2018 Maine gubernatorial election
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Registered | 1,058,893[1][2](![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 61.24%[3](![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Mills:40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Moody:40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maine |
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The2018 Maine gubernatorial electiontook place on November 6, 2018, to elect thegovernor of Maine.It occurred along with elections for theU.S. Senate,U.S. House,and other state and local elections. IncumbentRepublicangovernorPaul LePagewas term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term; he later unsuccessfully sought a third term in2022.[4]This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state carried byHillary Clintonin the2016 presidential election.
The primaries for this election were the first in Maine to be conducted withranked choice voting(RCV), as opposed to a simple plurality, after voters passeda citizen referendumapproving the change in 2016.[5]Anadvisory opinionby theMaine Supreme Judicial Courtheld that RCV would be unconstitutional for general elections for governor and the state legislature. This led state legislators to vote to delay its implementation pending approval of a state constitutional amendment.[6][7]Backers of a "people's veto" turned in enough signatures to suspend this law until aJune referendum vote,which restored RCV for future primary and congressional elections.[8]
GovernorPaul LePagethreatened not to certify the results of the primary elections, saying he would "leave it up to the courts to decide."[9]He also called the use of ranked-choice voting the "most horrific thing in the world."[10]Secretary of StateMatthew Dunlapsaid the results would be binding regardless of whether LePage certified them.[11]
The Republican nominee was businessman and2010 independent candidatefor governor Shawn Moody. TheDemocraticcandidate wasAttorney GeneralJanet Mills.State TreasurerTerry Hayesand businessman Alan Caron had qualified for the ballot as independents, though Caron dropped out on October 29 and endorsed Mills. Former state senator and former mayor ofLewistonandAuburnJohn Jenkins and perennial candidate Kenneth Capron ran write-in campaigns.
Mills defeated Moody and Hayes with a majority to become the first female governor of Maine. This was the first election since2006that Maine elected a Democratic governor. Mills was also the first gubernatorial candidate to win at least 50% of the vote sinceAngus Kingin1998,and the first non-incumbent to do so sinceKenneth M. Curtisin1966.Mills also became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to earn 300,000 votes and received more votes for governor than any other candidate in state history. This also marks the first gubernatorial election since 1982 that a Democrat would win a majority of the popular vote.[12]
Background[edit]
Incumbent RepublicanPaul LePagewas term-limited, having been elected twice consecutively in2010and2014.LePage did not win a majority of the vote either time (receiving 37.6% in a crowded four-way race in 2010 and 48.2% in a three-way race in 2014), with Democrats accusing independent candidateEliot Cutlerof splitting the anti-LePage vote in both instances, though Cutler finished closer to LePage than Democratic candidateLibby Mitchellin the 2010 election.[13]
Maine's history of governors elected without majorities, including LePage, was one impetus for thecitizen's referendumto implementranked choice voting.[14][15]Indeed, the last time a gubernatorial candidate received a majority of the vote was in1998,when incumbent governor (and current United States Senator)Angus King,an independent, won reelection with 58.6% of the vote. The last time a non-incumbent candidate received more than 50% of the vote was the1966 gubernatorial election,which DemocratKenneth M. Curtiswon over incumbent RepublicanJohn H. Reedwith 53.1% of the vote.
Though ranked-choice voting was approved by voters in a2016 referendum,theMaine Legislaturevoted to delay and potentially repeal RCV for all elections after anadvisory opinionby theMaine Supreme Judicial Courtruled it unconstitutional for general elections for state offices. RCV supporters succeeded in a people's veto effort to prevent the delay, which suspends it until a June 2018 referendum vote.[16]RCV supporters were victorious in the June referendum, and ranked-choice voting will remain in place for state and federal primaries and federal general elections.[17]
Republican primary[edit]
Speculation that U.S. SenatorSusan Collinswas considering running for governor arose during the 2015Maine Legislativesession when RepresentativeMatt Moonen(D-Portland) introduced a bill to strip the governor (LePage at the time) of the power to appoint replacement U.S. Senators in the event of a vacancy and to instead have a special primary and general election. Moonen denied that he was motivated by Collins's possible candidacy, saying he was interested only in counterbalancing Republican-sponsored bills to change how theMaine Attorney GeneralandMaine Secretary of Stateare chosen. Moonen said Collins had told him speculation about her running for governor was "silly."[18]Collins, who was the1994 Republican nominee for Governor,toldMPBNNews on January 4, 2016, that though she was "baffled" by the rumors about her being interested in running for governor, many had encouraged her to run, and she would not rule it out.[19]In October 2017, Collins said she would not run for governor in 2018.[20]
No Republican candidate ruled out challenging the results of a ranked-choice primary in court.Mary Mayhewcalled for the immediate repeal of RCV, calling it a "scam" and "probably illegal".[21]
TheMaine Republican Partyfiled a federal lawsuit in U.S. District Court inBangoron May 4, 2018, seeking to bar the use of RCV for its own primary on the grounds that requiring the party to use it violates itsFirst Amendmentrights to choose its nominee as it sees fit.[22]U.S. District Court Judge Jon Levy rejected the suit on May 29.[23]
Candidates[edit]
Nominated[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Ken Fredette,state house minority leader[25]
- Garrett Mason,state senate majority leader[26]
- Mary Mayhew,former commissioner of the Maine Department of Health and Human Services[27]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Deril Stubenrod, write-in candidate for the U.S. Senate in2014[28]
- Mike Thibodeau,Maine Senate president[29]
Declined[edit]
- Rick Bennett,former chairman of theMaine Republican Party,formerPresidentof theMaine Senate,candidate for the U.S. Senate in2012and nominee forME-02in1994[30]
- Susan Collins,U.S. senator and nominee for governor in1994[31][32]
- Nick Isgro, Mayor ofWaterville[33]
- Bruce Poliquin,U.S. representative (ran for reelection)[34]
- Peter Vigue, businessman[35]
Endorsements[edit]
- Federal politicians
- Marco Rubio,United States senator from Florida and 2016 presidential candidate[36]
- Federal politicians
- Local and state politicians
- Susan Austin,state representative[39]
- Richard Bradstreet, state representative[39]
- Richard Campbell, state representative[39]
- Paul Chace, state representative[39]
- Garrel Craig, state representative[39]
- Scott Cyrway,state senator[39]
- Robert Foley, state representative[39]
- Phyllis Ginzler, state representative[39]
- James Hamper,state senator[39]
- Jeffery Hanley, state representative[39]
- Matthew Harrington, state representative[39]
- Stephanie Hawke, state representative[39]
- Gary Hilliard, state representative[39]
- Chris Johansen, state representative[39]
- Jonathan Kinney, state representative[39]
- Bob Macdonald, former mayor ofLewiston[40]
- Richard Malaby, state representative[39]
- Beth O'Connor,state representative[39]
- Lester Ordway, state representative[39]
- Michael Perkins, state representative[39]
- John Picchiotti, state representative[39]
- Jeffrey Pierce, state representative[39]
- Dwayne Prescott, state representative[39]
- Deborah Sanderson, state representative[39]
- H. Stedman Seavey, state representative[39]
- Abden Simmons, state representative[39]
- Paula Sutton, state representative[39]
- Timothy Theriault, state representative[39]
- Karleton Ward, state representative[39]
- Other individuals
- Adrienne Bennett, former spokesperson for governorPaul LePage[41]
- Individuals
- Rick Bennett,formerpresident of the Maine Senate,former chair of the Maine Republican Party[42]
- Ann LePage, First Lady of Maine[43]
- Newspapers
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
Ken Fredette |
Garrett Mason |
Mary Mayhew |
Shawn Moody |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 546 | ± 4.8% | Round 1 | 10% | 15% | 19% | 34% | 22% |
Round 2 | – | 25% | 26% | 49% | – | ||||
Round 3 | – | – | 34% | 65% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Susan Collins |
Mary Mayhew |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 1–2, 2017 | 672 | – | 33% | 44% | – | 23% |
28% | – | 62% | 10% |
Results[edit]
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c8/2018MEgovGOP.svg/230px-2018MEgovGOP.svg.png)
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Shawn Moody | 53,436 | 52.6 | |
Republican | Garrett Mason | 21,571 | 21.2 | |
Republican | Mary Mayhew | 14,034 | 13.8 | |
Republican | Blank ballots | 7,203 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Ken Fredette | 5,341 | 5.3 | |
Total votes | 101,585 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary[edit]
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/ed/Maine_Democratic_Signs.jpg/350px-Maine_Democratic_Signs.jpg)
Almost all Democratic candidates said that they would abide by the results of the ranked-choice primary, with onlyJanet Millsrefusing to comment on the issue because it was being heard by the courts.[21]
Candidates[edit]
Nominated[edit]
- Janet Mills,Maine Attorney General[46]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Adam Cote, attorney, Iraq War veteran and candidate forME-01in 2008[47]
- Donna Dion, former mayor ofBiddeford[48]
- Mark Dion,state senator and formerCumberland CountySheriff[49]
- Mark Eves,formerSpeaker of the Maine House of Representatives[50]
- Diane Russell,former state representative[51]
- Betsy Sweet, former director of theMaine Women's Lobby[52]
Failed to make ballot[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
- James Boyle,former state senator[56]
- Patrick Eisenhart, retiredUnited States Coast GuardCommander[57]
- Sean Faircloth,former mayor ofBangorand former state senator[58]
- Kenneth Forrest Pinet[59]
Declined[edit]
- Justin Alfond,former state senator and formerPresidentof theMaine Senate[60][35][61]
- Yellow Light Breen, CEO of the Maine Development Foundation[35]
- Adam Goode,former state representative[35]
- Troy Jackson,State SenateMinority Leader[35]
- Stephen King,author[62][63]
- Chellie Pingree,U.S. Representative[64]
- Hannah Pingree,former Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives[35]
- Lucas St. Clair, nonprofit executive (ran forME-02)[65]
Endorsements[edit]
All endorsers are Democrats unless otherwise specified.
- Federal politicians
- Local and state politicians
- Justin Alfond,formerPresident of the Maine Senate[67]
- Peter Baldacci,Penobscot CountyCommissioner[68]
- Frank Bemis, formerPresque IsleTown Council Chair[68]
- Todd Brackett, Sheriff ofLincoln County[68]
- Michael Brennan,formermayor of Portland,former state senator, candidate forME-01in2008[68]
- Marilyn Canavan, state representative[68]
- Alan Casavant,Mayor ofBiddeford,former state representative[68]
- Justin Chenette,state senator[69]
- Janice Cooper,state representative[68]
- Tom Cote, Mayor ofSanford[68]
- Annie Graham, former state representative[68]
- Jon Hinck,former state representative and formerPortland City Councillor[68]
- Adam Lee, former Auburn City Councillor[68]
- David Lemoine,former state representative[68]
- Nate Libby,state senator, Senate Minority Whip[70]
- Colleen Madigan,state representative[68]
- Anne-Marie Mastraccio,state representative[68]
- Patrick K. McGowan,former state representative, candidate for Governor in2010,nominee forME-02in1990and1992,formerSmall Business AdministrationRegional Administrator[68]
- Cynthia Mehnert,OronoTown Councillor[68]
- Cecil Munson, formerAugustaCity Councillor[68]
- Kevin O'Connell,BrewerCity Councillor[68]
- Peter O'Donnell, formerMayor of Portland[68]
- Patrick Paradis, former state representative and former Augusta City Councillor[68]
- Josh Plourde, former Bangor City Councillor[68]
- Christina Riley, state representative[68]
- David Rollins, Mayor of Augusta[68]
- Michael Sanphy, Mayor ofWestbrook[68]
- Stephen Stanley,state representative[71]
- Spencer Thibodeau,Portland City Councillor[68]
- Dan Tremble, Bangor City Councillor[68]
- Anna Turcotte,WestbrookCity Councillor[68]
- Linda Valentino,state senator[68]
- Wayne Werts, former state representative[68]
- Organizations
- Maine Council of Machinists[72]
- Newspapers
- Individuals
- Timothy Simons,actor[74]
- Local and state politicians
- Benjamin Collings, state representative[75]
- Other individuals
- Francine Breton, formerCumberland County JailAdministrator[75]
- Moses Sebunya,United States Department of Homeland Security,civil rights activist, former President of theNAACPin Maine[75]
- Local and state politicians
- Joe Baldacci, former Bangor City Councillor[76]
- Seth Berry,state representative[76]
- Dale Denno, state representative[76]
- Patrick Eisenhart, former gubernatorial candidate (2018)[77]
- Sean Faircloth,Bangor City Councillor, former Mayor of Bangor, former state senator, former gubernatorial candidate (2018)[76]
- Richard Farnsworth,state representative[76]
- Ryan Fecteau,state representative[76]
- Roger Fuller,state representative[76]
- Drew Gattine,state representative[76]
- Anne Haskell,former state senator[78]
- Erik Jorgensen, state representative[76]
- Chuck Kruger, former state representative[76]
- Thomas Longstaff, state representative[76]
- Louis Luchini, state representative[76]
- Jay McCreight, state representative[76]
- Jennifer Ellen Parker, state representative[76]
- Deane Rykerson,state representative[76]
- Linda Sanborn,former state representative[76]
- John Alden Spear, state representative[76]
- Ben Sprague, Mayor of Bangor[76]
- Joan Welsh,former state representative[76]
- Individuals
- Adam Lee, small business owner and environmental activist[76]
- Warren Silver,formerMaine Supreme Judicial Courtjustice[76]
- Organizations
- Iron Workers Local 7[79]
- Working Families Party[80](also endorsed Sweet and Russell)
- Local and state politicians
- Joseph E. Brennan,former governor of Maine (1979–1987), former US Representative forMaine's 1st congressional district(1987–1991), former Maine Attorney General (1975-1979), nominee for Governor in1990and1994,nominee for US Senate in1996,candidate for Governor in1974[81]
- Lynn Bromley,former state senator[82]
- Emily Cain,former state senator, nominee forME-02in 2014 and 2016, executive director ofEMILY's List[83]
- Margaret Craven,former state senator[83]
- Jerry Davis, former state representative[84]
- Lois Galgay Reckitt,state representative[85]
- Dawn Hill,state senator[83]
- Helen Rankin,former state representative[86]
- Other individuals
- Maura Healey,Massachusetts Attorney General[87]
- Nick Wilson, executive director, Maine Gun Safety Coalition[88][89]
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Working Families Party[80](also endorsed Sweet and Eves)
- Local and state politicians
- Everett "Brownie" Carson, state senator[91]
- Clare Davitt, Bangor City Councillor[92]
- Beth Edmonds,formerPresident of the Maine Senate[93]
- Karen Kusiak, former state representative, candidate for State Senate[94]
- Dale McCormick,formerMaine State Treasurer,former state senator, candidate forME-01in1996[95][96]
- Ethan Strimling,Mayor of Portland,former state senator, candidate forME-01in2008[97]
- Mike Sylvester,state representative[98]
- Charlotte Warren,state representative[99]
- Barb Wood, formerPortlandCity Councillor,vice president of theEquality MaineFoundation[96]
- Other individuals
- Ben Cohen,cofounder,Ben & Jerry's[93]
- Cenk Uygur,journalist, host ofThe Young Turks[100]
- Marianne Williamson,writer[101]
- Organizations
- Southern MaineDemocratic Socialists of America[102]
- Working Families Party[93][80](also endorsed Eves and Russell)
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
Adam Cote |
Donna Dion |
Mark Dion |
Mark Eves |
Janet Mills |
Diane Russell |
Betsy Sweet |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 649 | ± 4.2% | Round 1 | 9% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 24% |
Round 2 | 13% | – | 13% | 20% | 42% | 5% | 6% | |||||
Round 3 | 13% | – | 13% | 22% | 43% | – | 8% | |||||
Round 4 | 14% | – | 15% | 24% | 48% | – | – | |||||
Round 5 | – | – | 19% | 26% | 55% | – | – |
Results[edit]
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a7/Maine_Governor_Democratic_Primary_Election_Results_by_County%2C_2018.svg/230px-Maine_Governor_Democratic_Primary_Election_Results_by_County%2C_2018.svg.png)
- 20–30%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 30–40%
Democratic primary results[45] | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | ||||||||||
Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | |||||
Democratic | Janet Mills | 41,735 | 33.1% | + 2,307 | 44,042 | 35.5% | + 5,903 | 49,945 | 40.8% | + 13,439 | 63,384 | 54.1% | |||
Democratic | Adam Cote | 35,478 | 28.1% | + 2,065 | 37,543 | 30.2% | + 5,080 | 42,623 | 34.8% | + 11,243 | 53,866 | 45.9% | |||
Democratic | Betsy Sweet | 20,767 | 16.5% | + 2,220 | 22,987 | 18.5% | + 6,957 | 29,944 | 24.4% | - 29,944 | Eliminated | ||||
Democratic | Mark Eves | 17,887 | 14.2% | + 1,634 | 19,521 | 15.7% | - 19,521 | Eliminated | |||||||
Democratic | Mark Dion | 5,200 | 4.1% | - 5,200 | Eliminated | ||||||||||
Democratic | Diane Russell | 2,728 | 2.2% | - 2,728 | Eliminated | ||||||||||
Democratic | Donna Dion | 1,596 | 1.3% | - 1,596 | Eliminated | ||||||||||
Democratic | Write-ins | 748 | 0.6% | - 748 | Eliminated | ||||||||||
Total votes | 132,250 | 100.0% |
Green Independent primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Libertarian primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Independents[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Kenneth A. Capron, perennial candidate, systems analyst and fraud investigator[108]^(write-in candidate)
- Terry Hayes,Maine State Treasurer[57]
- John Jenkins,former mayor of Lewiston, former mayor of Auburn and former Democratic state senator[109][110]^(write-in candidate)
^Capron and Jenkins failed to qualify for the ballot, but continued their campaigns as write-in candidates.
Withdrawn[edit]
- Ethan Alcorn, businessman (did not qualify)[111]
- Alan Caron, president and CEO of Envision Maine (endorsed Mills)[112]
- Aaron D. Chadbourne, writer and activist[113](write-in candidate, endorsed Moody)[114]
Failed to make ballot[edit]
- Karmo Sanders, actress[115]
Declined[edit]
- Eliot Cutler,attorney and candidate for governor in2010and2014[116]
- Angus King, U.S. Senator and former governor (running for re-election)[117]
- Peter Vigue, businessman[118][35]
- Dick Woodbury,former state senator[35]
General election[edit]
After the primaries, most prediction models had the race as a tossup, noting Paul LePage's two victories andHillary Clinton's narrow margin of victory in the state in the2016 presidential election.Others considered it to be a pick-up opportunity for the Democrats.[119]Both Moody and Mills received the backing of outside money, with one PAC spending in excess of $1 million on television advertising in the state to support Mills's candidacy.[120]
On October 12,Jonathan MartinofThe New York Timespublished an article detailing a sex discrimination complaint filed against Moody and his business in 2006, which Moody settled for $20,000, resulting in the complaint being withdrawn. The complaint alleged that Moody went to the residence of a female employee and fired her for having a child just days after delivering the child via an emergencycaesarean section.[121]Moody denied the allegation through a spokesperson and later on Twitter.[122]
Though the first poll of the race saw Mills and Moody tied for first place with Hayes and Caron lagging behind, by the end of October, four different polls were released, each showing Mills with an eight-point lead over Moody.FiveThirtyEightdeclared the race "Likely D" when its gubernatorial projections were released in October, though other prediction models maintained the race as a tossup.
On October 29, in a press conference at the main branch of thePortland Public Library,Caron dropped out of the race and endorsed Mills. His name remained on the ballot, but any votes cast for him were regarded as blank.[123]
Shortly before 10 pm on election night, Hayes conceded the race.[124]At 12:15 am on November 7, Moody conceded the race to Mills, and shortly thereafter Mills declared victory at Democratic headquarters in Portland.[124]Mills became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to receive more than 300,000 votes in a single election. Mills also became the first Maine gubernatorial candidate to win a majority of the vote since Angus King won nearly 59% of the vote in his re-election bid in1998,and became the first candidate to win a majority of the popular vote for a first term since Kenneth M. Curtis defeated incumbent governorJohn H. Reedin1966,though Curtis and Reed were the only candidates in that race.
The general election usedplurality voting,not ranked-choice voting.
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[125] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[126] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[127] | Likely D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[128] | Tilt D(flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[129] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[130] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[131] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[132][a] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[133] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[134] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements[edit]
- Endorsements inboldwere made after the primaries on June 12, 2018.
- Local and state politicians
- Kent Ackley, state representative (I–Monmouth)[135]
- Linda Baker,former state senator (R–Topsham)[135]
- Kevin Battle, state representative (I–South Portland)[135]
- Bobbi Beavers, former state representative (D–South Berwick)[136]
- Kerri Bickford, former state representative (R–Topsham)
- Andrea Boland, former state representative (D–Sanford)[137]
- Owen Casas, state representative (I–Rockport)[135]
- Ralph Chapman,state representative (G–Brooksville)[135]
- David Cotta, former state representative (R–China)[136]
- Dean Cray,former state representative (R–Palmyra)[135]
- Dennis Damon,former state representative (D–Trenton)[136]
- Leslie Fossel, former state representative (R–Alna)[137]
- Martin Grohman, state representative (I–Biddeford)[135]
- Denise Harlow,state representative (I–Portland)[137]
- Norm Higgins, state representative (I–Dover-Foxcroft)[138]
- Bryan Kaenrath,former state representative (D–South Portland)[137]
- Gary Knight, former state representative (R–Livermore Falls)[136]
- Leila J. Percy, former state representative (D–Phippsburg)[136]
- Stanley Short, former state representative (D–Pittsfield)[137]
- Ed Suslovic,formerMayor of Portlandand former state representative (D–Portland)[135]
- Windol Weaver,former state representative (R–York)[136]
- Individuals
- Organizations
- National politicians
- Joe Biden,formerVice President of the United States[141]
- Susan Rice,formerUnited States Ambassador to the United Nationsand formerNational Security Advisor[142]
- Local and state politicians
- Justin Alfond,formerPresident of the Maine Senate[143]
- Joseph E. Brennan,former governor of Maine (1979–1987), former US representative forMaine's 1st congressional district(1987–1991), former Maine Attorney General (1975–1979), nominee for governor in1990and1994,nominee for US Senate in1996,candidate for governor in1974[81]
- Lynn Bromley,former state senator[82]
- Emily Cain,former state senator, nominee forME-02in 2014 and 2016, executive director ofEMILY's List[83]
- Alan Caron, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[123]
- Adam Cote, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[144]
- Margaret Craven,former state senator[83]
- Jerry Davis, former state representative[84]
- Mark Dion,state senator and 2018 gubernatorial candidate[144]
- Mark Eves,formerSpeaker of the Maine House of Representativesand 2018 gubernatorial candidate[144]
- Lois Galgay Reckitt,state representative[85]
- Drew Gattine,state representative[145]
- Dawn Hill,state senator[83]
- Donna Loring,former tribal representative of thePenobscot Nation[146]
- Helen Rankin,former state representative[86]
- Diane Russell,former state representative and 2018 gubernatorial candidate[144]
- Lucas St. Clair, businessman, conservationist and candidate forMaine's 2nd congressional districtin2018[143]
- Betsy Sweet, former director of theMaine Women's Lobbyand 2018 gubernatorial candidate[144]
- Spencer Thibodeau,Portland City Councillor[147]
- Charlotte Warren,state representative[148]
- Other individuals
- David Farmer, political consultant and journalist[149]
- Maura Healey,Massachusetts Attorney General[87]
- Jay Inslee,Governor of Washington,chairman of theDemocratic Governors Association[150]
- Nick Wilson, executive director, Maine Gun Safety Coalition[88][89]
- Monica Wood, author[151]
- Organizations
- Emily's List[90]
- EqualityMaine[152]
- Human Rights Campaign[153]
- League of Conservation Voters[154]
- Planned Parenthood[155]
- Sierra Club[153]
- Trade unions
- Media
- Local and state politicians
- Rick Bennett,formerPresident of the Maine Senate,former chair of the Maine Republican Party[42]
- Ken Fredette,state house minority leader, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[161]
- Paul LePage,Governor of Maine[161]
- Garrett Mason,state senate majority leader, 2018 gubernatorial candidate[161]
- Mary Mayhew,former director the Maine Department of Health and Human Services[161]
- Mike Thibodeau,President of the Maine Senate,2018 gubernatorial candidate[161]
- Other individuals
- Adrienne Bennett, former spokesperson for GovernorPaul LePage[41]
- Aaron D. Chadbourne, writer and activist, former write-in candidate for governor[114]
- Matt DiBenedetto,NASCARdriver[162]
- Ann LePage, first lady of Maine[43]
- Organizations
- Associated Builders and Contractorsof Maine[163]
- Sportman's Alliance of Maine[164]
Debates[edit]
Dates | Location | Mills | Moody | Hayes | Caron | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
October 10, 2018 | Portland,Maine | Participant | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate-C-SPAN |
October 25, 2018 | Augusta,Maine | Participant | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate-C-SPAN |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Shawn Moody (R) |
Janet Mills (D) |
Terry Hayes (I) |
Alan Caron (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) | November 1, 2018 | 518 | – | 38% | 55% | 7% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2018 | 883 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | – | – | 5% | 4% |
Pan Atlantic Research | October 1–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 44% | 8% | 2% | – | 10% |
Change Research | September 30 – October 1, 2018 | 801 | – | 44% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | – | 33% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 13% |
Suffolk University | August 2–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 3% | – | 16% |
- if ranked-choice voting were used
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Shawn Moody (R) |
Janet Mills (D) |
Terry Hayes (I) |
Alan Caron (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes) | November 1, 2018 | 518 | – | 37% | 49% | 11% | – | 3% |
Slingshot Strategies (I-Hayes)ArchivedOctober 15, 2018, at theWayback Machine | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | – | 42% | 45% | 9% | 4% | – |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Janet Mills | 320,962 | 50.89% | +7.52% | |
Republican | Shawn Moody | 272,311 | 43.18% | −5.01% | |
Independent | Terry Hayes | 37,268 | 5.91% | N/A | |
Write-in | 126 | 0.02% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 630,667 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
DemocraticgainfromRepublican |
Results by county[edit]
Janet Mills (Democratic) |
Shawn Moody (Republican) |
Terry Hayes (Independent) |
Margin | Total | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
Androscoggin | 19,801 | 43.96% | 21,903 | 48.63% | 3,337 | 7.41% | -2,102 | -4.67% | 45,041 |
Aroostook | 10,360 | 38.23% | 14,498 | 53.51% | 2,238 | 8.26% | -4,138 | -15.28% | 27,096 |
Cumberland | 95,346 | 61.19% | 53,088 | 34.07% | 7,373 | 4.73% | 42,258 | 27.12% | 155,807 |
Franklin | 7,083 | 50.32% | 6,254 | 44.43% | 738 | 5.24% | 829 | 5.89% | 14,075 |
Hancock | 15,228 | 54.13% | 11,356 | 40.37% | 1,549 | 5.51% | 3,872 | 13.76% | 28,133 |
Kennebec | 26,777 | 47.86% | 25,752 | 46.03% | 3,422 | 6.12% | 1,025 | 1.83% | 55,951 |
Knox | 11,691 | 57.39% | 7,694 | 37.77% | 985 | 4.84% | 3,997 | 19.62% | 20,370 |
Lincoln | 9,676 | 50.88% | 8,324 | 43.77% | 1,019 | 5.36% | 1,352 | 7.11% | 19,019 |
Oxford | 10,510 | 41.06% | 12,342 | 48.22% | 2,742 | 10.71% | -1,832 | -7.16% | 25,594 |
Penobscot | 29,004 | 45.17% | 31,572 | 49.17% | 3,640 | 5.67% | -2,568 | -4.00% | 64,216 |
Piscataquis | 2,887 | 38.70% | 4,109 | 55.08% | 464 | 6.22% | -1,222 | -16.38% | 7,460 |
Sagadahoc | 10,152 | 53.22% | 7,714 | 40.44% | 1,210 | 6.34% | 2,438 | 12.78% | 19,076 |
Somerset | 8,524 | 41.03% | 11,048 | 53.18% | 1,204 | 5.80% | -2,524 | -12.15% | 20,776 |
Waldo | 10,109 | 51.61% | 8,397 | 42.87% | 1,083 | 5.53% | 1,712 | 8.74% | 19,589 |
Washington | 5,736 | 43.99% | 6,533 | 50.10% | 770 | 5.91% | -797 | -6.11% | 13,039 |
York | 48,078 | 50.45% | 41,727 | 43.79% | 5,494 | 5.77% | 6,351 | 6.66% | 95,299 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit]
- Franklin(largest town:Farmington)
- Hancock(largest town:Ellsworth)
- Kennebec(largest town:Augusta)
- Lincoln(largest town:Waldoboro)
- Sagadahoc(largest town:Bath)
- Waldo(largest town:Belfast)
- York(largest town:Biddeford)
By congressional district[edit]
Mills won 1 of the 2 congressional districts. Moody won the other, which elected a Democrat.[166]
District | Mills | Moody | Hayes | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 55.89% | 38.85% | 5.26% | Chellie Pingree |
2nd | 44.99% | 48.34% | 6.68% | Jared Golden |
See also[edit]
References[edit]
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- ^"2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups".Governing.Archived fromthe originalon October 21, 2018.RetrievedJuly 18,2018.
- ^abcdefghBailey, Kyle (September 27, 2018)."More Endorsements from Across the Political Spectrum".HayesForMaine.Archived fromthe originalon October 13, 2018.RetrievedOctober 13,2018.
- ^abcdefEmerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (September 19, 2018)."Terry Hayes unveils six new endorsements from former state legislators #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^abcdeGriffiths, Shawn M. (October 16, 2017)."Independent Terry Hayes:" I'm Beholden to Maine Voters, Not Parties or Wealthy Donors "".IVN.Archivedfrom the original on October 16, 2017.RetrievedOctober 17,2017.
- ^"Rep. Norm Higgins Endorses Hayes".Hayes for Maine. January 18, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on January 21, 2018.RetrievedJanuary 20,2018.
- ^Shepherd, Michael (May 2, 2017)."Eliot Cutler is recruiting independents to run for the Maine Legislature".Bangor Daily News.Archivedfrom the original on May 6, 2017.RetrievedMay 3,2017.
- ^"Centrist Project Sees Opportunity in Maine to Disrupt Two-Party Duopoly – IVN.us".May 24, 2017.Archivedfrom the original on October 9, 2017.RetrievedOctober 8,2017.
- ^@JanetMillsforME (October 30, 2018)."I am thrilled to have the support of @JoeBiden, a champion for working people around the country. Our campaign is focused on taking Maine in a new direction that always puts hardworking Mainers first. I can think of no better supporter of that cause than Vice President Biden"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^Shepherd, Michael [@mikeshepherdME] (October 12, 2018)."Just confirmed: @AmbassadorRice was at a @JanetMillsforME fundraiser tonight in Rockport, per @swogden10. #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^ab"JOIN US AT BAYSIDE BOWL!".October 17, 2018. Archived fromthe originalon October 19, 2018.RetrievedOctober 18,2018.
- ^abcdeBottari, Steve (June 21, 2018)."Maine Democrats hold 'unity rally' for gubernatorial nominee Janet Mills".WMTW-TV.Archivedfrom the original on July 20, 2018.RetrievedJuly 19,2018.
- ^Drew Gattine [@dgattine] (October 13, 2018)."As we move Maine forward and tackle issues like paid family leave, the high cost of day care, the root cause of poverty and hunger among children, how to support early childhood education, there's no doubt that @JanetMillsforME is head and shoulders the best choice #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^Loring, Donna (October 23, 2018)."Letter to the editor: Mills receives tribal elder's personal endorsement in race for governor".Portland Press Herald.Archivedfrom the original on October 24, 2018.RetrievedOctober 23,2018.
- ^@Spencer4Council (October 29, 2018)."Thank you @alancaron4maine! Maine needs to go vote for @JanetMillsforME 😎! #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^Warren, Charlotte (October 19, 2018)."The election is 17 days away. We have an opportunity to turn le page on the past 8 years. Voting for Janet T. Mills is the ONLY pathway to turning that page. She's got my vote. Join me! — with Janet T. Mills".Facebook.Archivedfrom the original on October 7, 2021.RetrievedOctober 23,2018.
- ^Farmer, David (October 17, 2018)."Choice for Governor is really between Mills and Moody".Archivedfrom the original on October 17, 2018.RetrievedOctober 17,2018.
- ^Janet Mills [@JanetMillsforME] (July 12, 2018)."Thank you to Governor @JayInslee for joining me today to stand up for Maine people who voted overwhelmingly last year to approve Medicaid expansion. As governor, I will honor their will"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^Emerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (September 19, 2018)."Monica Wood is on the host committee for this Sunday's Jammin' With Janet event #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^@equalitymaine (September 20, 2018)."We're proud to announce our endorsement of @JanetMillsforME for Governor. She has been a fighter for LGBTQ+ Mainers over her entire career in public service. Her record is strong. Her values are clear. Janet will be a governor we can be proud of! #mepolitics #LGBTQ pic.twitter /f9VzXX9m1R"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^abcd"Endorsements | Janet Mills for Governor".JanetMills.Archived fromthe originalon October 13, 2018.RetrievedOctober 13,2018.
- ^"Maine Conservation Voters Action Fund endorses Janet Mills for governor".Penobscot Bay Pilot.June 26, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on July 20, 2018.RetrievedJuly 19,2018.
- ^Emerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (August 28, 2018)."In an unsurprising but still noteworthy move, @PPFA has endorsed @JanetMillsforME #mepolitics"(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
- ^"Janet Mills would be a pragmatic governor, offering a refreshing change".bangordailynews.October 19, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on October 20, 2018.RetrievedOctober 19,2018.
- ^"Editorial board endorsement: Janet Mills for Maine governor".The Boston Globe.October 30, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on October 31, 2018.RetrievedNovember 1,2018.
- ^"Our Endorsement: Editorial Board picks Mills for governor".CentralMaine.October 21, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on November 1, 2018.RetrievedOctober 31,2018.
- ^"It's Time To Vote: Phoenix Endorsements for the 2018 Elections".ConwayDailySun.November 1, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on November 16, 2018.RetrievedNovember 1,2018.
- ^"Our Endorsement: Editorial Board picks Mills for governor".Portland Press Herald.October 21, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on October 24, 2018.RetrievedOctober 23,2018.
- ^abcdeThistle, Scott (June 19, 2018)."Shawn Moody tells Republicans at rally he'd carry on LePage's legacy".Portland Press Herald.Archivedfrom the original on July 20, 2018.RetrievedJuly 19,2018.
- ^"Shawn Moody unveils new advertisement on NASCAR vehicle".WGME-TV.July 18, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on July 19, 2018.RetrievedJuly 19,2018.
- ^"Associated Builders and Contractors of Maine Announces Endorsement of Shawn Moody for Governor".Bangor Daily News.June 28, 2018. Archived fromthe originalon September 6, 2018.RetrievedSeptember 6,2018.
- ^"Sportsman's Alliance endorses Moody".The Republican Journal.September 10, 2018.Archivedfrom the original on October 7, 2021.RetrievedSeptember 11,2018.
- ^Official tabulation of results for GovernorArchivedDecember 2, 2018, at theWayback Machine~•
- ^LePage, Paul R."Maine Certificate of Ascertainment 2016"(PDF).Archived(PDF)from the original on October 19, 2020.RetrievedJanuary 11,2020.
External links[edit]
- Official campaign websites