2023 Jacksonville mayoral election
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Turnout | First round:25.7%1.14pp Final round:33.07% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Deegan:<30%30–40%40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%80–90%>90% Davis:<30%30–40%40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80% Ferraro:30–40%40–50%70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The2023 Jacksonville mayoral electionwas held on March 21, 2023, with a runoff held on May 16. IncumbentRepublicanmayorLenny Currywasterm-limitedand could not seek a third term in office. Seven candidates filed to run, including four Republicans, two Democrats, and an independent.Jacksonvillemayoral elections use ablanket primarysystem where all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, appear on the same ballot.
Nonprofit founderDonna Deegan,a Democrat, and Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce presidentDaniel Davis,a Republican, took the top two spots in the primary election. Because no candidate surpassed 50% of the vote, Deegan and Davis advanced to a runoff. Candidates eliminated in the initial primary included city councilors Al Ferraro andLeAnna Cumber,both Republicans, and former state senate minority leaderAudrey Gibson,a Democrat.[2]
Deegan defeated Davis in the runoff, becoming the first woman ever to be elected Mayor of Jacksonville and the first Democrat to be elected sinceAlvin Brownin2011.[3][4]About 217,000 people voted in the runoff election, for a turnout of 33%.[5]Deegan's win resulted in Jacksonville losing its status as themost populous city in the United States with a Republican mayor;that instead becameFort Worth, Texas.[6][7]
Background[edit]
Jacksonville became themost populous city in the United States with a Republican mayorwhen Democrats flipped the mayorship ofSan Diego, Californiain2020.Republicans had held the mayorship of Jacksonville continuously since 1993 with the exception of one four-year period when DemocratAlvin Brownserved as mayor following his upset victory in the2011 election.However, theconsolidated city-countyof Jacksonville andDuval Countyhas historically been more Democratic-leaning than other counties in the state. In 2018, the Democratic nominees forgovernorandU.S. Senateboth narrowly carried Jacksonville even as they lost statewide; in 2022, although the city voted for the Republican nominee in thegubernatorialandSenatecontests, it still voted to the left of the state as a whole.[8]
Primary election[edit]
Campaign[edit]
The two leading Republicans were backed by different factions of the business community;Daniel Davisaligned himself with the network of developers, CEOs, and elected officials who backed incumbent mayorLenny Curryand who traditionally hold great influence over city elections, whileLeAnna Cumberwas backed by a more conservative group of outsiders.[9]Florida Politics commented that Cumber had the support of "various anti-Lenny Curry Republicans" in local government.[10]Cumber heavily criticized Curry's effort to raise the Jacksonvillegas tax,while Davis avoided taking positions on specific city issues and instead made broad appeals for unity.[9]Al Ferraro was considered to have the most conservative platform of any candidate but lacked the fundraising and endorsements of Cumber and Davis, though his position improved over time due to well-received debate performances and improving polling numbers.[11]
The campaign between Cumber and Davis was heated, with Davis running ads labeling Cumber a "fake conservative" because she donated to Democratic politicians in the past and Cumber running ads claiming that Davis "voted to make it easier for criminals to cover up sexual assaults against children," criticizing him for voting to letDACArecipients get driver's licenses, and accusing him of contributing to rising crime rates in Jacksonville.[12][13][14][15]Both candidates also ran ads accusing each other of supporting the privatization ofJEA,the city's publicly-owned electric utility, though they each denied that they would sell it if elected mayor.[16]In February 2023, the city council began investigating ties between Cumber's husband and a company that attempted to buy JEA. Cumber claimed the probe was orchestrated by allies of Davis to help him win the mayoral election.[17]
In comparison, the two Democrats largely avoided criticizing each other and both ran on their own strengths, withDonna Deeganrunning a positive TV ad focused on her life story.[18]Audrey Gibsonis a longtime fixture of Jacksonville politics and had a reputation for working across the aisle during her time in the state legislature.[9]Additionally, she was considered to have an advantage because 55% of registered Democrats in Jacksonville are black and she has a history of performing well in heavily African-American areas.[19]However, Deegan has a great deal of name recognition from her time as a television journalist and the frequent public appearances she made during her mayoral bid. She prioritized small donors and was the only candidate to qualify for the ballot via petition rather than paying a fee. Deegan raised significantly more than Gibson, though her fundraising was still considered lackluster in comparison to Cumber and Davis.[9]
Candidates[edit]
Republican Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
- LeAnna Cumber,city councilor[20][21]
- Daniel Davis,president of the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce, formerstate representative,and former president of the Jacksonville City Council[22][21]
- Al Ferraro, city councilor[23][21]
- Frank Keasler, consultant[24][21]
Withdrew[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Ron Salem, at-large city councilor[27]
Democratic Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Donna Deegan,breast cancer nonprofit founder, formerFirst Coast Newsanchor, cousin of former mayorTommy Hazouri,and nominee forFlorida's 4th congressional districtin2020[28][21]
- Audrey Gibson,former Minority Leader of theFlorida Senate[29][21]
Did not qualify[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Kimberly Daniels,state representativeand former city councilor[31]
- Brenda Priestly Jackson, city councilor(ran for an at-large council seat)[31]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Omega Allen, former chair of the Northwest Jacksonville Economic Development Trust Fund Advisory Committee and candidate for mayor in2015and2019[22][21]
Did not qualify[edit]
- Darcy Richardson, businessman,Reformnominee forGovernor of Floridain2018,andAlliancenominee for vice president in2020[22][21]
Fundraising[edit]
As of December, Cumber and Davis held a wide lead in fundraising; Davis led with $4.5 million on hand while Cumber had $2.8 million. Al Ferraro lagged behind with $240,000. Among the Democrats,Donna Deeganhad the most cash on hand with $590,000, whileAudrey Gibsonfollowed with $250,000.[32]
Endorsements[edit]
In March 2023, flyers were distributed at polling places in northwest Jacksonville that listed candidates purportedly endorsed by former U.S. RepresentativeCorrine Brownin the Jacksonville primary elections. The flyer recommended a Democratic candidate in every race except the mayoral race, where it recommended RepublicanLeAnna Cumber.Brown, a Democrat, claimed the flyers were fake and said that she had not endorsed any candidates yet, though she said there were "very qualified Democrats in the race for Mayor."[33]
- Federal officials
- Eduardo Aguirre,formerUnited States Ambassador to Spain(2005–2009) and director of theUnited States Citizenship and Immigration Services(2003–2005)[34]
- Sada Cumber,formerUnited States Special Envoy to the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation(2008–2009)(her uncle-in-law)[34]
- Rick Perry,formerUnited States Secretary of Energy(2017–2019) andGovernor of Texas(2000–2015)[34]
- Frank Zeidman, former Chairman Emeritus of theUnited States Holocaust MuseumCouncil (2002–2010) andRepublican Jewish CoalitionBoard Member (2014–present)[34]
- U.S. Senators
- Tim Scott,U.S. SenatorfromSouth Carolina(2013–present)[35]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Banks,U.S. RepresentativefromIN-3(2017–present)[35]
- State officials
- Jennifer Carroll,formerLieutenant Governor of Florida(2011–2013)[36]
- State legislators
- Jay Fant,formerstate representativefrom the 15th district (2014–2018)[35]
- Dick Kravitz,former state representative from the 19th district (2000–2008)[37]
- Local officials
- William Bishop, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2012–2015) from the 2nd district (2007–2015)[37]
- April Carney,Duval County Public Schoolsboard member from the 2nd district (2022–present)[38]
- Randy DeFoor, Jacksonville city councilor from the 14th district (2019–present)[39]
- Jerry Holland,Duval Countyproperty appraiser (2019–present) and former president of the Jacksonville city council (2002–2003) from the 3rd district (1999–2005)[40]
- Edward Skinner Jones, formerNeptune Beachcity councilor (1997–2005)[41]
- Lauren Key,Neptune Beachcity councilor from the 2nd district (2020–present)[41]
- Sean Lynch, mayor ofBaldwin(2016–present)[42]
- Josh Messinger,Neptune Beachcity councilor from the 4th district (2018–present)[41]
- Jessica Ring,Atlantic Beachcity commissioner from the 5th district (2022–present)[41]
- Jack Webb, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2010–2011) from the 6th district (2007–2011)[37]
- Scott Wilson, former president of the Jacksonville city council (2019–2020) from the 4th district (2015–2023)[37]
- Labor unions
- Florida First Coast Chapter of theAssociated Builders and Contractors[43]
- Organizations
- First Coast Chapter of theNational Association of Manufacturers[38]
- Florida StateHispanic Chamber of Commerce[38]
- Federal officials
- John Rutherford,U.S. Representative forFlorida's 4th congressional district(2017–present) and former Jacksonville Sheriff (2003–2015)[44]
- Local officials
- John Peyton,formerMayorofJacksonville(2003–2011)[22]
- T.K. Waters, Jacksonville Sheriff (2023–present)[45]
- Organizations
- JacksonvilleFraternal Order of Police[46]
- State officials
- Nikki Fried,formerFlorida Commissioner of Agriculture(2019–2023)[47]
- Local officials
- Garrett Dennis, former Jacksonville city councilor from the 9th district (2015–2022)[48]
- Ellen Glasser, former mayor ofAtlantic Beach(2017–2022)(Republican)[49]
- Harriet Pruette, former mayor ofNeptune Beach(2008–2016)[49]
- Labor unions
- North Florida Letters CarriersLocal Branch 53[50]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[51]
- JacksonvilleNational Organization for WomenPAC(co-endorsement with Gibson)[48]
- Ruth's List Florida[52]
- Organizations
- JacksonvilleNational Organization for WomenPAC(co-endorsement with Deegan)[48]
- Organizations
- Organizations
- JacksonvilleAssociation of Fire Fighters[46]
Polling[edit]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info onPhabricatorand onMediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Allen (I) |
Cumber (R) |
Davis (R) |
Deegan (D) |
Ferraro (R) |
Gibson (D) |
Keasler (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 37% | 8% | 7% | 1% | – | 22% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 11% | 10% | <1% | – | 20% |
University of North Florida | August 8–12, 2022 | 491 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 31% | 8% | 10% | <1% | 10%[b] | 20% |
Frederick Polls (D)[A] | June 22–25, 2022 | 618 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 1%[c] | 9% |
University of North Florida | February 11–16, 2022 | 443 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 41% | 7% | – | – | 22%[d] | – |
University of North Florida | May 11–16, 2021 | 1,263 (RV) | ± 2.8% | – | 3% | 6% | 19% | 3% | – | – | 57%[e] | 13% |
Results[edit]
The Republican candidates combined for roughly 51% of the vote, while the Democrats combined for 48%. This was the highest first-round combined vote share for Democrats in a Jacksonville mayoral race since the 1995 election.[54][better source needed]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 66,160 | 39.43% | |
Republican | Daniel Davis | 41,492 | 24.73% | |
Republican | Al Ferraro | 27,256 | 16.24% | |
Democratic | Audrey Gibson | 14,433 | 8.60% | |
Republican | LeAnna Cumber | 12,715 | 7.58% | |
Republican | Frank Keasler | 4,010 | 2.39% | |
Independent | Omega Allen | 1,583 | 0.94% | |
Write-in | 153 | 0.09% | ||
Total votes | 167,802 | 100.00% |
Runoff[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Endorsements inboldwere made after the first round.
- Federal officials
- John Rutherford,U.S. Representative forFlorida's 4th congressional district(2017–present) and former Jacksonville Sheriff (2003–2015)[44]
- U.S. Senators
- Rick Scott,U.S. Senatorfrom Florida (2019–present) and formerGovernor of Florida(2011–2019)[55]
- Statewide elected officials
- Ron DeSantis,Governor of Florida(2019–present)[56]
- Wilton Simpson,Florida Commissioner of Agriculture(2023–present)[57]
- State legislators
- Dean Black,state representativefrom the 15th district (2022–present) and chair of theDuval CountyRepublican Party (2018–present)[58]
- Local officials
- Joe Carlucci,Jacksonville city councilor-elect from the 5th district (2023–present)[59]
- Lenny Curry,Mayor of Jacksonville(2015–2023)[56]
- John Peyton,formerMayorofJacksonville(2003–2011)[22]
- T.K. Waters, Jacksonville Sheriff (2023–present)[45]
- Organizations
- JacksonvilleFraternal Order of Police[46]
- Political parties
- Duval CountyRepublican Party[60]
- Federal officials
- Al Lawson,former U.S. Representative forFlorida's 5th congressional district(2017–2023)[61]
- State officials
- Nikki Fried,formerFlorida Commissioner of Agriculture(2019–2023)[47]
- Local officials
- Anna Lopez Brosche,former at-large (2018–2019) president of the Jacksonville city council (2015–2019) and runner-up for mayor in2019(Republican)[62]
- Matt Carlucci,at-large Jacksonville city councilor (1987–present)(Republican)[26]
- Randy DeFoor,Jacksonville city councilor from the 14th district (2019–present)(Republican)[63](endorsed Cumber in the first round)[39]
- Garrett Dennis, former Jacksonville city councilor from the 9th district (2015–2022)[48]
- Ellen Glasser, former mayor ofAtlantic Beach(2017–2022)(Republican)[49]
- Suzanne Jenkins,former vice president of the Jacksonville city council (2001–2002) from the 4th district (1999–2007)(Republican)[64]
- Harriet Pruette, former mayor ofNeptune Beach(2008–2016)[49]
- Eric Smith,former at-large (1979–1999) president of the Jacksonville city council (1990–1991, 1996–1997)[64]
- Scott Wilson,former president of the Jacksonville city council (2019–2020) from the 4th district (2015–2023)(Republican)[64](endorsed Cumber in the first round)[37]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal EmployeesFlorida[65]
- North Florida Letters CarriersLocal Branch 53[50]
- Newspapers and other media
- The Florida Squeeze[66]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological DiversityAction Fund[67]
- EMILY's List[51]
- Equality FloridaAction PAC[68]
- Food & Water Action[67]
- Friends of the EarthAction Fund[67]
- JacksonvilleNational Organization for WomenPAC(co-endorsed Gibson in the first round)[48]
- JacksonvilleYoung Democrats[69]
- Ruth's List Florida[52]
- Political parties
- Duval CountyDemocratic Party[70]
- Stage legislators
- Audrey Gibson,formerFlorida SenateMinority Leader (2018–2020) from the6th district(2011–2022) and 4th-place finisher in the primary election(Democratic)[71]
Polling[edit]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info onPhabricatorand onMediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Davis (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | May 14, 2023 | 416 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
University of North Florida | April 10–14, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
Frederick Polls (D)[A] | April 3–4, 2023 | 1,162 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 46% | –[f] |
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 14% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 26% | 23% |
- Donna Deegan vs. LeAnna Cumber
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Cumber (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 30% | 18% |
Florida Politics/St. Pete Polls | February 13, 2023 | 478 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 16% | 30% |
- Donna Deegan vs. Al Ferraro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Deegan (D) |
Ferraro (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | February 20–24, 2023 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 113,226 | 52.08% | ||
Republican | Daniel Davis | 104,172 | 47.92% | ||
Total votes | 217,398 | 100.0% | |||
DemocraticgainfromRepublican |
Notes[edit]
- ^abcdKey:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^Darcy Richardson and Theresa Richardson each with <1%; "Someone else" with 10%
- ^Darcy Richardson with 1%
- ^Darcy Richardson with 2%; other unspecified candidates with 20%
- ^Matt Carlucci with 18%; Alvin Brown with 14%; Joyce Morgan with 5%; "Other" with 20%
- ^Respondents were not given the option to say they were undecided.
- Partisan clients
References[edit]
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- ^JacksonvilleYoung Democrats of America(@JaxYoungDems) (March 22, 2023)."Well friends, we made it through another DUUUVAL Election Night and one things for certain: we HAVE to get Donna Deegan elected Mayor".Twitter.RetrievedMay 15,2023.
- ^Duval County Democratic Party (@DuvalDEC) (May 13, 2023)."Our Team–Mayor: @DonnaDeegan".Twitter.RetrievedMay 14,2023.
- ^Gancarski, A.G. (March 23, 2023)."Audrey Gibson will not endorse Donna Deegan for Jacksonville Mayor".Florida Politics.
"I'm not endorsing anyone," she said.
- ^Hogan, Mike (May 19, 2023)."Duval County - 2023 Unitary General Official Results".Duval ElectionsFlorida Elections Commission.RetrievedMay 20,2023.
External links[edit]
- Official campaign websites
- LeAnna Cumber (R) for Mayor
- Donna Deegan (D) for Mayor
- Al Ferraro (R) for Mayor
- Audrey Gibson (D) for Mayor
- Frank Keasler (R) for Mayor
- Omega Allen (I) for Mayor
- Daniel Davis (R) for Mayor
Preceded by 2019 |
Jacksonville mayoral election 2023 |
Succeeded by 2027 |