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2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election

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2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election

2022 November 7, 2023 2024

Rhode Island's 1st congressional district
Nominee Gabe Amo Gerry Leonard Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 43,290 23,393
Percentage 64.7% 35.0%

Municipality results
Amo:40–50%50–60%60–70%70–80%>90%
Leonard:50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

David Cicilline
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gabe Amo
Democratic

The2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special electionwas held on November 7, 2023.[1]The seat became vacant following incumbentDemocraticrepresentativeDavid Cicilline's resignation on May 31, 2023, to become the president and CEO of the Rhode Island Foundation.[2]This was the first congressional special election in Rhode Island since the1967 2nd district special electionand the first special election in the 1st district since1935.

The 1st district typically elects Democrats. Cicilline was re-elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022, whileJoe Bidenwon the district with 63.8% of the vote in2020.[3]The last time a Republican was elected to represent the 1st district was in1992,whenRonald Machtleywon re-election for a third term.Gabe Amobecame the firstAfrican Americanto representRhode Island in Congressfollowing the election.[4]Amo has worked in different governmental roles, most recently working in theBiden administrationin theWhite House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs.[5]Leonard served in theU.S. Marine Corpsfor more than 30 years, serving inAfghanistan,Iraq,KuwaitandSomalia.[6]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Nick Autiello(withdrawn)
Organizations
Gabe Amo
Federal officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Pamela Azar(withdrawn)
Organizations
Walter Berbrick
Stephen Casey
Organizations
Sandra Cano
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Individuals
  • Donald Carlson, senior executive director of the Tsai Leadership Program atYale Law Schooland former 2023 candidate for this seat[15]
Donald Carlson(withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Local officials
Organizations
Sabina Matos
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Ana Quezada
State legislators
  • Jeanine Calkin,former state senator from the 30th district (2017–2018, 2021–2023)(her policy co-chair)[19]
  • Jose Batista,state representative from the 12th district (2021–present)[19]
  • Enrique Sanchez, state representative from the 9th district (2023–present)[19]
  • Scott Slater,state representative from the 10th district (2009–present)[19]
Local officials
Aaron Regunberg
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of August 16, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gabe Amo (D) $604,406 $449,164 $155,242
Stephanie Beauté (D) $16,201 $11,144 $5,056
Walter Berbrick (D) $183,456 $132,976 $50,480
Sandra Cano (D) $307,352[b] $247,796 $59,556
Stephen Casey (D) $87,008 $48,646 $1,817
John Gonclaves (D) $190,236 $164,644 $25,592
Sabina Matos (D) $578,972[c] $452,718 $126,254
Ana Quezada (D) $87,255 $57,869 $29,385
Aaron Regunberg (D) $629,821 $438,556 $191,265
Source:Federal Election Commission[85]

Debates and candidate forums[edit]

No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
PParticipantAAbsentNNot invitedIInvitedWWithdrawn
Gabe Amo Stephanie Beauté Walter Berbrick Sandra Cano Donald Carlson Stephen Casey Spencer Dickinson John Goncalves Sabina Matos Ana Quezada Aaron Regunberg Allen Waters
1 Jul. 19, 2023 Ray-ality TV Raymond Baccari Jr.
Ryan Lukowicz
YouTube (part 1)
YouTube (part 2)
P P P P P P P P P P P P
2 Aug. 17, 2023 Roger Williams University Edward Fitzpatrick
Steph Machado
YouTube P P P P P P N P P P P N
3 Aug. 22, 2023 Rhode Island College
Rhode Island PBS
The Providence Journal
The Public's Radio
Patrick Anderson
Ian Donnis
YouTube P P P P P P N P P P P N
4[86] Aug. 31, 2023 WJAR Brian Crandall YouTube N P N P W P N N N P P P
5 Sep. 1, 2023 WJAR Brian Crandall YouTube P N P N W N P P P N N N

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Marvin Abney Gabe Amo Nick Autiello Sandra Cano Don Carlson John Goncalves Sabina Matos Aaron Regunberg Other Undecided
August 27, 2023 Carlson withdraws from the race
Global Strategy Group (D)[A] August 15–17, 2023 451 (V) 19% 11% 8% 11% 28% 8%[e] 15%
July 19, 2023 Autiello withdraws from the race
July 18, 2023 Abney is disqualified from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[B] July 12–16, 2023 300 (V) 4% 6% 5% 7% 2% 4% 20% 12% 33%
RMG Research[C] June 28–30, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 8% 3% 17% 22% 48%
Expedition Strategies[D] June 5–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 3% 3% 6% 2% 5% 22% 9% 4%[f] 43%

Results[edit]

Primary results by municipality:
Amo
  • 20–30%
  • 30–40%
  • 40–50%
  • 50–60%
Regunberg
  • 20–30%
Cano
  • 30–40%
Casey
  • 30–40%
Democratic primary results[87]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gabe Amo 12,946 32.4
Democratic Aaron Regunberg 9,960 24.9
Democratic Sandra Cano 5,574 13.9
Democratic Sabina Matos 3,210 8.0
Democratic Stephen Casey 2,329 5.8
Democratic Walter Berbrick 1,453 3.6
Democratic Ana Quezada 1,415 3.5
Democratic John Goncalves 1,118 2.8
Democratic Donald Carlson (withdrawn) 690 1.7
Democratic Allen Waters 503 1.3
Democratic Stephanie Beauté 428 1.1
Democratic Spencer Dickinson 354 0.9
Total votes 39,980 100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Gerry Leonard Jr.
State legislators
Political parties

Debate and forum[edit]

2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district republican primary debate and candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
PParticipantAAbsentNNot invitedIInvitedWWithdrawn
Terri Flynn Gerry Leonard
1 Aug. 24, 2023 The Providence Journal
The Public's Radio
Rhode Island PBS
Patrick Anderson
Ian Donnis
YouTube P P
2 Sep. 1, 2023 WJAR Gene Valicenti YouTube P P

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of August 16, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gerry Leonard Jr. (R) $122,221[g] $11,138 $111,082
Source:Federal Election Commission[85]

Results[edit]

Primary results by municipality:
Leonard Jr.
  • 50–60%
  • 60–70%
  • 70–80%
  • 80–90%
  • >90%
Republican primary results[87]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gerry Leonard Jr. 3,076 75.7
Republican Terri Flynn 989 24.3
Total votes 4,065 100.0

Independents[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[95] Safe D February 23, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[96] Safe D February 22, 2023
The Cook Political Report[97] Safe D July 25, 2023
Politico[98] Safe D August 29, 2023

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Gabe
Amo (D)
Gerry
Leonard (R)
Undecided
Salve Regina University/Embold Research October 12–17, 2023 386 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 35% 15%

Results[edit]

2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gabe Amo 43,290 64.73 +0.70
Republican Gerry Leonard Jr. 23,393 34.98 −0.78
Write-in 193 0.29 +0.06
Total votes 66,876 100.00
Democratichold
By county
County Gabe Amo
Democratic
Gerry Leonard Jr.
Republican
Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Bristol 7,465 67.16% 3,618 32.55% 33 0.30% 3,847 34.61% 11,116
Newport 10,025 62.97% 5,865 36.84% 31 0.19% 4,160 26.13% 15,921
Providence(part) 25,800 64.76% 13,910 34.92% 129 0.32% 11,890 29.85% 39,839
Total 43,290 64.73% 23,393 34.98% 193 0.29% 19,897 29.75% 66,876

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^This poll was sponsored by Amo's campaign
  2. ^This poll was sponsored by Autiello's campaign
  3. ^This poll was sponsored by US Term Limits. While the group has not endorsed a candidate in this race, Amo has signed their term limits pledge.
  4. ^This poll was sponsored by Matos's campaign
  1. ^5 from Rhode Island, 1 fromNew Hampshire
  2. ^$80,000 of this total was self-funded by Cano
  3. ^$20,000 of this total was self-funded by Matos
  4. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^"Another candidate not mentioned here" with 8%
  6. ^Stephen Casey and Ana Quezada with 2%; Walter Berbick with 0%
  7. ^$50,000 of this total was self-funded by Leonard

References[edit]

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  52. ^Reform Party of the United States [@ReformParty] (April 24, 2023)."Three term Lincoln Town Councilor Pamela Azar has aligned herself with the Reform Party! She is running in the 1st Rhode Island Congressional District. If you want reform, vote for Pamela Azar!"(Tweet).RetrievedApril 25,2023– viaTwitter.
  53. ^"VoteVets PAC Endorses Walter Berbrick for Congress".VoteVets. July 27, 2023.RetrievedJuly 27,2023.
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  90. ^katherine gregg [@kathyprojo] (February 22, 2023)."Asked if he will run for CD1, Republican state Rep. @BrianCNewberry told me:" I'd prefer not to be bankrupt and divorced, intriguing as the idea is. ""(Tweet) – viaTwitter.
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External links[edit]

Official campaign websites