan carried 23 states while running against incumbent PresidentGerald Ford;Ford then went on to lose the presidential election toJimmy Carter,albeit carrying more states. SenatorTed Kennedythen carried 12 states while running against President Carter during the1980 Democratic Party primaries;Reagan then defeated Carter in the fall of 1980.Pat Buchanancaptured a decent percentage of aprotest voteagainst PresidentGeorge H. W. Bushduring the1992 Republican primaries,but only received a handful of delegates; Bush too subsequently went on to lose in the general election to Clinton.
General election polling
[edit]Nominations
[edit]Republican Party
[edit]Declared candidates
[edit]These candidates have established campaign websites.
Name | Born | Current or previous positions | State | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Bilzerian |
December 7, 1980 (age44) Tampa, Florida |
Gambler,actor, playboy | Nevada |
November 11, 2019 | [4] |
Kanye West |
June 8, 1977 (age47) Atlanta, Georgia |
rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer, entrepreneur and fashion designer | Illinois |
October 11, 2018 | [5]Cite error:There are<ref> tags on this page without content in them (see thehelp page).
|
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
[edit]Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President.
- Chris Christie,GovernorofNew Jersey2010–2018; candidate for Presidentin2016[6][7]
- Ted Cruz,U.S. SenatorfromTexassince 2013;candidatefor President in2016[8][9]
- Nikki Haley,Ambassador to the United Nationssince 2017;Governor of South Carolina2011–2017;[10][11]
- Larry Hogan,Governor of Marylandsince 2015[12][13]
- Will Hurd,U.S. RepresentativefromTX-23since 2015[14][15]
- Mike Pence,Vice President of the United Statessince 2017;GovernorofIndiana2013–2017;U.S. Representative2001-2013[16][17]
- Mike Pompeo,U.S. Secretary of Statesince 2018;Director of the Central Intelligence Agency2017-2018;U.S. RepresentativefromKS-122011–2017;[18][19]
- Marco Rubio,U.S. SenatorfromFloridasince 2011;candidatefor President in2016[20]
- Curt Schilling,former baseball player[21]
- Ben Shapiro,conservative commentator, editor-at-large ofDaily Wire[22]
- Donald Trump,President of the United States(2017-present)[23]
Potential candidates
[edit]- Greg Abbott,Governor of Texassince 2015[24]
- Charlie Baker,Governor of Massachusettssince 2015[25]
- Matt Bevin,Governor of Kentuckysince 2015[26]
- Liz Cheney,U.S. RepresentativefromWY-ALsince 2017[27]
- Tucker Carlson,conservative commentator[28]
- Dan Crenshaw,U.S. Representativesince 2019
- Tom Cotton,U.S. Senator fromArkansassince 2015;U.S. RepresentativefromAR-042013-2015;[29][30]
- Ron DeSantis,Governor of Floridasince 2019,U.S. Representative2013–2018[31]
- Doug Ducey,Governor of Floridasince 2015[32]
- Matt Gaetz,U.S. RepresentativefromFlorida[33]
- Richard Grenell,ActingDirector of National Intelligencesince 2020,United States Ambassador to Germanysince 2018
- Josh Hawley,U.S. SenatorfromMissourisince 2019,Missouri Attorney Generalsince 2017;[34][35]
- James Lankford,U.S. SenatorfromOklahomasince 2015[36]
- Mark Meadows,White House Chief of Staffsince 2020,U.S. RepresentativefromNC-112013-2020[37]
- Robert C. O'Brien,United States National Security Advisorsince 2019[38]
- Rand Paul,U.S. SenatorfromMissourisince 2011[39]
- Ben Sasse,U.S. SenatorfromNebraskasince 2015[40]
- Rick Scott,U.S. Senatorfrom Florida since 2019,Governor of Floridafrom 2011-2019;[41]
- Tim Scott,U.S. Senatorfrom [[South Carolina] since 2013,U.S. RepresentativefromSC-012011–2013;[42][43]
- Elise Stefanik,U.S. RepresentativefromNew York[44]
- Peter Thiel,philanthropist[45]
- Pat Toomey,U.S. Senatorfrom Pennsylvania since 2011,U.S. RepresentativefromSC-011999–2005[46]
Declined to be candidates
[edit]- Trey Gowdy,formerU.S. RepresentativefromSC-042011–2019;
- Eric Greitens,formerGovernor of Missouri2017-2018;[47][48](running for statewide office)
- Kristi Noem,Governor of South Dakotasince 2019;U.S. RepresentativefromSouth Dakota[49][50]
- Donald Trump Jr.,businessman, executive Vice President of theTrump Organization[51][52]
- Ivanka Trump,businesswoman,First Daughter,Senior Advisor to the President[53]
- Scott Walker,Governor of Wisconsin since 2011; candidate for President in 2016[54][55]
Democratic Party
[edit]Individuals who have publicly expressed interest
[edit]Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President.
- Stacey Abrams,Minority Leader of theGeorgia House of Representatives2011-2017, Democratic nominee forGovernor of Georgiain 2018[56]
- Michael Avenatti,attorney, convicted felon fromCalifornia[57]
Cite error:There are<ref>
tags on this page without content in them (see thehelp page).
- Michael Bennet,U.S. SenatorfromColoradosince 2009[58]
- Lebron James,professional basketball player fromCalifornia[59]
- Dwayne Johnson[note 1],actor, producer, and semi-retired professional wrestler fromFlorida[60][61]
- Terry McAuliffe,GovernorofVirginia2014–2018,DNC Chairman[62]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez,U.S. RepresentativefromNY-142019–present;[63]
- Tim Ryan,U.S. RepresentativefromOhiosince 2003,candidate forPresident of the United Statesin 2020[64][needs update]
- Andrew Yang,entrepeneur, candidate forPresident of the United Statesin 2020[65][66]
Potential candidates
[edit]- Andy Beshear,Governor of Kentuckysince 2019,Attorney General of Kentucky2016-2019[67]
- Jeff Bezos,CEO ofAmazon,CEO ofBlue Origin,investor[68]
- Cory Booker,U.S. SenatorfromNew Jerseysince 2013;MayorofNewark2006–2013, Candidate forPresident of the Unitedin 2020[69]
- Pete Buttigieg,former Mayor ofSouth Bend,Candidate forPresident of the Unitedin 2020
- Andrew Cuomo,Governor of New Yorksince 2011[70]
- Kamala Harris,U.S. SenatorfromCaliforniasince 2017, Candidate forPresident of the Unitedin 2020[71][72][73][74]
- Jay Inslee,Governor of Washingtonsince 2011, Candidate for president in2020[75]
- Tim Kaine,U.S. SenatorfromVirginiasince 2013;Governor2006–2010;MayorofRichmond1998–2001; DemocraticnomineeforVice Presidentin2016[76]
- Joe Kennedy III[77]
- Gavin Newsom,Governor of California2011-present; and candidate for2014[78]
- J. B. Pritzker,Governor of Illinoissince 2019[79]
- Gina Raimondo,Governor of Rhode Islandsince 2015[80][81]
- Elizabeth Warren,U.S. SenatorfromMassachusettssince 2013, Candidate forPresident of the Unitedin 2020[82][83][84][85]
- Gretchen Whitmer,Governor of Michigansince2019[86]
- Mark Zuckerberg[note 1],computer programmer and Internet entrepreneur fromCalifornia
Declined to be candidates
[edit]- Meghan Markle,formerDuchess of Sussex
- Beto O'Rourke,formerU.S. RepresentativefromTX-16(2013-2019)[88]
Libertarian Party
[edit]Potential candidates
[edit]- Justin Amash,U.S. Representative from Michigan 2011-present[89][90]
- Kris Kobach[note 1]],Secretary of State of Kansas,candidate forGovernor of Kansasin2018[91]
- Austin Petersen[note 1],producer, writer, political activist, and commentator; candidate for U.S. Senate2018;Libertarian candidate for president of the United States in2016[92]
- Larry Sharpe,businessman, motivational speaker, Regional Alternate atLibertarian National Committee,2018 candidate forGovernor of New YorkCite error:There are
<ref>
tags on this page without content in them (see thehelp page).
Independent or unaffiliated
[edit]Potential candidates
[edit]- Mark Cuban,owner of theDallas Mavericks[93]
</gallery>
Maps
[edit]-
The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state.
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^"US Election guide: how does the election work?".The Daily Telegraph.November 6, 2012.RetrievedOctober 29,2015.
- ^Weeks, Linton (January 25, 2013)."Forget 2016. The Pivotal Year In Politics May Be 2020".NPR.RetrievedOctober 30,2015.
- ^Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections".The American Political Science Review.80(1): 45.JSTOR1957083.
- ^https://www.latintimes.com/who-dan-bilzerian-ig-playboy-wants-run-us-president-2024-vs-kanye-west-450400
- ^https://www.pahomepage.com/news/politics/president-trump-kanye-west-to-have-white-house-lunch/1515890220
- ^https://www.quora.com/If-Donald-Trump-is-elected-what-do-you-think-the-2024-Presidential-Election-will-be-like-If-Hillary-Clinton-is-elected-what-will-2024-be-like
- ^https://www.desertsun.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/23/chris-christie-presidential-run-hits-trump-government-shutdown/2638401002/
- ^https://www.quora.com/If-Donald-Trump-is-elected-what-do-you-think-the-2024-Presidential-Election-will-be-like-If-Hillary-Clinton-is-elected-what-will-2024-be-like
- ^https://www.statesman.com/news/20190925/i-hope-to-run-again-ted-cruz-eyes-another-presidential-race---in-2024
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/forget-about-2016-heres-the-early-look-at-the-white-house-in-2031/2015/08/07/43e8dcd4-3c81-11e5-b3ac-8a79bc44e5e2_story.html?utm_term=.2f108cd0e29e
- ^https://nypost.com/2019/11/13/nikki-haley-keeps-door-open-for-2024-presidential-run/
- ^https://www.cnn.com/2019/01/26/politics/larry-hogan-2020-trump-challenge/index.html
- ^https://www.baltimoresun.com/politics/bs-md-hogan-2024-story.html
- ^https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Rhian2040/sandbox&action=edit§ion=11
- ^https://www.texastribune.org/2019/09/26/texas-rep-will-hurd-says-hes-considering-running-president-2024/
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://www.newsweek.com/pence-keeps-door-open-2024-election-betting-firms-favorite-1531234
- ^https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/its-on-republicans-already-maneuvering-to-succeed-trump-in-2024
- ^https://www.straitstimes.com/world/united-states/mike-pompeo-does-not-rule-out-running-for-president-some-day
- ^https://www.quora.com/If-Donald-Trump-is-elected-what-do-you-think-the-2024-Presidential-Election-will-be-like-If-Hillary-Clinton-is-elected-what-will-2024-be-like
- ^https://www.latimes.com/sports/story/2019-08-13/curt-schilling-is-considering-running-for-congress-trump-approves
- ^https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-0tbQ7Bz1w%7Ctitle=BenShapiro Talks About Running for President in 2024
- ^https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2020/02/03/if-trump-loses-2020-could-come-back-2024-column/4597353002/
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://www.bostonherald.com/2018/10/22/charlie-bakers-star-is-rising/
- ^https://www.wkyufm.org/post/analysis-would-matt-bevin-be-more-aggressive-second-term
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://theweek.com/articles/845696/tucker-carlson-president
- ^http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/06/ben_sasse_and_tom_cotton_have_competing_visions_for_the_future_of_the_republican.html
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://dailycaller.com/2019/01/10/rick-scott-ron-desantis-feuding/
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/10/18/2024-race-begins-republicans-nov-4/
- ^https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/after-trump-who-will-lead-gop-2024-presidential-election-128682
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/515785-2024-gop-presidential-rivalries-emerge-on-virus-package
- ^https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pence-vice-presidential-debate-2024-republican-primaries/
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/10/18/2024-race-begins-republicans-nov-4/
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/10/18/2024-race-begins-republicans-nov-4/
- ^https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/515785-2024-gop-presidential-rivalries-emerge-on-virus-package
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://dailycaller.com/2019/01/10/rick-scott-ron-desantis-feuding/
- ^https://www.postandcourier.com/news/tim-scott-has-ideas-for-gop-s-future-he-s/article_75011164-c91c-11e6-9b00-23c8fc42be43.html
- ^https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/trey-gowdy-ill-only-return-to-politics-if-tim-scott-runs-for-president
- ^https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/04/17/trump-made-jump-white-house-is-one-these-9-non-politicians-next/
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/10/18/2024-race-begins-republicans-nov-4/
- ^http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/article180786481.html
- ^https://www.radioiowa.com/2017/10/22/missouris-governor-sparks-presidential-speculation-with-saturday-speech/
- ^https://www.rollcall.com/2020/08/26/stop-the-silliness-about-2024/
- ^https://www.argusleader.com/story/news/politics/2020/07/08/gov-kristi-noem-south-dakota-presidential-race/5397174002/
- ^https://www.axios.com/donald-trump-jr-hbo-2024-presidential-election-580d8450-97f3-4d94-a690-9d9ae555579a.html
- ^https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/trey-gowdy-ill-only-return-to-politics-if-tim-scott-runs-for-president
- ^http://time.com/4726303/ivanka-trump-presidential-run-cbs-interview/
- ^http://future.wikia.com/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2024_(Timebomb_Earth)
- ^https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/04/scott-walker-says-he-may-run-again-governor-u-s-senate/2482295002/
- ^https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/03/2024-presidential-election-candidates-091055
- ^Schwartz, Brhttps://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/michael-avenatti-again-considering-2020-presidential-bidian (August 3, 2019)."Michael Avenatti is mulling a run for president again after declaring he would not seek nomination".CNBC.RetrievedAugust 3,2019.
{{cite news}}
:Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=
(help);External link in
(help)CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)|first=
- ^https://www.denverpost.com/2020/02/14/michael-bennet-colorado-presidential-campaign-future/
- ^https://lakeshowlife.com/2018/10/11/lakers-rumors-lebron-james-future-president-united-states/
- ^http://metro.co.uk/2017/12/17/dwayne-johnson-seriously-considering-run-president-2024-7166807/
- ^<https://www.aol.com/article/news/2017/12/14/dwayne-the-rock-johnson-strongly-considering-presidential-run-in-2024-i-continue-to-listen-and-learn-as-much-as-i-can-exclusive/23307710/
- ^https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/17/politics/terry-mcauliffe-2020-interview/index.html
- ^https://www.inquisitr.com/5246177/fox-news-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-president-2020/
- ^Merica, Dan (August 28, 2018)."Tim Ryan weighs his next move: Take on Pelosi or Trump".CNN.RetrievedAugust 30,2018.
- ^https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/andrew-yang-drops-out-presidential-race-n1134161
- ^https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/andrew-yang-suspends-presidential-campaign-democrat-universal-basic-income-yang-gang-951390/
- ^https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/01/03/2024-presidential-election-candidates-091055
- ^https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/8189266/jeff-bezos-run-president-2024-donald-trump/
- ^https://www.thetoptens.com/candidates-for-2024-u-s-presidential-election/
- ^https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1243536301602877441
- ^Hunt, Kasie (June 25, 2018)."Sen. Kamala Harris not ruling out 2020 White House run".NBC News.RetrievedJune 25,2018.
- ^Edward-Isaac Dovere (October 5, 2018)."An Unmistakable Sign Kamala Harris Is Running in 2020".The Atlantic.RetrievedOctober 5,2018.
- ^David Siders (October 16, 2018)."How Kamala Harris' team thinks she can win the 2020 nomination".Politico.RetrievedOctober 17,2018.
- ^https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/28/democrats-president-clinton-candidates-bench-kaine-booker/87625460/
- ^https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125
- ^https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/forget-about-2016-heres-the-early-look-at-the-white-house-in-2031/2015/08/07/43e8dcd4-3c81-11e5-b3ac-8a79bc44e5e2_story.html?utm_term=.2f108cd0e29e
- ^https://www.bostonherald.com/2019/09/25/joe-k-iii-senate-bid-first-step-to-restoring-camelot/
- ^http://future.wikia.com/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2024_(Timebomb_Earth)
- ^https://www.politico.com/newsletters/illinois-playbook/2020/04/02/pritzker-for-president-getting-in-budget-binds-mission-ppe-488784
- ^https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/28/democrats-president-clinton-candidates-bench-kaine-booker/87625460/
- ^https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/17/us/politics/democrat-governors-bullock-mcauliffe.html
- ^Alexander Burns (September 29, 2018)."Elizabeth Warren Says 2020 Presidential Run Is On the Table".The New York Times.RetrievedSeptember 30,2018.
- ^McGrane, Victoria (September 29, 2018)."Warren says she will 'take a hard look at running for president'".Boston Globe.RetrievedSeptember 30,2018.
- ^Matt Viser (October 14, 2018)."Elizabeth Warren builds expansive Democratic campaign effort ahead of likely 2020 bid".Washington Post.RetrievedOctober 14,2018.
- ^https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/28/democrats-president-clinton-candidates-bench-kaine-booker/87625460/
- ^https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/02/coronavirus-governors-2024-election-160125
- ^http://hollywoodlife.com/2017/01/16/mark-zuckerberg-running-for-president-2024-kanye-west-competition-election/
- ^https://www.dailywire.com/news/beto-says-his-presidential-bid-is-his-last-go-at-public-office
- ^"'Lowercase "L" Libertarian' Congressman Justin Amash is Another Potential 2020 Candidate ".The Jack News. August 5, 2017.RetrievedJune 24,2018.
- ^https://twitter.com/justinamash/status/719331364915560449
- ^https://docs.google.com/document/d/11XvxdSibnzdYJ90jDYtdSPuGyOlUOnI9UqNz3bFnMpw/edit
- ^http://future.wikia.com/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2024_(Timebomb_Earth)
- ^h
{{United States presidential election, 2024}} {{United States elections, 2024}}