wOBA

Inbaseball,wOBA(or weighted on-base average)is a statistic, based onlinear weights,designed to measure a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. It is formed from taking the observed run values of various offensive events, dividing by a player's plate appearances, and scaling the result to be on the same scale ason-base percentage.Unlike statistics likeOPS,wOBA attempts to assign the proper value for each type of hitting event. It was created byTom Tangoand his coauthors forThe Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball.

Usage

In 2008,sabermetricswebsiteFanGraphsbegan listing the current and historical wOBA for all players inMajor League Baseball.It forms the basis of the offensive component of theirwins above replacement(WAR) metric. Sites such asThe Hardball Timeshave studied wOBA and found it to perform comparably to or better than other similar tools (OPS,RC,etc.) used in sabermetrics to estimate runs.The Bookuses wOBA in numerous studies to test the validity of many aspects of baseball conventional wisdom.

The benefit of wOBA compared to other offensive value statistics is that it values not justwhetherthe runner reached base buthow.Events like home runs, walks, singles, etc. are given their own weight (or coefficient) within the linear formula. The weighting is based on the increase in expected runs for the event type as compared to an out. The coefficients change each seasonbased upon how often each event occurs.

Because the coefficients are derived from expected run value, we can use wOBA to estimate a few more things about a player's production and baseball as a whole. When using the formula (shown below), the numerator side on its own will give us an estimate of how many runs a player is worth to his team. Similarly, a team's wOBA is a good estimator of team runs scored, and deviations from predicted runs scored indicate a combination of situational hitting and base running.

Balls hit hard (i.e. with a highexit velocity) in thesweet spotproduce higher wOBA.

Historical versions of the formula

Coefficients for each tracked outcome vary by year. A historical record of these coefficients can be found at FanGraphs.

2023

PerFangraphs,the formula for wOBA in the 2023 season was:

$wOBA={\frac {(0.697*NIBB)+(0.727*HBP)+(0.855*{\mathit {1}}B)+(1.248*{\mathit {2}}B)+(1.575*{\mathit {3}}B)+(2.014*HR)}{AB+BB-IBB+SF+HBP}}$

where:

• NIBB=Non-intentionalbases on balls
• HBP=Hit by pitch
• 1B=Single
• 2B=Double
• 3B=Triple
• HR=Home run

—————

• AB=At bat
• BB=Bases on balls
• IBB=Intentionalbases on balls
• SF=Sacrifice flies
• HBP=Hit by pitch

Original formula

The formula below appeared inThe Book.

$wOBA={\frac {(0.72*NIBB)+(0.75*HBP)+(0.90*{\mathit {1}}B)+(0.92*RBOE)+(1.24*{\mathit {2}}B)+(1.56*{\mathit {3}}B)+(1.95*HR)}{PA}}$

where:

• NIBB= Non-intentionalbases on balls
• HBP=Hit by pitch
• 1B=Single
• RBOE= Reached base onerror
• 2B=Double
• 3B=Triple
• HR=Home run
• PA=Plate appearance

Ranges for elite, very good, etc.

The following table serves as an aggregate summary of various wOBA scales available online.

wOBA Scale

Classification	Range
Elite	.400 and Above
Very Good	.371 to.399
Good	.321 to.370
Average	.320
Bad	.291 to.320
Very Bad	.290 and below

References

• Tom Tango,Mitchel Lichtman, and Andrew Dolphin.The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball.Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, 2007.ISBN1-59797-129-4.